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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 28, 2013·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Buffalo Sabres 4, Florida Panthers 3 (SO)

Away

Buffalo Sabres

4

Final

Shootout

Home

Florida Panthers

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 78% of the time.

FLA winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:05Shot by Skille, saved by Miller
  3. P1 2:47Scott: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: FLA Parros, Smithson, Santorelli, Kulikov, Gudbranson · BUF Regehr, Sekera, Kaleta, Scott, Grigorenko

  4. P1 2:47Parros: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: FLA Parros, Smithson, Santorelli, Kulikov, Gudbranson · BUF Regehr, Sekera, Kaleta, Scott, Grigorenko

  5. P1 4:15Shot by Goc, saved by Miller
  6. P1 6:30Goal by Gerbe (Ott, Ennis)+20 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Mueller, Kulikov, Shore, Gudbranson, Huberdeau · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Gerbe, Myers, Ennis

  7. P1 8:24Shot by Campbell, saved by Miller
  8. P1 8:48Shot by Porter, saved by Clemmensen
  9. P1 10:51Shot by Pominville, saved by Clemmensen5v6
  10. P1 10:51Shore: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Strachan, Shore, Huberdeau · BUF Ott, Pominville, Pardy, Gerbe, Weber, Ennis

  11. P1 10:58Shot by Vanek, saved by Clemmensen4v5
  12. P1 11:00Goal by Ennis, unassisted4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Kuba, Kopecky, Goc, Strachan · BUF Ott, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Ennis

  13. P1 11:54Shot by Kaleta, saved by Clemmensen
  14. P1 13:34Shot by Pardy, saved by Clemmensen
  15. P1 13:41Shot by Weber, saved by Clemmensen
  16. P1 13:43Pardy: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Goc, Fleischmann, Strachan, Skille · BUF Pominville, Vanek, Pardy, Weber, Hodgson

  17. P1 14:24Goal by Shore (Kulikov, Campbell)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Mueller, Kulikov, Shore, Huberdeau · BUF Regehr, Ott, Stafford, Weber

  18. P1 15:20Goal by Goc (Fleischmann, Skille)+20 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Goc, Fleischmann, Skille, Kulikov, Gudbranson · BUF Regehr, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Hodgson

  19. P1 15:29Shot by Hecht, saved by Clemmensen
  20. P1 16:20Shot by Santorelli, saved by Miller
  21. P1 16:46Goal by Gerbe (Ott, Weber)+20 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Kuba, Mueller, Shore, Gudbranson, Huberdeau · BUF Ott, Pardy, Gerbe, Weber, Ennis

  22. P1 17:08Shot by Myers, saved by Theodore
  23. P1 17:33Shot by Santorelli, saved by Miller
  24. P1 18:51Shot by Kuba, saved by Miller
  25. P1 18:54Shot by Mueller, saved by Miller
  26. P1 19:48Weber: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Goc, Fleischmann, Strachan · BUF Ott, Pominville, Pardy, Weber, Ennis

  27. P1 19:48Kopecky: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Goc, Fleischmann, Strachan · BUF Ott, Pominville, Pardy, Weber, Ennis

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:18Shot by Myers, saved by Theodore4v4
  31. P2 3:17Shot by Goc, saved by Miller
  32. P2 3:21Shot by Shore, saved by Miller
  33. P2 3:45Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Miller
  34. P2 5:17Shot by Parros, saved by Miller
  35. P2 7:25Vanek: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Mueller, Kulikov, Shore, Huberdeau · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Hodgson, Myers

  36. P2 8:05Shot by Shore, saved by Miller5v4
  37. P2 9:24Shot by Goc, saved by Miller5v4
  38. P2 9:39Shot by Vanek, saved by Theodore
  39. P2 11:16Shot by Parros, saved by Miller
  40. P2 11:28Shot by Kuba, saved by Miller
  41. P2 12:06Shot by Porter, saved by Theodore
  42. P2 12:50Shot by Pominville, saved by Theodore
  43. P2 12:57Shot by Regehr, saved by Theodore
  44. P2 13:21Shot by Skille, saved by Miller
  45. P2 13:46Shot by Skille, saved by Miller
  46. P2 16:33Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Miller
  47. P2 16:38Shot by Kuba, saved by Miller
  48. P2 16:51Shot by Skille, saved by Miller
  49. P2 17:38Shot by Matthias, saved by Miller
  50. P2 18:54Shot by Skille, saved by Miller
  51. P2 19:38Shot by Kulikov, saved by Miller
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:53Shot by Kuba, saved by Miller
  55. P3 1:55Shot by Skille, saved by Miller
  56. P3 2:35Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Miller
  57. P3 4:17Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Miller
  58. P3 4:47Shot by Sekera, saved by Theodore
  59. P3 5:09Shot by Sekera, saved by Theodore
  60. P3 5:25Pardy: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Kuba, Campbell, Goc, Fleischmann, Skille · BUF Pominville, Vanek, Pardy, Weber, Hodgson

  61. P3 5:36Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Miller5v4
  62. P3 6:10Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Miller5v4
  63. P3 7:35Shot by Kulikov, saved by Miller
  64. P3 9:11Shot by Kopecky, saved by Miller
  65. P3 11:27Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Miller
  66. P3 11:28Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Miller
  67. P3 11:33Pardy: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Mueller, Shore, Gudbranson, Huberdeau · BUF Ott, Pardy, Gerbe, Weber, Ennis

  68. P3 12:23Shot by Kaleta, saved by Theodore5v4
  69. P3 14:05Shot by Matthias, saved by Miller
  70. P3 14:12Shot by Strachan, saved by Miller
  71. P3 14:56Shot by Gerbe, saved by Theodore
  72. P3 16:34Shot by Pominville, saved by Theodore
  73. P3 17:18Shot by Hodgson, saved by Theodore
  74. P3 17:26Shot by Mueller, saved by Miller
  75. P3 17:54Shot by Ennis, saved by Theodore
  76. P3 17:56Shot by Ennis, saved by Theodore
  77. P3 18:34Goal by Campbell (Goc)+46 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Goc, Fleischmann, Mueller, Kulikov · BUF Regehr, Pominville, Sekera, Kaleta, Hodgson

  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. OT 0:00Period start
  80. OT 1:07Shot by Pominville, saved by Theodore4v4
  81. OT 1:21Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Miller4v4
  82. OT 1:27Shot by Strachan, saved by Miller4v4
  83. OT 3:19Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Miller4v4
  84. OT 4:59Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Miller4v4
  85. OT 5:00Period end
  86. SO Period start
  87. SO Goal by Vanek, unassistedother
  88. SO Shot by Mueller, saved by Millerother
  89. SO Goal by Pominville, unassistedother
  90. SO Period end
  91. SO Final