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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 18, 2013·Madison Square Garden, New York

Carolina Hurricanes 1, New York Rangers 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 73% of the time.

NYR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Gaborik: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Nash, Girardi, McDonagh · CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  3. P1 1:01Shot by Stepan, saved by Ellis4v5
  4. P1 3:21Shot by Westgarth, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 4:32Shot by Bowman, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 5:23Shot by Gleason, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 6:45Shot by Semin, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 6:57Shot by Tlusty, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 8:01Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 8:10Shot by Gaborik, saved by Ellis
  11. P1 10:09Shot by Semin, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 10:17Shot by Hagelin, saved by Ellis
  13. P1 14:14Shot by Wallace, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 14:35Shot by Faulk, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 14:55Shot by Jokinen, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 15:06Shot by Gleason, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 15:30Eminger: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Nash, Eminger, Del Zotto · CAR Pitkanen, Dwyer, McBain, Nash, Skinner

  18. P1 16:31Shot by Faulk, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  19. P1 16:33Staal: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Halpern, Girardi, Powe, McDonagh · CAR Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty, Bowman, Faulk

  20. P1 17:57Shot by Girardi, saved by Ellis5v4
  21. P1 18:29Shot by Richards, saved by Ellis5v4
  22. P1 18:57Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 19:09Goal by Staal (Pitkanen, Semin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Nash, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh · CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty, McBain

  24. P1 19:46Shot by Boyle, saved by Ellis
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:48Shot by Harrison, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 1:25Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Ellis
  29. P2 2:39Shot by Boyle, saved by Ellis
  30. P2 3:17Shot by Richards, saved by Ellis
  31. P2 4:51Shot by Bowman, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 6:05Shot by McDonagh, saved by Ellis
  33. P2 6:15Shot by Boyle, saved by Ellis
  34. P2 6:43Shot by Girardi, saved by Ellis
  35. P2 6:44Semin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Boyle, Girardi, McDonagh, Miller · CAR Harrison, Semin, Tlusty, Staal, Sanguinetti

  36. P2 10:12Shot by Faulk, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 10:43Shot by Nash, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 11:04Shot by Callahan, saved by Ellis
  39. P2 11:06Goal by Stepan (Hagelin, Callahan)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Callahan, Stralman, Hagelin, Del Zotto, Stepan · CAR Jokinen, Pitkanen, McBain, Nash, Skinner

  40. P2 11:25Shot by Nash, saved by Ellis
  41. P2 12:24Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Ellis
  42. P2 14:12Shot by Hagelin, saved by Ellis
  43. P2 14:17Shot by Stepan, saved by Ellis
  44. P2 16:54Shot by Richards, saved by Ellis
  45. P2 18:28Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Ellis
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:43Shot by Jokinen, saved by Lundqvist
  49. P3 2:47Shot by Girardi, saved by Ellis
  50. P3 3:52Shot by Haley, saved by Ellis
  51. P3 6:42Shot by Powe, saved by Ellis
  52. P3 6:55Shot by Semin, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P3 7:00Shot by Semin, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 7:13Shot by Gaborik, saved by Ellis
  55. P3 7:54Shot by Callahan, saved by Ellis
  56. P3 8:22Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 10:06Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Ellis
  58. P3 12:31Westgarth: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Eminger, Boyle, Haley, Del Zotto, Miller · CAR Harrison, Westgarth, Nash, Faulk, Skinner

  59. P3 12:37Shot by Nash, saved by Ellis5v4
  60. P3 14:46Shot by Dwyer, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 15:03Shot by Pyatt, saved by Ellis
  62. P3 15:17Shot by McBain, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P3 15:56Shot by Faulk, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 16:19Shot by Gaborik, saved by Ellis
  65. P3 16:45Shot by Hagelin, saved by Ellis
  66. P3 17:47Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 18:34Shot by Semin, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 19:49Shot by Gaborik, saved by Ellis
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. OT 0:00Period start
  71. OT 0:08Shot by Nash, saved by Ellis4v4
  72. OT 1:04Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Ellis4v4
  73. OT 1:52Shot by Callahan, saved by Ellis4v4
  74. OT 2:07Shot by Callahan, saved by Ellis4v4
  75. OT 2:31Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  76. OT 3:47Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  77. OT 4:21Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  78. OT 4:46Shot by Girardi, saved by Ellis4v4
  79. OT 4:55Richards: Holding (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NYR Richards, Nash, Girardi, McDonagh · CAR Harrison, Staal, McBain, Skinner

  80. OT 5:00Period end
  81. SO Period start
  82. SO Goal by Nash, unassistedother
  83. SO Shot by Tlusty, saved by Lundqvistother
  84. SO Shot by Semin, saved by Lundqvistother
  85. SO Goal by Miller, unassistedother
  86. SO Period end
  87. SO Final