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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 2, 2013·TD Garden, Boston

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Boston Bruins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.

BOS winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Crombeen–Thompson–LabriePurcell–Stamkos–ConacherSt. Louis–Killorn–StamkosSt. Louis–Lecavalier–KillornSt. Louis–Lecavalier–PouliotCrombeen–Thompson–KillornCrombeen–Thompson–PyattSt. Louis–Pyatt–StamkosSt. Louis–Lecavalier–PyattSt. Louis–Stamkos–ConacherCarle–HedmanBrewer–AulieLee–MikkelsonLee–AulieBrewer–MikkelsonBergeron–Lee
Horton–Krejci–Lucic1:180.03–0.010:360.04–0.000:360.05–0.001:400.05–0.000:550.00–0.002:390.06–0.002:070.04–0.001:460.08–0.000:430.02–0.001:200.03–0.00
Bergeron–Marchand–Seguin1:110.61–0.030:330.00–0.061:060.16–0.000:520.00–0.040:470.00–0.000:510.00–0.003:490.69–0.073:320.00–0.040:480.08–0.03
Kelly–Paille–Peverley1:260.02–0.000:300.06–0.000:460.02–0.001:050.00–0.002:070.02–0.001:310.06–0.001:050.02–0.00
Pandolfo–Campbell–Bourque2:350.00–0.030:430.00–0.160:540.00–0.001:050.00–0.001:110.00–0.05
Seidenberg–Boychuk0:500.00–0.001:400.04–0.000:320.05–0.000:410.16–0.000:300.00–0.002:010.16–0.001:480.05–0.001:280.04–0.00
Chara–Boychuk0:300.00–0.041:580.10–0.001:100.00–0.040:510.00–0.001:030.04–0.002:090.00–0.040:310.08–0.031:170.06–0.000:310.00–0.03
Ference–McQuaid0:500.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:560.00–0.000:580.00–0.000:550.02–0.000:350.00–0.00
Ference–Hamilton0:440.00–0.000:430.00–0.161:060.02–0.001:430.09–0.001:070.02–0.000:420.00–0.02
Chara–Hamilton0:370.00–0.000:440.08–0.000:450.00–0.061:440.08–0.061:040.00–0.00
Seidenberg–Hamilton0:560.00–0.080:560.00–0.00
Chara–McQuaid0:300.06–0.000:470.00–0.001:070.06–0.000:300.00–0.00
Seidenberg–McQuaid0:560.03–0.000:320.47–0.000:320.47–0.001:100.03–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPaille FKelly FPeverley FSeguin FBergeron FMarchand FLucic FHorton FKrejci FPandolfo FCampbell FBourque FHamilton DSeidenberg DMcQuaid DChara DBoychuk DFerence DKhudobin GKillorn FSt. Louis FThompson FPurcell FConacher FStamkos FPouliot FLecavalier FCrombeen FLabrie FPyatt FBrewer DHedman DAulie DCarle DMikkelson DLee DBergeron DGaron G
BOSTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3127:090:532:0157
Zdeno CharaBOS2726:310:591:5126
Martin St. LouisTBL2926:180:542:0543
Steven StamkosTBL2825:380:551:4542
Matt CarleTBL2724:250:542:0147
Patrice BergeronBOS2622:080:511:3928
Johnny BoychukBOS2522:070:531:5125
Dennis SeidenbergBOS2621:020:491:4227
Vincent LecavalierTBL2320:210:532:1633
Alex KillornTBL2519:060:461:4972
Tom PyattTBL2118:560:542:4213
David KrejciBOS2118:500:541:3632
Brad MarchandBOS2117:570:511:2441
Teddy PurcellTBL2317:190:451:3952
Dougie HamiltonBOS1917:180:551:3532
Tyler SeguinBOS1716:100:571:5140
Nathan HortonBOS1716:010:571:4330
Nate ThompsonTBL2315:460:411:2813
Eric BrewerTBL2315:170:401:4013
Milan LucicBOS1614:540:561:3330
Andrew FerenceBOS2114:470:422:0210
Cory ConacherTBL2314:280:381:1733
B.J. CrombeenTBL1813:540:461:3022
Keith AulieTBL2313:460:361:4013
Chris KellyBOS2213:450:381:4414
Rich PeverleyBOS2012:250:371:3734
Gregory CampbellBOS1611:480:442:0212
Adam McQuaidBOS1811:400:391:3813
Daniel PailleBOS1710:510:381:0513
Brian LeeTBL1710:280:371:0101
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL1310:200:481:3350
Jay PandolfoBOS149:160:401:3401
Brendan MikkelsonTBL148:280:361:1701
Chris BourqueBOS107:170:441:3410
Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL105:340:330:5610
Benoit PouliotTBL53:560:471:1800