Thu, Feb 21, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.
62%
9%
22%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 28:35 | 0.05 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:09 | 0.01 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21:34 | 0.16 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.02 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:45 | 0.02 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:04 | 0.03 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:31 | 0.04 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:18 | 1.20 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.00 | 38.0% | +20.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16:26 | 0.35 | 42.4% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.27 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.00 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.13 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.00 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:26 | 0.07 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:01 | 0.06 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:56 | 0.00 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:18 | 0.00 | 6.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 3.67 | +0.7 | 57:35 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23:49 | 0.22 | 25.6% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:45 | 0.07 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20:48 | 0.90 | 54.7% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:49 | 0.15 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.05 | 68.0% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19:13 | 0.31 | 74.1% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:01 | 0.28 | 55.7% | +44.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:32 | 0.02 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.08 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:37 | 0.35 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.31 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.01 | 84.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.14 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.04 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:58 | 0.58 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:39 | 0.00 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:27 | 0.01 | 86.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 0.14 | 92.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.41 | +1.4 | 60:00 |