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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 3, 2013·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 2, New York Rangers 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 53% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 1:49Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Miller
  4. P1 3:07Shot by Stepan, saved by Miller
  5. P1 6:05Bickel: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Halpern, Eminger, Powe, Del Zotto, Bickel · BUF Regehr, Sekera, Porter, Kaleta, Flynn

  6. P1 6:21Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  7. P1 7:16Shot by Halpern, saved by Miller4v5
  8. P1 9:50Pardy: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Callahan, Stralman, McDonagh, Stepan · BUF Hecht, Stafford, Sekera, Pardy, Grigorenko

  9. P1 10:34Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Miller5v4
  10. P1 11:12Shot by Richards, saved by Miller5v4
  11. P1 11:16Shot by Richards, saved by Miller5v4
  12. P1 15:48Shot by Ennis, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 18:00Shot by Pominville, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 18:34Shot by Richards, saved by Miller
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 1:20Shot by Pominville, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P2 2:59Shot by Flynn, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P2 3:29Shot by Eminger, saved by Miller
  20. P2 5:30Shot by Weber, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P2 6:00Shot by Callahan, saved by Miller
  22. P2 6:49Shot by Miller, saved by Miller
  23. P2 7:30Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P2 7:47Shot by Myers, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P2 8:04Goal by Stafford (Grigorenko)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Stralman, Hagelin, Del Zotto · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Stafford, Sekera, Grigorenko

  26. P2 8:42Shot by Nash, saved by Miller
  27. P2 10:46Shot by Myers, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 11:36Shot by Pyatt, saved by Miller
  29. P2 12:03Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P2 12:05Shot by Ott, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 12:12Shot by Kaleta, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 12:56Shot by Hagelin, saved by Miller
  33. P2 15:48Shot by Flynn, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 15:59Shot by Hagelin, saved by Miller
  35. P2 16:47Staal: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Callahan, Staal, Girardi, Stepan · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Weber, Hodgson, Foligno

  36. P2 16:57Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  37. P2 17:00Shot by Stafford, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  38. P2 17:57Shot by Halpern, saved by Miller4v5
  39. P2 18:06Shot by Myers, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  40. P2 19:48Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 1:46Shot by Callahan, saved by Miller
  44. P3 2:22Shot by Boyle, saved by Miller
  45. P3 2:55Sekera: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Boyle, Stralman, McDonagh, Miller · BUF Hecht, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Sekera, Grigorenko

  46. P3 3:28Kaleta: Checking from behind (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Richards, Nash, Callahan, Del Zotto, Stepan · BUF Regehr, Ott, Kaleta, Weber

  47. P3 3:28Kaleta: Game misconduct (10 min)5v3

    On ice: NYR Richards, Nash, Callahan, Del Zotto, Stepan · BUF Regehr, Ott, Kaleta, Weber

  48. P3 3:35Goal by Stepan (Nash, Gaborik)5v3+25 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Nash, Callahan, Del Zotto, Stepan · BUF Regehr, Pominville, Weber

  49. P3 4:18Goal by Nash (Gaborik, Del Zotto)5v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Nash, Callahan, Del Zotto, Stepan · BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Porter, Weber

  50. P3 6:33Shot by Miller, saved by Miller5v4
  51. P3 7:40Shot by Miller, saved by Miller5v4
  52. P3 7:57Shot by Weber, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  53. P3 8:19Goal by Gerbe (Ott)5v4+33 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Callahan, McDonagh, Del Zotto, Stepan · BUF Regehr, Ott, Gerbe, Weber

  54. P3 9:25Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  55. P3 9:28Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  56. P3 9:47Shot by Foligno, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 11:15Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 14:38Shot by Hagelin, saved by Miller
  59. P3 15:01Shot by McDonagh, saved by Miller
  60. P3 15:03Nash: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Nash, Stralman, McDonagh, Hagelin · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Sekera, Porter, Flynn

  61. P3 15:17Shot by Ott, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  62. P3 19:26Nash: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Nash, Staal, Girardi, Hagelin · BUF Regehr, Pominville, Sekera, Hodgson, Foligno

  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. OT 0:00Period start
  65. OT 0:22Shot by Pominville, saved by Lundqvist3v4
  66. OT 0:29Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lundqvist3v4
  67. OT 0:54Girardi: Boarding (2 min)3v5

    On ice: NYR Callahan, Staal, Girardi · BUF Ott, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Hodgson, Ennis

  68. OT 1:12Shot by Pominville, saved by Lundqvist3v5
  69. OT 1:37Shot by Ennis, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  70. OT 2:23Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lundqvist3v4
  71. OT 2:26Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Lundqvist3v4
  72. OT 2:36Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lundqvist3v4
  73. OT 2:43Shot by Stepan, saved by Miller3v4
  74. OT 3:53Shot by Nash, saved by Miller4v4
  75. OT 5:00Period end
  76. SO Period start
  77. SO Goal by Nash, unassistedother
  78. SO Shot by Pominville, saved by Lundqvistother
  79. SO Goal by Callahan, unassistedother
  80. SO Shot by Ennis, saved by Lundqvistother
  81. SO Period end
  82. SO Final