Sat, Mar 9, 2013·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
Washington Capitals 2, New York Islanders 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 93% of the time.
90%
NYI winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 29:14 | 0.07 | 50.2% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:08 | 0.02 | 47.0% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:13 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:13 | 0.03 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:28 | 0.00 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:25 | 0.32 | 35.8% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:07 | 0.02 | 36.2% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:50 | 0.62 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.00 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.14 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.07 | 31.2% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.03 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:06 | 0.31 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:42 | 0.12 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 8:59 | 0.39 | 37.2% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:40 | 0.18 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:05 | 0.08 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:18 | 0.02 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 45 | 40 | 5 | .889 | 6.30 | +1.3 | 58:53 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:17 | 0.12 | 56.3% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 21:20 | 0.35 | 81.7% | +36.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.19 | 58.1% | +19.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19:25 | 1.09 | 39.6% | +45.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.22 | 44.9% | +0.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:20 | 0.96 | 60.2% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18:53 | 0.78 | 60.1% | +45.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:40 | 0.40 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:30 | 0.24 | 60.0% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:07 | 0.09 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:01 | 0.00 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:09 | 0.10 | 80.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.21 | 82.6% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:49 | 0.65 | 78.9% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:26 | 0.60 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:07 | 0.29 | 80.0% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.00 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:06 | 0.01 | 57.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 2.43 | +0.4 | 60:00 |