Tue, Mar 5, 2013·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Buffalo Sabres 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 65% of the time.
27%
58%
CAR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:43 | 0.06 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:37 | 0.08 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:17 | 0.03 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:51 | 0.26 | 54.0% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.13 | 16.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:59 | 0.04 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.25 | 77.7% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.32 | 23.3% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:32 | 0.32 | 89.0% | +20.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 16:00 | 1.05 | 89.1% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:52 | 0.07 | 83.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:49 | 0.00 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 13:26 | 0.50 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:53 | 0.53 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:31 | 0.11 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:20 | 0.26 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:05 | 0.13 | 55.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 3.14 | −0.9 | 59:29 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 24:08 | 0.00 | 12.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:40 | 0.13 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 20:31 | 0.25 | 48.8% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.02 | 40.9% | +6.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:07 | 0.16 | 40.8% | +11.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 19:35 | 0.58 | 47.8% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:14 | 0.34 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:01 | 0.45 | 31.6% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.25 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:56 | 0.34 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.02 | 92.5% | +11.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:11 | 0.23 | 68.2% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.05 | 88.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:04 | 0.21 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.06 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:46 | 0.06 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:22 | 0.00 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:42 | 0.00 | 14.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 4.15 | +1.2 | 60:00 |