Thu, Feb 28, 2013·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Buffalo Sabres 4, Florida Panthers 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 78% of the time.
70%
16%
FLA winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ott–Gerbe–Ennis | Pominville–Vanek–Hodgson | Hecht–Stafford–Porter | Stafford–Porter–Kaleta | Kaleta–Scott–Grigorenko | Vanek–Kaleta–Grigorenko | Vanek–Gerbe–Ennis | Hecht–Kaleta–Scott | Ehrhoff–Myers | Regehr–Sekera | Pardy–Weber | Ehrhoff–Weber | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mueller–Shore–Huberdeau | 4:440.24–0.13 | 1:030.07–0.10 | 2:460.60–0.10 | 1:330.02–0.00 | 3:070.02–0.18 | 5:490.52–0.02 | 2:120.38–0.11 | 0:420.02–0.00 | ||||
| Goc–Fleischmann–Skille | 0:340.03–0.00 | 6:270.55–0.11 | 2:040.07–0.00 | 0:490.04–0.00 | 1:090.02–0.00 | 4:130.33–0.02 | 3:000.27–0.02 | 3:190.12–0.05 | ||||
| Kopecky–Weiss–Matthias | 3:140.06–0.00 | 1:550.02–0.31 | 3:520.00–0.15 | 3:450.04–0.00 | 3:010.05–0.46 | 2:570.02–0.00 | ||||||
| Parros–Smithson–Santorelli | 1:080.08–0.00 | 1:150.01–0.00 | 0:580.01–0.00 | 1:220.08–0.00 | ||||||||
| Kopecky–Weiss–Fleischmann | 1:100.00–0.23 | 0:570.00–0.30 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Smithson–Weiss–Santorelli | 0:340.00–0.08 | 1:140.00–0.08 | ||||||||||
| Weiss–Skille–Matthias | ||||||||||||
| Goc–Skille–Matthias | 0:480.15–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Campbell–Strachan | 1:110.08–0.00 | 3:230.17–0.05 | 2:300.07–0.00 | 1:090.02–0.00 | 3:070.06–0.00 | 2:420.21–0.00 | 2:550.11–0.05 | |||||
| Kulikov–Gudbranson | 4:260.03–0.03 | 2:160.11–0.13 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 3:180.03–0.03 | 5:360.11–0.20 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Kuba–Strachan | 0:350.00–0.00 | 4:060.14–0.23 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:010.01–0.00 | 2:320.01–0.06 | 0:540.00–0.15 | 3:310.14–0.00 | |||||
| Kuba–Campbell | 0:590.00–0.00 | 1:560.40–0.03 | 1:060.02–0.00 | 1:490.27–0.00 | 1:230.16–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:060.02–0.00 | |||||
| Kuba–Kulikov | 1:380.08–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:510.59–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Campbell–Gudbranson | 0:560.24–0.23 | 0:500.01–0.20 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:060.02–0.23 | 1:190.00–0.20 | 0:420.25–0.00 | ||||||
| Campbell–Kulikov | 1:280.00–0.12 | 0:340.00–0.08 | 1:380.03–0.12 | 1:080.02–0.08 | ||||||||
| Kuba–Gudbranson | 0:300.00–0.11 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:550.04–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:260.04–0.11 | |||||||
| Strachan–Kulikov | 1:330.00–0.00 | 1:330.15–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Campbell–Weaver | 1:180.02–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:510.02–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Strachan–Gudbranson | 0:310.00–0.07 |
Every shift, one row per player.
FLABUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Brian CampbellFLA | 30 | 33:16 | 1:07 | 3:10 | 3 | 3 |
 Christian EhrhoffBUF | 32 | 27:39 | 0:52 | 1:51 | 1 | 4 |
 Dmitry KulikovFLA | 30 | 25:53 | 0:52 | 1:38 | 6 | 0 |
 Andrej SekeraBUF | 29 | 24:16 | 0:50 | 1:50 | 2 | 4 |
 Filip KubaFLA | 28 | 24:09 | 0:52 | 1:47 | 2 | 1 |
 Robyn RegehrBUF | 31 | 23:40 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 1 | 9 |
 Tyson StrachanFLA | 26 | 23:26 | 0:54 | 1:24 | 2 | 5 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 29 | 23:12 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 1 | 4 |
 Tomas FleischmannFLA | 27 | 22:00 | 0:49 | 1:42 | 4 | 3 |
 Drew ShoreFLA | 26 | 21:09 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 7 | 1 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauFLA | 29 | 21:08 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 9 | 1 |
 Erik GudbransonFLA | 27 | 21:05 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 2 | 0 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 24 | 19:55 | 0:50 | 1:58 | 1 | 3 |
 Steve OttBUF | 26 | 19:54 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 2 | 7 |
 Stephen WeissFLA | 27 | 19:52 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 5 | 2 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 23 | 19:19 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 1 | 4 |
 Marcel GocFLA | 26 | 19:16 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 1 | 4 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 25 | 18:52 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 2 | 5 |
 Tomas KopeckyFLA | 25 | 18:23 | 0:44 | 1:32 | 4 | 2 |
 Peter MuellerFLA | 25 | 18:22 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 9 | 0 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 23 | 18:02 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 0 | 4 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 22 | 17:28 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 0 | 4 |
 Nathan GerbeBUF | 22 | 17:27 | 0:48 | 1:18 | 1 | 5 |
 Kevin PorterBUF | 20 | 17:06 | 0:51 | 1:08 | 0 | 2 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 23 | 16:46 | 0:44 | 1:37 | 0 | 6 |
 Jack SkilleFLA | 20 | 15:03 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Adam PardyBUF | 19 | 14:00 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 0 | 2 |
 Shawn MatthiasFLA | 18 | 13:48 | 0:46 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Jochen HechtBUF | 14 | 12:45 | 0:55 | 1:42 | 0 | 1 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 15 | 11:39 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 0 | 2 |
 Mike SantorelliFLA | 11 | 8:17 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 1 | 0 |
 Jerred SmithsonFLA | 11 | 6:07 | 0:33 | 0:55 | 3 | 0 |
 Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF | 7 | 5:02 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 0 | 0 |
 John ScottBUF | 6 | 4:44 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 0 | 0 |
 George ParrosFLA | 7 | 4:26 | 0:38 | 1:17 | 0 | 0 |
 Mike WeaverFLA | 4 | 2:11 | 0:33 | 0:41 | 0 | 0 |