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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 5, 2013·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Buffalo Sabres 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 65% of the time.

CAR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:31Goal by Tlusty (Staal, Semin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Semin, Staal, Tlusty, McBain, Sanguinetti · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Gerbe, Myers, Ennis

  3. P1 2:26Shot by Corvo, saved by Miller
  4. P1 3:22Shot by Wallace, saved by Miller
  5. P1 5:04Shot by Flynn, saved by Peters
  6. P1 7:00Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  7. P1 7:10Shot by Tlusty, saved by Miller
  8. P1 7:46Shot by Gleason, saved by Miller
  9. P1 9:20Shot by Hecht, saved by Peters
  10. P1 13:04Shot by Foligno, saved by Peters
  11. P1 13:19Shot by Brennan, saved by Peters
  12. P1 15:39Shot by Tlusty, saved by Miller
  13. P1 15:56Shot by Foligno, saved by Peters
  14. P1 16:45Shot by Stafford, saved by Peters
  15. P1 16:57Shot by Nash, saved by Miller
  16. P1 17:06Shot by Nash, saved by Miller
  17. P1 17:13Shot by Jokinen, saved by Miller
  18. P1 17:17Regehr: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Jokinen, Dwyer, McBain, Sanguinetti, Nash · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Stafford, Sekera, Grigorenko

  19. P1 18:37Shot by Semin, saved by Miller5v4
  20. P1 18:36Shot by Tlusty, saved by Miller5v4
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:15Shot by Ott, saved by Peters
  24. P2 4:21Shot by Ennis, saved by Peters
  25. P2 4:52Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  26. P2 5:23Shot by Jokinen, saved by Miller
  27. P2 5:39Shot by Nash, saved by Miller
  28. P2 6:53Shot by Harrison, saved by Miller
  29. P2 7:58Shot by Pominville, saved by Peters
  30. P2 8:50Shot by McBain, saved by Miller
  31. P2 10:07Shot by Corvo, saved by Miller
  32. P2 10:30Hodgson: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Staal, Wallace, Faulk, Skinner · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Hodgson, Myers

  33. P2 12:05Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller5v4
  34. P2 12:08Shot by Staal, saved by Miller5v4
  35. P2 12:17Goal by Corvo (Sanguinetti, Jokinen)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Jokinen, Staal, Sanguinetti, Skinner · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Myers

  36. P2 13:08Shot by Nash, saved by Miller
  37. P2 13:12Shot by Bowman, saved by Miller
  38. P2 14:29Tlusty: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · BUF Regehr, Stafford, Sekera, Foligno, Grigorenko

  39. P2 14:38Shot by Pominville, saved by Peters4v5
  40. P2 14:43Shot by Brennan, saved by Peters4v5
  41. P2 15:37Shot by Semin, saved by Miller4v5
  42. P2 16:35Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Peters
  43. P2 17:04Shot by Regehr, saved by Peters
  44. P2 17:06Shot by Foligno, saved by Peters
  45. P2 17:07Shot by Flynn, saved by Peters
  46. P2 17:58Shot by Brennan, saved by Peters
  47. P2 18:02Shot by Myers, saved by Peters
  48. P2 18:32Shot by Hodgson, saved by Peters
  49. P2 18:40Shot by Hodgson, saved by Peters
  50. P2 18:42Shot by Vanek, saved by Peters
  51. P2 18:45Shot by Regehr, saved by Peters
  52. P2 19:55Shot by Flynn, saved by Peters
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:25Goal by Hodgson (Vanek, Pominville)+12 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Staal, Wallace, Faulk, Skinner · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Hodgson, Myers

  56. P3 0:58Shot by Ennis, saved by Peters
  57. P3 1:15Goal by Jokinen (Staal, Semin)+12 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Jokinen, Semin, Staal, McBain, Sanguinetti · BUF Regehr, Sekera, Ennis, Foligno, Flynn

  58. P3 2:34Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Peters
  59. P3 2:42Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Peters
  60. P3 3:31Shot by Regehr, saved by Peters
  61. P3 6:08Shot by Hodgson, saved by Peters
  62. P3 6:45Shot by Hodgson, saved by Peters
  63. P3 7:07Shot by Stafford, saved by Peters
  64. P3 7:15Shot by Hecht, saved by Peters
  65. P3 9:16Shot by Flynn, saved by Peters
  66. P3 12:30Harrison: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Dwyer, Staal, Faulk, Skinner · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Hodgson, Myers

  67. P3 13:19McBain: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Semin, Staal, McBain, Faulk · BUF Ott, Pominville, Vanek, Brennan, Ennis

  68. P3 14:10Shot by Pominville, saved by Peters3v5
  69. P3 14:28Shot by Vanek, saved by Peters3v5
  70. P3 14:33Goal by Brennan (Pominville, Ennis)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Harrison, Staal, Faulk · BUF Pominville, Vanek, Brennan, Hodgson, Ennis

  71. P3 15:12Shot by Foligno, saved by Peters
  72. P3 15:22Shot by Sekera, saved by Peters
  73. P3 16:13Goal by Semin (Staal, Gleason)+6 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Semin, Staal, Skinner · BUF Ott, Gerbe, Brennan, Myers, Ennis

  74. P3 17:44Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  75. P3 17:53Shot by Flynn, saved by Peters
  76. P3 18:46Vanek: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Semin, Staal, Sutter · BUF Ott, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Hodgson, Myers

  77. P3 18:44Shot by Hodgson, saved by Peters5v6
  78. P3 18:53Shot by Harrison, saved by Miller5v4
  79. P3 19:25Goal by Hodgson, unassisted5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Hodgson, Myers

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final