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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 28, 2013·Madison Square Garden, New York

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 4

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Final

Home

New York Rangers

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 77% of the time.

NYR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:43Shot by Richards, saved by Garon
  3. P1 0:50Shot by Nash, saved by Garon
  4. P1 1:49Shot by Gaborik, saved by Garon
  5. P1 1:52Shot by Gaborik, saved by Garon
  6. P1 2:58Shot by Thompson, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 4:15Shot by Richards, saved by Garon
  8. P1 4:22Shot by Hagelin, saved by Garon
  9. P1 4:25Shot by Hagelin, saved by Garon
  10. P1 5:07Carle: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Boyle, Stralman, McDonagh, Miller · TBL Carle, Pyatt, Stamkos, Hedman, Conacher

  11. P1 5:44Shot by Nash, saved by Garon5v4
  12. P1 5:55Shot by Richards, saved by Garon5v4
  13. P1 6:09Shot by Staal, saved by Garon5v4
  14. P1 7:10Shot by Stralman, saved by Garon
  15. P1 7:15Shot by McDonagh, saved by Garon
  16. P1 7:23Goal by Hagelin (McDonagh)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Stralman, Powe, McDonagh, Hagelin, Miller · TBL Lecavalier, Pouliot, Lee, Killorn, Aulie

  17. P1 8:35Shot by Pyatt, saved by Garon
  18. P1 8:40Goal by Stepan (Callahan, Girardi)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Callahan, Staal, Girardi, Stepan · TBL Brewer, Mikkelson, Purcell, Stamkos, Conacher

  19. P1 8:46Crombeen: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Halpern, Eminger, Powe, Del Zotto, Bickel · TBL Bergeron, Crombeen, Thompson, Lee, Panik

  20. P1 8:46Bickel: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Halpern, Eminger, Powe, Del Zotto, Bickel · TBL Bergeron, Crombeen, Thompson, Lee, Panik

  21. P1 8:50Shot by Stralman, saved by Garon
  22. P1 9:47Shot by Nash, saved by Garon
  23. P1 11:02Shot by Miller, saved by Garon
  24. P1 11:09Eminger: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Eminger, Boyle, Del Zotto, Miller · TBL Bergeron, Thompson, Lee, Pyatt, Panik

  25. P1 13:44Shot by Nash, saved by Garon
  26. P1 16:00Shot by Gaborik, saved by Garon
  27. P1 16:09Goal by St. Louis (Brewer, Stamkos)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Nash, Girardi, McDonagh · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Aulie, Stamkos, Conacher

  28. P1 19:44Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:24Shot by Girardi, saved by Garon
  32. P2 1:34Shot by Miller, saved by Garon
  33. P2 1:45Shot by Eminger, saved by Garon
  34. P2 2:27Brewer: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Halpern, Stralman, Powe, McDonagh, Bickel · TBL Brewer, Pyatt, Purcell, Killorn, Aulie

  35. P2 2:45Shot by Nash, saved by Garon5v4
  36. P2 3:08Shot by Nash, saved by Garon5v4
  37. P2 3:53Stamkos: Delaying game smothering puck (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Gaborik, Girardi, Del Zotto, Miller · TBL St. Louis, Lee, Aulie, Stamkos

  38. P2 4:10Shot by Nash, saved by Garon5v3
  39. P2 4:27Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist5v3
  40. P2 5:30Shot by Nash, saved by Garon5v4
  41. P2 6:19Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 8:29Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 8:58Shot by Pyatt, saved by Garon
  44. P2 9:00Shot by Stepan, saved by Garon
  45. P2 12:07Shot by Callahan, saved by Garon
  46. P2 14:09Shot by Purcell, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 14:14Shot by Brewer, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 14:17Killorn: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Halpern, Gaborik, Boyle, Stralman, McDonagh · TBL Brewer, Pouliot, Purcell, Killorn, Hedman

  49. P2 15:05Shot by Nash, saved by Garon5v4
  50. P2 16:05Shot by Miller, saved by Garon5v4
  51. P2 16:03Shot by Miller, saved by Garon5v4
  52. P2 16:08Goal by Staal (Miller, Nash)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Nash, Callahan, Staal, Miller · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Crombeen, Aulie

  53. P2 16:18Shot by Hagelin, saved by Garon
  54. P2 16:46Stralman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Boyle, Stralman, McDonagh, Hagelin · TBL Lecavalier, Bergeron, Pouliot, Lee, Purcell

  55. P2 17:16Shot by Bergeron, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  56. P2 17:40Shot by Bergeron, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  57. P2 18:14Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 1:12Shot by Nash, saved by Garon
  61. P3 1:28Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 1:54Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P3 2:05Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 2:36Shot by Conacher, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 2:56Shot by Bergeron, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 3:25Shot by Hagelin, saved by Garon
  67. P3 3:28Shot by Nash, saved by Garon
  68. P3 4:36Shot by McDonagh, saved by Garon
  69. P3 4:58Girardi: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Callahan, Staal, Girardi, Stepan · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Mikkelson, Stamkos, Conacher

  70. P3 5:57Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  71. P3 6:57Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  72. P3 8:10Shot by Bergeron, saved by Lundqvist
  73. P3 8:53Shot by Stralman, saved by Garon
  74. P3 9:20Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist
  75. P3 10:05Shot by Purcell, saved by Lundqvist
  76. P3 14:12Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lundqvist
  77. P3 16:01Shot by Bergeron, saved by Lundqvist
  78. P3 16:11Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist
  79. P3 17:35Shot by Purcell, saved by Lundqvist
  80. P3 17:47Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Garon
  81. P3 18:27Goal by Nash (Richards, McDonagh)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Pyatt, Nash, McDonagh, Del Zotto · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Purcell, Hedman

  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final