Tue, Feb 26, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.
64%
9%
8%
19%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Robyn RegehrD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:07 | 0.06 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Andrej SekeraD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:37 | 0.00 | 52.2% | +18.2 |
 Christian EhrhoffD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:29 | 0.00 | 55.0% | 0.0 |
 Jason PominvilleRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:04 | 0.05 | 58.3% | 0.0 |
 Cody HodgsonC · #19 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:51 | 0.26 | 62.8% | +42.0 |
 Steve OttC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:31 | 0.09 | 31.5% | 0.0 |
 Mike WeberD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:22 | 0.00 | 35.1% | 0.0 |
 Tyler MyersD · #57 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.11 | 45.2% | +23.8 |
 Thomas VanekLW · #26 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:18 | 0.15 | 66.9% | +42.0 |
 Kevin PorterC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:27 | 0.00 | 21.8% | 0.0 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.13 | 33.8% | 0.0 |
 Adam PardyD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 31.1% | 0.0 |
 Nathan GerbeC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:07 | 0.24 | 40.8% | 0.0 |
 Drew StaffordRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.19 | 23.2% | 0.0 |
 Patrick KaletaRW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:27 | 0.04 | 62.0% | 0.0 |
 Marcus FolignoLW · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:17 | 0.02 | 22.8% | 0.0 |
 Jochen HechtC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:52 | 0.08 | 60.3% | 0.0 |
 Mikhail GrigorenkoC · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:25 | 0.03 | 71.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan Miller#30 | W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 2.57 | +1.6 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 24:55 | 0.22 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 24:28 | 0.70 | 77.7% | +16.3 |
 Martin St. LouisRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23:01 | 0.37 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
 Matt CarleD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:45 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 |
 Vincent LecavalierC · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:44 | 0.09 | 51.2% | 0.0 |
 Eric BrewerD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:15 | 0.02 | 58.7% | 0.0 |
 Teddy PurcellLW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:12 | 0.15 | 76.1% | +16.3 |
 Benoit PouliotLW · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:02 | 0.21 | 55.4% | 0.0 |
 Cory ConacherC · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.27 | 77.5% | +16.3 |
 Marc-Andre BergeronD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:52 | 0.17 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
 Nate ThompsonC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.00 | 28.3% | 0.0 |
 Tom PyattLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.03 | 40.7% | 0.0 |
 Brian LeeD · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:45 | 0.00 | 42.1% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 12:38 | 0.32 | 44.5% | 0.0 |
 Keith AulieD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.00 | 58.0% | 0.0 |
 Sami SaloD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:19 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0 |
 B.J. CrombeenRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:03 | 0.02 | 33.8% | 0.0 |
 Richard PanikRW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:36 | 0.00 | 19.2% | 0.0 |
 Mathieu Garon#32 | L | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 1.44 | −0.6 | 58:41 |