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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 21, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Buffalo Sabres

1

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Shot by Pominville, saved by Scrivens
  3. P1 0:30Shot by Hodgson, saved by Scrivens
  4. P1 0:53Shot by Ennis, saved by Scrivens
  5. P1 1:21Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  6. P1 1:26Shot by Komarov, saved by Miller
  7. P1 1:28Shot by Komarov, saved by Miller
  8. P1 2:51Shot by McLaren, saved by Miller
  9. P1 2:52Shot by McLaren, saved by Miller
  10. P1 3:46Shot by Vanek, saved by Scrivens
  11. P1 4:19Shot by Ennis, saved by Scrivens
  12. P1 6:50Shot by Pominville, saved by Scrivens
  13. P1 6:54Shot by Ennis, saved by Scrivens
  14. P1 6:59Shot by Ennis, saved by Scrivens
  15. P1 7:38Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  16. P1 8:06Shot by Gerbe, saved by Scrivens
  17. P1 10:32Shot by Kostka, saved by Miller
  18. P1 13:20Goal by Ennis (Stafford)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Kostka, Bozak · BUF Stafford, Brennan, Myers, Ennis, Foligno

  19. P1 14:40Shot by McLaren, saved by Miller
  20. P1 15:08Brown: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McClement, Grabovski, Brown, Gunnarsson, Kostka · BUF Regehr, Vanek, Kaleta, Hodgson, Myers

  21. P1 15:15Shot by Brennan, saved by Scrivens4v5
  22. P1 18:47Shot by Pominville, saved by Scrivens
  23. P1 19:17Shot by Holzer, saved by Miller
  24. P1 19:18Sulzer: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Holzer, Kulemin · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Hodgson, Foligno

  25. P1 19:32Shot by Franson, saved by Miller5v4
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P1 3:45Shot by Vanek, saved by Scrivens
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:28Shot by Franson, saved by Miller5v4
  30. P2 1:04Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller5v4
  31. P2 1:15Goal by Phaneuf (Kessel, Franson)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · BUF Regehr, Pominville, Hodgson, Myers

  32. P2 3:38Gerbe: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Franson, Fraser, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · BUF Hecht, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Kaleta, Gerbe

  33. P2 5:48Shot by Hecht, saved by Scrivens
  34. P2 5:52Shot by Sulzer, saved by Scrivens
  35. P2 6:21Shot by McClement, saved by Miller
  36. P2 6:37Shot by Fraser, saved by Miller
  37. P2 7:07Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Scrivens
  38. P2 7:08Porter: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TOR MacArthur, Franson, Fraser, Komarov, Kadri · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Porter, Gerbe

  39. P2 10:39Shot by Franson, saved by Miller
  40. P2 10:49Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  41. P2 11:26Shot by Brown, saved by Miller
  42. P2 12:55MacArthur: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McClement, Grabovski, Franson, Fraser, Komarov · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Ott, Kaleta, Myers

  43. P2 13:29Shot by Foligno, saved by Scrivens4v5
  44. P2 13:56Shot by Komarov, saved by Miller4v5
  45. P2 14:22Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller4v5
  46. P2 15:10Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  47. P2 16:10Shot by Komarov, saved by Miller
  48. P2 16:49Shot by Regehr, saved by Scrivens
  49. P2 17:11Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  50. P2 17:43Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  51. P2 17:54Shot by Vanek, saved by Scrivens
  52. P2 18:04Goal by van Riemsdyk (Kessel, Kostka)+27 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Kostka, Bozak · BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Ennis, Foligno

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:09Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  56. P3 1:56Shot by Ott, saved by Scrivens
  57. P3 3:07McLaren: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Brown, Fraser, McLaren, Gunnarsson · BUF Hecht, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Kaleta, Scott

  58. P3 3:07Scott: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Brown, Fraser, McLaren, Gunnarsson · BUF Hecht, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Kaleta, Scott

  59. P3 4:10Shot by Gerbe, saved by Scrivens
  60. P3 4:14Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, Holzer, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Gerbe, Ennis

  61. P3 4:14Gerbe: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, Holzer, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Gerbe, Ennis

  62. P3 5:25Shot by Vanek, saved by Scrivens4v4
  63. P3 6:08Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Scrivens4v4
  64. P3 6:50Shot by Hecht, saved by Scrivens
  65. P3 7:00Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Scrivens
  66. P3 7:13Shot by Brennan, saved by Scrivens
  67. P3 9:18Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  68. P3 9:56Shot by Hecht, saved by Scrivens
  69. P3 10:58Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Scrivens
  70. P3 11:48Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Miller
  71. P3 12:36Porter: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Komarov, Holzer, Kadri · BUF Stafford, Porter, Brennan, Myers, Foligno

  72. P3 12:46Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller5v4
  73. P3 13:07Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Miller5v4
  74. P3 13:20Hecht: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · BUF Hecht, Ott, Ehrhoff, Sulzer

  75. P3 13:32Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller5v3
  76. P3 13:52Shot by Franson, saved by Miller5v3
  77. P3 14:02Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller5v3
  78. P3 14:12Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller5v3
  79. P3 14:28Goal by van Riemsdyk (Franson, Phaneuf)5v3+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Myers

  80. P3 15:35Shot by Pominville, saved by Scrivens
  81. P3 15:54Shot by McClement, saved by Miller
  82. P3 16:00Komarov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR MacArthur, Komarov, Gunnarsson, Kostka, Kadri · BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Porter, Gerbe

  83. P3 16:57Shot by Ennis, saved by Scrivens4v5
  84. P3 19:46Shot by Pominville, saved by Scrivens5v6
  85. P3 19:52Shot by Vanek, saved by Scrivens5v6
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final