Sat, Mar 9, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 86% of the time.
8%
80%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 30:23 | 0.37 | 73.2% | +40.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 25:10 | 0.23 | 86.4% | +19.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 24:53 | 0.23 | 84.7% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:28 | 0.05 | 84.0% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:41 | 0.74 | 80.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 21:40 | 0.01 | 53.1% | +20.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 21:21 | 0.54 | 87.4% | +36.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:46 | 0.24 | 85.0% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:04 | 0.00 | 12.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 17:47 | 0.50 | 68.6% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.00 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.02 | 87.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 14:31 | 0.25 | 84.1% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:26 | 0.09 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:20 | 0.12 | 84.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:48 | 0.00 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:23 | 0.02 | 81.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:25 | 0.02 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 1.22 | −2.8 | 65:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28:50 | 0.15 | 19.5% | +51.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:24 | 0.07 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:20 | 0.06 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:29 | 0.00 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | −1 | 5 | 20:38 | 0.24 | 31.8% | +71.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | 0.10 | 23.2% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:47 | 0.20 | 22.8% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.04 | 62.7% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:55 | 0.05 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:52 | 0.09 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.04 | 51.8% | +55.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.08 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.07 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 14:46 | 0.01 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.00 | 10.6% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.02 | 4.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:35 | 0.00 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:48 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 41 | 37 | 4 | .902 | 3.44 | −0.6 | 65:00 |