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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 9, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 86% of the time.

TOR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Goal by Neal (Niskanen, Letang)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, Holzer, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · PIT Malkin, Niskanen, Neal, Letang, Bennett

  3. P1 3:04Shot by Orpik, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 3:14Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 4:41Shot by Bennett, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 4:42Shot by Bennett, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 6:55Shot by Komarov, saved by Fleury
  8. P1 7:02Shot by Kostka, saved by Fleury
  9. P1 7:02Bennett: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Grabovski, Komarov, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Kostka · PIT Orpik, Martin, Malkin, Neal, Bennett

  10. P1 7:14Goal by van Riemsdyk (Kessel, Phaneuf)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · PIT Adams, Orpik, Martin, Glass

  11. P1 8:10Shot by Dupuis, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 8:56Holzer: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, Holzer, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · PIT Dupuis, Kunitz, Crosby, Niskanen, Letang

  13. P1 10:05Shot by Crosby, saved by Reimer4v5
  14. P1 10:17Kostka: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Kostka · PIT Martin, Kunitz, Malkin, Crosby, Letang

  15. P1 10:39Shot by Neal, saved by Reimer3v5
  16. P1 14:28Shot by Letang, saved by Reimer
  17. P1 14:31Shot by Letang, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 14:31Goal by Crosby (Letang, Bennett)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Kostka, Bozak · PIT Adams, Martin, Crosby, Letang, Bennett

  19. P1 15:21Shot by Martin, saved by Reimer
  20. P1 15:21Goal by Martin (Neal, Malkin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Grabovski, Komarov, Holzer, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · PIT Orpik, Martin, Malkin, Neal, Bennett

  21. P1 16:18Shot by Fraser, saved by Fleury
  22. P1 16:56Shot by Dupuis, saved by Reimer
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:49Shot by Orpik, saved by Reimer
  26. P2 1:13Shot by Neal, saved by Reimer
  27. P2 1:18Shot by Neal, saved by Reimer
  28. P2 1:50Shot by Franson, saved by Fleury
  29. P2 2:03Shot by Fraser, saved by Fleury
  30. P2 4:43Shot by Kessel, saved by Fleury
  31. P2 6:29Shot by Despres, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 7:23Shot by Grabovski, saved by Fleury
  33. P2 8:11Shot by Malkin, saved by Reimer
  34. P2 9:07Shot by Holzer, saved by Fleury
  35. P2 9:55Crosby: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Franson, Frattin, Kadri · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Crosby

  36. P2 10:08Shot by Kessel, saved by Fleury5v4
  37. P2 10:12Goal by Franson (Kessel, Phaneuf)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · PIT Cooke, Orpik, Letang, Sutter

  38. P2 10:52Shot by Kostka, saved by Fleury
  39. P2 11:03Shot by Kessel, saved by Fleury
  40. P2 11:41Shot by Kessel, saved by Fleury
  41. P2 12:59Shot by Dupuis, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 13:01Goal by Dupuis (Martin, Orpik)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McClement, Grabovski, Fraser, Holzer, Kulemin · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Crosby

  43. P2 14:01Goal by MacArthur (Phaneuf, Frattin)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Frattin, Kostka, Kadri · PIT Cooke, Malkin, Niskanen, Letang, Sutter

  44. P2 15:13Shot by Bennett, saved by Reimer
  45. P2 15:15Shot by Bennett, saved by Reimer
  46. P2 16:16Shot by Malkin, saved by Reimer
  47. P2 16:23Gunnarsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Grabovski, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Kostka · PIT Orpik, Martin, Malkin, Neal, Bennett

  48. P2 19:45Shot by Kennedy, saved by Reimer
  49. P2 19:59Shot by Dupuis, saved by Reimer
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:34Shot by Neal, saved by Reimer
  53. P3 2:33Shot by Engelland, saved by Reimer
  54. P3 2:43Shot by Adams, saved by Reimer
  55. P3 4:35Shot by Malkin, saved by Reimer
  56. P3 6:27Shot by Martin, saved by Reimer
  57. P3 6:50Kadri: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR MacArthur, Fraser, Holzer, Frattin, Kadri · PIT Adams, Glass, Niskanen, Letang, Jeffrey

  58. P3 7:55Shot by Letang, saved by Reimer4v5
  59. P3 8:27Shot by Letang, saved by Reimer4v5
  60. P3 9:46Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Fleury
  61. P3 11:13Orpik: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Franson, Kulemin · PIT Adams, Orpik, Engelland, Glass, Crosby

  62. P3 11:37Shot by Franson, saved by Fleury5v4
  63. P3 12:13Shot by Despres, saved by Reimer5v4
  64. P3 14:06Shot by Kunitz, saved by Reimer
  65. P3 14:49Shot by Neal, saved by Reimer
  66. P3 15:25Shot by Glass, saved by Reimer
  67. P3 15:40Goal by Kessel (Fraser, MacArthur)+38 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Fraser, Kessel, Kadri · PIT Adams, Martin, Glass, Niskanen, Sutter

  68. P3 15:56Shot by McClement, saved by Fleury
  69. P3 16:19Shot by Grabovski, saved by Fleury
  70. P3 16:43Shot by Kennedy, saved by Reimer
  71. P3 18:43Shot by Dupuis, saved by Reimer
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. OT 0:00Period start
  74. OT 0:20Shot by Kulemin, saved by Fleury4v4
  75. OT 1:25Shot by Kostka, saved by Fleury4v4
  76. OT 1:32Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Fleury4v4
  77. OT 1:48Shot by Neal, saved by Reimer4v4
  78. OT 2:13Shot by Kennedy, saved by Reimer4v4
  79. OT 2:40Shot by Kulemin, saved by Fleury4v4
  80. OT 2:45Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Fleury4v4
  81. OT 4:30Shot by Crosby, saved by Reimer4v4
  82. OT 5:00Period end
  83. SO Period start
  84. SO Shot by Bozak, saved by Fleuryother
  85. SO Goal by Neal, unassistedother
  86. SO Shot by Kadri, saved by Fleuryother
  87. SO Goal by Crosby, unassistedother
  88. SO Period end
  89. SO Final