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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 26, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:22Shot by Purcell, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:24Goal by Stamkos (Purcell, Conacher)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Carle, Purcell, Stamkos, Conacher · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Gerbe, Myers, Ennis

  4. P1 2:16Shot by Stafford, saved by Garon
  5. P1 2:57Lee: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Bergeron, Crombeen, Lee, Stamkos, Panik · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Sekera, Kaleta, Grigorenko

  6. P1 3:56Shot by Stafford, saved by Garon4v5
  7. P1 5:58Shot by Foligno, saved by Garon
  8. P1 10:02Goal by Hodgson (Sekera, Vanek)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sekera, Hodgson

  9. P1 10:38Gerbe: Holding the stick (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Carle, Pouliot, Stamkos · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Gerbe, Myers, Ennis

  10. P1 10:46Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller5v4
  11. P1 12:37Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller5v4
  12. P1 13:56Regehr: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Thompson, Pyatt, Killorn, Hedman · BUF Regehr, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Hodgson

  13. P1 15:10Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Miller5v4
  14. P1 17:07Shot by Vanek, saved by Garon
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 1:06Shot by Gerbe, saved by Garon
  18. P2 3:48Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
  19. P2 3:54Shot by Bergeron, saved by Miller
  20. P2 4:05Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Garon
  21. P2 4:51Shot by Ennis, saved by Garon
  22. P2 5:15Myers: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Crombeen, Pyatt, Killorn, Hedman · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Hodgson, Myers

  23. P2 6:38Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller5v4
  24. P2 7:06Shot by Hedman, saved by Miller5v4
  25. P2 7:38Stafford: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Carle, Pouliot, Stamkos, Hedman · BUF Ehrhoff, Vanek, Stafford, Weber, Hodgson

  26. P2 8:02Shot by Bergeron, saved by Miller5v4
  27. P2 8:21Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller5v4
  28. P2 8:53Myers: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Stamkos, Hedman · BUF Ehrhoff, Porter, Kaleta, Myers

  29. P2 9:30Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller5v3
  30. P2 9:56Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller5v4
  31. P2 10:59Shot by Killorn, saved by Miller
  32. P2 11:25Shot by Bergeron, saved by Miller
  33. P2 13:21Shot by Crombeen, saved by Miller
  34. P2 14:55Shot by Gerbe, saved by Garon
  35. P2 16:54Shot by Pominville, saved by Garon
  36. P2 17:00Shot by Vanek, saved by Garon
  37. P2 17:58Shot by Kaleta, saved by Garon
  38. P2 18:13Shot by Hecht, saved by Garon
  39. P2 18:40Shot by Ott, saved by Garon
  40. P2 18:57Shot by Killorn, saved by Miller
  41. P2 18:57Shot by Killorn, saved by Miller
  42. P2 19:28Shot by Pominville, saved by Garon
  43. P2 19:59Shot by Bergeron, saved by Miller
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:23Shot by Purcell, saved by Miller
  47. P3 0:27Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller
  48. P3 0:52Goal by Myers (Vanek, Hodgson)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Thompson, Lee, Pyatt, Killorn, Hedman · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Hodgson, Myers

  49. P3 2:23Shot by Conacher, saved by Miller
  50. P3 4:02Shot by Regehr, saved by Garon
  51. P3 4:54Ehrhoff: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Pouliot, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sekera, Hodgson

  52. P3 7:32Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
  53. P3 7:56Shot by Killorn, saved by Miller
  54. P3 9:39Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Miller
  55. P3 11:29Shot by Hecht, saved by Garon
  56. P3 12:04Shot by Pyatt, saved by Miller
  57. P3 15:00Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller
  58. P3 15:07Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller
  59. P3 15:21Shot by Hedman, saved by Miller
  60. P3 15:39Shot by Hodgson, saved by Garon
  61. P3 16:15Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
  62. P3 16:33Shot by Gerbe, saved by Garon
  63. P3 16:42Shot by Pouliot, saved by Miller
  64. P3 17:47Shot by Regehr, saved by Garon
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final