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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 2, 2013·TD Garden, Boston

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Boston Bruins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.

BOS winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:32Shot by Bergeron, saved by Garon
  3. P1 0:34Shot by Seguin, saved by Garon
  4. P1 0:54Shot by Bergeron, saved by Garon
  5. P1 1:37Shot by Boychuk, saved by Garon
  6. P1 2:34Shot by Labrie, saved by Khudobin
  7. P1 5:11Lucic: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Boychuk, Horton, Krejci, Lucic · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Carle, Pouliot, Hedman

  8. P1 5:32Goal by Stamkos (Purcell, Bergeron)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Kelly, Seidenberg, Peverley · TBL St. Louis, Bergeron, Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos

  9. P1 5:45Campbell: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Pandolfo, Ference, Campbell, Bourque, McQuaid · TBL Brewer, Crombeen, Thompson, Aulie, Labrie

  10. P1 5:45Aulie: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BOS Pandolfo, Ference, Campbell, Bourque, McQuaid · TBL Brewer, Crombeen, Thompson, Aulie, Labrie

  11. P1 6:49Shot by Pyatt, saved by Khudobin4v4
  12. P1 7:46Ference: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Ference, Kelly, Campbell, McQuaid, Seguin · TBL Lecavalier, Pouliot, Mikkelson, Aulie, Hedman

  13. P1 8:38Goal by Killorn (Purcell, St. Louis)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Kelly, Boychuk, Paille · TBL St. Louis, Bergeron, Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos

  14. P1 8:57McQuaid: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Horton, Krejci, McQuaid, Lucic · TBL Brewer, Crombeen, Thompson, Aulie, Labrie

  15. P1 8:57Labrie: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Horton, Krejci, McQuaid, Lucic · TBL Brewer, Crombeen, Thompson, Aulie, Labrie

  16. P1 10:45Seidenberg: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Ference, Seidenberg, Horton, Krejci, Lucic · TBL Lecavalier, Pouliot, Lee, Mikkelson, Pyatt

  17. P1 11:02Shot by Killorn, saved by Khudobin4v5
  18. P1 13:12Aulie: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Kelly, Boychuk, Paille, Peverley · TBL Brewer, Crombeen, Thompson, Pyatt, Aulie

  19. P1 13:33Shot by Seguin, saved by Garon5v4
  20. P1 16:31Shot by Ference, saved by Garon
  21. P1 19:29Shot by Hamilton, saved by Garon
  22. P1 19:51Lucic: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Ference, Horton, Krejci, Lucic · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Carle, Stamkos, Hedman

  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:17Shot by Bergeron, saved by Khudobin4v5
  26. P2 1:31Shot by Carle, saved by Khudobin4v5
  27. P2 1:54Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Khudobin
  28. P2 2:04Brewer: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Horton, Krejci, McQuaid, Lucic · TBL Brewer, Crombeen, Thompson, Aulie, Labrie

  29. P2 2:59Shot by Lucic, saved by Garon5v4
  30. P2 3:13Shot by Hamilton, saved by Garon5v4
  31. P2 3:22Goal by Seguin (Hamilton, Krejci)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Horton, Krejci, Lucic, Seguin, Hamilton · TBL Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Hedman

  32. P2 4:39Goal by Peverley (McQuaid, Paille)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Kelly, Paille, Peverley, McQuaid · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Killorn, Aulie

  33. P2 4:44Crombeen: Elbowing (5 min)

    On ice: BOS Pandolfo, Ference, Campbell, McQuaid, Seguin · TBL Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Labrie, Hedman

  34. P2 4:44Campbell: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BOS Pandolfo, Ference, Campbell, McQuaid, Seguin · TBL Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Labrie, Hedman

  35. P2 5:06Shot by Seguin, saved by Garon
  36. P2 5:29Shot by Chara, saved by Garon
  37. P2 5:38Shot by Chara, saved by Garon
  38. P2 6:22Shot by Bergeron, saved by Garon
  39. P2 6:29Lecavalier: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Boychuk, Bergeron, Marchand, Seguin · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Carle, Killorn, Hedman

  40. P2 8:28Shot by Bourque, saved by Garon5v4
  41. P2 9:28Pandolfo: Boarding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BOS Pandolfo, Ference, Kelly, Boychuk, Paille · TBL St. Louis, Lee, Mikkelson, Purcell, Stamkos, Conacher

  42. P2 10:11Shot by St. Louis, saved by Khudobin4v5
  43. P2 10:13Shot by Bergeron, saved by Khudobin4v5
  44. P2 10:51Shot by St. Louis, saved by Khudobin4v5
  45. P2 11:32Shot by Conacher, saved by Khudobin
  46. P2 15:49Ference: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: BOS Ference, Kelly, Paille, Peverley, McQuaid · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Thompson, Pyatt, Aulie

  47. P2 18:30Shot by Hedman, saved by Khudobin4v5
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:01Shot by Conacher, saved by Khudobin
  51. P3 1:15Shot by Bergeron, saved by Garon
  52. P3 1:43Shot by Carle, saved by Khudobin
  53. P3 2:59Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Garon
  54. P3 3:33Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Garon
  55. P3 5:28Shot by Bergeron, saved by Khudobin
  56. P3 5:40Shot by Krejci, saved by Garon
  57. P3 7:05Shot by Seguin, saved by Garon
  58. P3 8:08Shot by Horton, saved by Garon
  59. P3 10:46Shot by Killorn, saved by Khudobin
  60. P3 10:46Hamilton: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Pandolfo, Ference, Campbell, Bourque, Hamilton · TBL St. Louis, Carle, Lee, Killorn, Stamkos

  61. P3 12:52Shot by Bergeron, saved by Khudobin
  62. P3 13:35Shot by McQuaid, saved by Garon
  63. P3 14:20Shot by Ference, saved by Garon
  64. P3 14:21Mikkelson: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: BOS Ference, Bergeron, Lucic, Seguin, Hamilton · TBL Lecavalier, Lee, Mikkelson, Pyatt, Conacher

  65. P3 14:38Shot by Chara, saved by Garon5v4
  66. P3 15:02Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Garon5v4
  67. P3 15:35Shot by Killorn, saved by Khudobin5v4
  68. P3 17:44Goal by Marchand (Bergeron)5v4+44 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Seidenberg, Bergeron, Peverley, Marchand · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Stamkos, Hedman

  69. P3 18:21Shot by Bergeron, saved by Khudobin
  70. P3 18:33Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Khudobin5v6
  71. P3 19:35Shot by St. Louis, saved by Khudobin5v6
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final