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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 28, 2013·Madison Square Garden, New York

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 77% of the time.

NYR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Stamkos–ConacherLecavalier–Pouliot–PurcellSt. Louis–Lecavalier–PouliotPyatt–Killorn–PanikThompson–Pyatt–KillornPurcell–Stamkos–ConacherCrombeen–Thompson–PanikThompson–Purcell–KillornSt. Louis–Lecavalier–ConacherCrombeen–Thompson–StamkosCarle–HedmanBrewer–AulieBergeron–LeeBrewer–MikkelsonCarle–LeeBergeron–MikkelsonBergeron–HedmanLee–MikkelsonBrewer–CarleAulie–HedmanBrewer–Lee
Pyatt–Callahan–Stepan4:280.03–0.101:300.10–0.022:320.09–0.001:090.46–0.010:590.10–0.004:440.22–0.071:310.00–0.100:540.00–0.002:330.69–0.000:370.10–0.000:420.00–0.00
Richards–Nash–Hagelin0:450.00–0.283:230.21–0.090:470.00–0.111:000.00–0.001:180.57–0.003:590.06–0.201:430.32–0.000:580.00–0.280:530.00–0.030:360.40–0.001:000.15–0.00
Gaborik–Boyle–Miller0:300.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:150.17–0.180:310.00–0.000:560.05–0.021:020.00–0.002:040.00–0.141:380.05–0.021:160.28–0.181:220.00–0.00
Richards–Gaborik–Nash0:490.03–0.000:350.00–0.000:310.00–0.20
Pyatt–Boyle–Hagelin0:380.13–0.000:380.13–0.000:460.00–0.02
Staal–Girardi5:260.03–0.141:450.00–0.070:320.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:490.79–0.001:010.10–0.004:470.12–0.073:500.32–0.101:070.00–0.001:430.23–0.030:590.40–0.040:390.00–0.020:310.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:330.00–0.04
Stralman–McDonagh0:550.00–0.003:260.41–0.092:320.09–0.000:360.00–0.005:180.15–0.230:360.00–0.000:490.13–0.000:410.00–0.001:180.00–0.000:420.10–0.000:350.00–0.000:300.00–0.20
McDonagh–Del Zotto0:550.00–0.681:570.02–0.060:390.00–0.110:440.00–0.002:160.00–0.531:070.00–0.280:350.00–0.001:030.20–0.06
Staal–Del Zotto0:320.00–0.000:490.00–0.180:350.03–0.000:340.01–0.000:510.00–0.000:460.00–0.020:320.00–0.00
Eminger–Del Zotto1:200.46–0.010:560.09–0.020:560.09–0.020:430.28–0.001:060.46–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPyatt FStepan FCallahan FRichards FNash FHagelin FMiller FGaborik FBoyle FPowe FHalpern FStralman DMcDonagh DGirardi DStaal DDel Zotto DEminger DBickel DLundqvist GLecavalier FSt. Louis FPouliot FPurcell FConacher FStamkos FPyatt FKillorn FThompson FCrombeen FPanik FCarle DHedman DBrewer DAulie DLee DBergeron DMikkelson DGaron G
NYRTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Marc StaalNYR3026:400:532:0675
Ryan McDonaghNYR2925:340:531:4864
Matt CarleTBL2824:490:532:2638
Victor HedmanTBL3024:490:502:2058
Martin St. LouisTBL2724:100:541:5465
Steven StamkosTBL2723:220:521:2872
Ryan CallahanNYR2923:140:481:5174
Brad RichardsNYR2521:360:521:5183
Dan GirardiNYR2921:220:441:4334
Michael Del ZottoNYR2220:530:571:4782
Derek StepanNYR2819:390:421:4373
Rick NashNYR2419:150:481:5173
Benoit PouliotTBL2619:070:441:2454
Vincent LecavalierTBL2319:000:502:2554
Eric BrewerTBL2618:010:421:3516
Taylor PyattNYR2417:510:451:2651
Carl HagelinNYR2117:290:501:2033
Teddy PurcellTBL2117:020:492:0651
Alex KillornTBL1816:140:542:5142
Anton StralmanNYR2415:170:381:4152
Cory ConacherTBL2114:330:421:2761
Marian GaborikNYR1914:120:452:0341
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL1713:490:492:0650
Brian BoyleNYR2113:210:381:1443
Brian LeeTBL1913:030:411:0712
Nate ThompsonTBL2112:570:371:1308
Keith AulieTBL1812:430:421:3212
J.T. MillerNYR1712:330:441:3360
Tom PyattTBL1711:520:421:5822
B.J. CrombeenTBL159:330:381:1305
Brendan MikkelsonTBL169:270:351:5502
Jeff HalpernNYR159:100:371:0115
Darroll PoweNYR148:160:351:1415
Richard PanikTBL117:380:421:5811
Steve EmingerNYR74:200:371:2020
Stu BickelNYR63:180:330:5911