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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 10, 2013·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Buffalo Sabres 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 86% of the time.

PHI winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Voracek, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:14Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  4. P1 1:15Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  5. P1 1:57Shot by Meszaros, saved by Miller
  6. P1 3:29Regehr: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hartnell, Coburn, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek · BUF Regehr, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Hodgson

  7. P1 4:00Shot by Hartnell, saved by Miller5v4
  8. P1 4:31Goal by Gagne (Timonen, Bryzgalov)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Brière, Gagne, Schenn, Read · BUF Ehrhoff, Porter, Myers, Flynn

  9. P1 6:56Shot by Voracek, saved by Miller
  10. P1 7:47Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  11. P1 8:24Simmonds: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Brière, Gervais, Meszaros, Simmonds, Schenn · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Stafford, Sekera, Scott

  12. P1 8:47Goal by Talbot (Fedotenko)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Talbot, Coburn, Grossmann · BUF Ott, Pominville, Vanek, Brennan, Ennis

  13. P1 11:42Shot by Porter, saved by Bryzgalov
  14. P1 11:43Goal by Flynn (Porter, Sekera)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Gervais, Meszaros, Giroux, Voracek, Schenn · BUF Regehr, Sekera, Porter, Foligno, Flynn

  15. P1 12:27Shot by Hartnell, saved by Miller
  16. P1 13:17Shot by Hartnell, saved by Miller
  17. P1 13:43Shot by Gerbe, saved by Bryzgalov
  18. P1 15:54Weber: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Brière, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Gerbe, Weber, Ennis

  19. P1 15:54Weber: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Brière, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Gerbe, Weber, Ennis

  20. P1 15:54Weber: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Brière, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Gerbe, Weber, Ennis

  21. P1 15:54Simmonds: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Brière, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Gerbe, Weber, Ennis

  22. P1 16:17Shot by Couturier, saved by Miller5v4
  23. P1 18:15Scott: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: PHI Hartnell, Coburn, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek · BUF Hecht, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Gerbe, Myers

  24. P1 19:01Hecht: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Talbot, Meszaros, Schenn, Rinaldo · BUF Hecht, Gerbe, Brennan, Myers, Foligno

  25. P1 19:58Shot by Ott, saved by Bryzgalov5v4
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:17Goal by Giroux (Timonen)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Hartnell, Giroux, Voracek, Read · BUF Regehr, Pominville, Sekera, Hodgson

  29. P2 0:44Shot by Hodgson, saved by Bryzgalov
  30. P2 0:43Shot by Pominville, saved by Bryzgalov
  31. P2 1:51Shot by Read, saved by Miller
  32. P2 3:09Shot by Giroux, saved by Miller
  33. P2 3:41Shot by Brière, saved by Miller
  34. P2 4:57Shot by Gerbe, saved by Bryzgalov
  35. P2 6:01Shot by Pominville, saved by Bryzgalov
  36. P2 6:28Shot by Vanek, saved by Bryzgalov
  37. P2 8:48Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bryzgalov
  38. P2 9:34Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bryzgalov
  39. P2 9:46Brennan: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Talbot, Gervais, Meszaros, Voracek · BUF Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Brennan, Hodgson

  40. P2 10:30Shot by Simmonds, saved by Miller5v4
  41. P2 10:50Shot by Meszaros, saved by Miller5v4
  42. P2 11:49Shot by Voracek, saved by Miller
  43. P2 12:40Shot by Rinaldo, saved by Miller
  44. P2 13:11Shot by Flynn, saved by Bryzgalov
  45. P2 14:59Shot by Brière, saved by Miller
  46. P2 15:12Shot by Simmonds, saved by Miller
  47. P2 16:48Rinaldo: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Talbot, Coburn, Grossmann, Rinaldo · BUF Hecht, Ott, Ehrhoff, Brennan, Flynn

  48. P2 16:48Ott: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Talbot, Coburn, Grossmann, Rinaldo · BUF Hecht, Ott, Ehrhoff, Brennan, Flynn

  49. P2 17:42Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bryzgalov4v4
  50. P2 17:43Shot by Hodgson, saved by Bryzgalov4v4
  51. P2 19:48Ott: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Fedotenko, Talbot, Schenn, Rinaldo · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Gerbe, Scott, Myers

  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:15Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller5v4
  55. P3 0:15Shot by Giroux, saved by Miller5v4
  56. P3 1:41Shot by Brière, saved by Miller5v4
  57. P3 2:11Rinaldo: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Talbot, Coburn, Grossmann, Rinaldo · BUF Pominville, Vanek, Weber, Brennan, Hodgson

  58. P3 2:11Rinaldo: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Talbot, Coburn, Grossmann, Rinaldo · BUF Pominville, Vanek, Weber, Brennan, Hodgson

  59. P3 3:25Shot by Read, saved by Miller4v5
  60. P3 4:01Stafford: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Talbot, Coburn, Grossmann · BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Porter, Myers, Foligno

  61. P3 4:32Goal by Hecht (Ott)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Hartnell, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Ott, Sekera

  62. P3 5:39Shot by Hodgson, saved by Bryzgalov5v4
  63. P3 11:03Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bryzgalov
  64. P3 12:36Shot by Flynn, saved by Bryzgalov
  65. P3 13:15Schenn: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Brière, Grossmann, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn · BUF Porter, Gerbe, Weber, Brennan, Flynn

  66. P3 15:14Shot by Myers, saved by Bryzgalov
  67. P3 17:48Shot by Voracek, saved by Miller
  68. P3 17:49Shot by Gagne, saved by Miller
  69. P3 19:49Shot by Pominville, saved by Bryzgalov5v6
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final