Tue, Feb 26, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.
64%
9%
8%
19%
TBL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Pominville–Vanek–Hodgson | Ott–Gerbe–Ennis | Stafford–Porter–Foligno | Hecht–Kaleta–Grigorenko | Ott–Vanek–Hodgson | Regehr–Sekera | Ehrhoff–Myers | Pardy–Weber | Ehrhoff–Sekera | Pardy–Myers | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Pouliot | 2:350.05–0.07 | 3:510.11–0.02 | 1:220.08–0.11 | 0:570.04–0.03 | 4:240.11–0.12 | 2:210.12–0.07 | 2:540.11–0.11 | |||
| Purcell–Stamkos–Conacher | 4:000.23–0.05 | 1:090.30–0.10 | 2:410.14–0.00 | 3:340.30–0.05 | 1:450.27–0.10 | 2:290.14–0.00 | ||||
| Thompson–Pyatt–Killorn | 3:500.00–0.24 | 1:500.19–0.04 | 0:560.06–0.00 | 1:540.03–0.04 | 5:140.03–0.29 | 0:320.16–0.00 | ||||
| Crombeen–Thompson–Panik | 0:340.00–0.05 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.05 | ||||||
| Crombeen–Stamkos–Panik | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Crombeen–Pyatt–Panik | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| St. Louis–Crombeen–Panik | 0:350.02–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.01 | 0:300.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Brewer–Carle | 1:190.00–0.03 | 2:370.24–0.03 | 1:140.08–0.11 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 3:280.03–0.06 | 1:040.29–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.11 | ||
| Brewer–Hedman | 1:320.00–0.05 | 1:280.00–0.02 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.07 | 2:350.00–0.05 | 1:500.00–0.06 | 0:460.00–0.03 | |||
| Salo–Hedman | 2:370.00–0.10 | 0:520.02–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:450.02–0.01 | |||||
| Lee–Hedman | 1:300.00–0.20 | 1:100.00–0.04 | 3:120.09–0.20 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Bergeron–Aulie | 1:310.00–0.14 | 1:460.19–0.00 | 0:560.04–0.03 | 1:300.07–0.10 | 1:100.00–0.01 | 0:480.14–0.00 | ||||
| Carle–Lee | 1:040.16–0.09 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:520.16–0.09 | |||||||
| Carle–Hedman | 1:080.23–0.05 | 1:190.23–0.05 | ||||||||
| Bergeron–Carle | 1:160.02–0.00 | 1:240.02–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Lee–Aulie | 0:450.03–0.00 | 0:370.03–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:450.03–0.00 | 1:040.03–0.00 | |||||
| Brewer–Aulie | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:050.04–0.00 | 0:390.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Bergeron–Lee | 0:340.00–0.03 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:080.04–0.03 | |||||||
| Brewer–Bergeron | 0:370.11–0.00 | 0:370.11–0.00 | ||||||||
| Brewer–Lee |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 31 | 24:55 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 4 | 5 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 22 | 24:28 | 1:07 | 3:39 | 2 | 1 |
 Robyn RegehrBUF | 31 | 24:07 | 0:47 | 2:05 | 2 | 6 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 21 | 23:01 | 1:06 | 2:07 | 2 | 0 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 28 | 22:45 | 0:49 | 1:57 | 5 | 2 |
 Andrej SekeraBUF | 28 | 22:37 | 0:48 | 2:05 | 2 | 2 |
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 19 | 21:44 | 1:09 | 2:07 | 2 | 0 |
 Christian EhrhoffBUF | 29 | 20:29 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 4 | 3 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 27 | 20:15 | 0:45 | 1:46 | 3 | 4 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 24 | 20:04 | 0:50 | 2:20 | 3 | 6 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 23 | 19:51 | 0:52 | 2:11 | 2 | 4 |
 Steve OttBUF | 26 | 19:31 | 0:45 | 1:47 | 3 | 5 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 25 | 19:22 | 0:46 | 1:52 | 0 | 8 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 21 | 19:12 | 0:55 | 2:15 | 5 | 2 |
 Benoit PouliotTBL | 21 | 19:02 | 0:54 | 1:38 | 2 | 0 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 24 | 18:50 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 2 | 2 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 21 | 18:18 | 0:52 | 2:19 | 3 | 5 |
 Cory ConacherTBL | 19 | 17:19 | 0:55 | 1:36 | 6 | 1 |
 Marc-Andre BergeronTBL | 25 | 15:52 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 6 | 1 |
 Kevin PorterBUF | 22 | 15:27 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 18 | 15:18 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 3 | 1 |
 Adam PardyBUF | 17 | 14:17 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 0 | 2 |
 Nathan GerbeBUF | 17 | 14:07 | 0:50 | 1:21 | 1 | 1 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 19 | 13:51 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 1 | 4 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 23 | 13:41 | 0:36 | 1:21 | 0 | 5 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 17 | 13:25 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 0 | 2 |
 Brian LeeTBL | 18 | 12:45 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 0 | 0 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 17 | 12:38 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 0 | 0 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 16 | 11:09 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 2 | 1 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 16 | 10:27 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 13 | 10:17 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 1 | 0 |
 Sami SaloTBL | 12 | 9:19 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 B.J. CrombeenTBL | 11 | 9:03 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 0 | 1 |
 Richard PanikTBL | 9 | 8:36 | 0:57 | 1:26 | 0 | 2 |
 Jochen HechtBUF | 10 | 5:52 | 0:35 | 1:00 | 1 | 0 |
 Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF | 8 | 5:25 | 0:41 | 0:49 | 1 | 0 |