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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 10, 2013·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Buffalo Sabres 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 86% of the time.

PHI winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PHI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pominville–Vanek–HodgsonPorter–Foligno–FlynnHecht–Ott–StaffordOtt–Gerbe–EnnisHecht–Gerbe–ScottHecht–Gerbe–FolignoPominville–Scott–HodgsonStafford–Porter–FolignoPorter–Gerbe–FlynnEhrhoff–MyersRegehr–SekeraWeber–BrennanSekera–BrennanEhrhoff–BrennanEhrhoff–SekeraBrennan–MyersRegehr–MyersEhrhoff–Weber
Hartnell–Giroux–Voracek5:130.17–0.010:300.00–0.003:110.01–0.004:460.15–0.010:330.00–0.00
Gagne–Read–Couturier0:480.00–0.011:540.01–0.001:260.00–0.000:490.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:350.00–0.041:560.00–0.012:010.02–0.000:300.00–0.000:360.00–0.001:000.00–0.00
Brière–Simmonds–Schenn1:400.00–0.000:380.27–0.000:410.42–0.000:510.00–0.042:060.29–0.000:510.05–0.001:130.00–0.020:330.40–0.000:480.00–0.000:360.00–0.02
Fedotenko–Talbot–Rinaldo2:170.08–0.380:500.00–0.000:380.00–0.030:460.00–0.022:300.08–0.331:070.00–0.001:140.00–0.05
Brière–Voracek–Schenn0:350.00–0.000:570.00–0.000:320.00–0.040:310.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Gagne–Giroux–Read0:440.00–0.00
Coburn–Grossmann6:540.74–0.401:180.00–0.024:580.01–0.423:160.09–0.050:310.00–0.001:030.00–0.020:360.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Gervais–Meszaros1:170.00–0.051:490.01–0.171:470.00–0.001:120.00–0.031:220.00–0.032:290.00–0.003:020.05–0.201:370.01–0.000:480.00–0.000:430.00–0.051:010.00–0.030:330.00–0.00
Timonen–Schenn0:430.08–0.002:440.03–0.000:400.05–0.001:050.27–0.001:000.40–0.000:410.00–0.043:440.37–0.001:110.03–0.001:340.02–0.020:550.38–0.090:300.00–0.000:410.05–0.000:370.00–0.00
Meszaros–Schenn0:360.00–0.001:040.00–0.02
Coburn–Schenn0:330.00–0.000:380.03–0.00
Grossmann–Schenn0:460.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHartnell FGiroux FVoracek FSimmonds FBrière FSchenn FRead FGagne FCouturier FTalbot FFedotenko FRinaldo FCoburn DGrossmann DSchenn DTimonen DGervais DMeszaros DBryzgalov GHodgson FVanek FPominville FGerbe FOtt FEnnis FFlynn FFoligno FPorter FScott FStafford FHecht FRegehr DSekera DEhrhoff DMyers DWeber DBrennan DMiller G
PHIBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Christian EhrhoffBUF3026:390:531:4132
Andrej SekeraBUF3423:190:411:3015
Tyler MyersBUF3022:370:451:3323
Claude GirouxPHI2621:320:501:5077
Steve OttBUF2421:020:531:3755
Jason PominvilleBUF2420:540:521:3842
Braydon CoburnPHI2720:480:461:3504
Jakub VoracekPHI2419:340:491:3355
Kimmo TimonenPHI2719:320:431:3351
Luke SchennPHI2619:270:452:0721
Cody HodgsonBUF2319:260:511:3832
Andrej MeszarosPHI2519:140:461:1742
Matt ReadPHI2318:500:491:5151
Nicklas GrossmannPHI2818:410:401:1326
Robyn RegehrBUF2918:280:381:3015
Thomas VanekBUF2118:000:511:4640
Kevin PorterBUF2317:440:461:2315
Brian FlynnBUF2216:520:461:4115
Scott HartnellPHI2116:200:471:2375
TJ BrennanBUF2116:170:472:0221
Daniel BrièrePHI1714:560:531:3612
Simon GagnePHI1814:500:491:5141
Sean CouturierPHI1914:410:461:3061
Brayden SchennPHI1813:590:471:1922
Max TalbotPHI2013:520:421:1704
Drew StaffordBUF1713:460:491:2223
Bruno GervaisPHI1913:410:431:1622
Jochen HechtBUF1613:100:491:3521
Ruslan FedotenkoPHI1913:070:411:1702
Wayne SimmondsPHI1611:330:431:1951
Marcus FolignoBUF1311:210:521:1301
Nathan GerbeBUF1210:360:531:2300
Mike WeberBUF149:120:391:0112
Zac RinaldoPHI137:420:361:0801
Tyler EnnisBUF64:470:481:1210
John ScottBUF64:260:441:0500