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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 20, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:04Shot by Franson, saved by Garon
  3. P1 5:28Shot by Liles, saved by Garon
  4. P1 6:56Goal by Lupul (Kadri, Gunnarsson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Kadri · TBL Salo, Pyatt, Killorn, Hedman, Conacher

  5. P1 9:01Shot by Franson, saved by Garon
  6. P1 9:41Shot by Lupul, saved by Garon
  7. P1 10:07Shot by Killorn, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 10:30Shot by Bozak, saved by Garon
  9. P1 12:28Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 12:28Shot by Gudas, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 13:14Killorn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak · TBL Crombeen, Pyatt, Killorn, Hedman, Gudas

  12. P1 13:39Lupul: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Franson, Kadri · TBL Salo, Crombeen, Thompson, Hedman

  13. P1 14:13Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer4v4
  14. P1 17:22Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Garon
  15. P1 18:06Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer
  16. P1 18:48Shot by MacArthur, saved by Garon
  17. P1 19:34Shot by Carle, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:29Crombeen: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Franson, Fraser, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · TBL Salo, Crombeen, Thompson, Labrie, Hedman

  21. P2 0:29Fraser: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Franson, Fraser, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · TBL Salo, Crombeen, Thompson, Labrie, Hedman

  22. P2 0:52Goal by Phaneuf (Gunnarsson, Kadri)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Kadri · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Carle, Killorn, Stamkos

  23. P2 1:46Shot by Frattin, saved by Garon
  24. P2 2:34Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer
  25. P2 2:45Shot by Kessel, saved by Garon
  26. P2 4:57Shot by Gudas, saved by Reimer
  27. P2 5:30Shot by Johnson, saved by Reimer
  28. P2 6:29Shot by Franson, saved by Garon
  29. P2 6:53Goal by Bozak (Kessel, Fraser)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Franson, Fraser, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · TBL Brewer, Carle, Pyatt, Tyrell, Conacher

  30. P2 7:22Goal by Kulemin (Kadri, Lupul)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Kadri · TBL St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman, Gudas

  31. P2 7:44Shot by Salo, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 7:45Shot by Labrie, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 8:09Kadri: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McClement, Lupul, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson, Kadri · TBL Salo, St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman

  34. P2 10:05Fraser: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Fraser, Kulemin · TBL Salo, Johnson, Hedman, Conacher, Palat

  35. P2 10:05Conacher: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Fraser, Kulemin · TBL Salo, Johnson, Hedman, Conacher, Palat

  36. P2 10:48Shot by Thompson, saved by Reimer
  37. P2 11:41Shot by Kadri, saved by Lindback
  38. P2 12:15Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer
  39. P2 14:28Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Lindback
  40. P2 14:56Shot by Killorn, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 15:18Shot by Aulie, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 18:09Shot by Lupul, saved by Lindback
  43. P2 18:23Shot by Tyrell, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 18:42Shot by Frattin, saved by Lindback
  45. P2 19:34Shot by Conacher, saved by Reimer
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:07Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer
  49. P3 0:45Lupul: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Kadri · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Stamkos, Hedman, Conacher

  50. P3 3:13Shot by Bozak, saved by Lindback
  51. P3 4:17Shot by Pyatt, saved by Reimer
  52. P3 4:19Shot by Pyatt, saved by Reimer
  53. P3 4:58Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lindback
  54. P3 5:07Gunnarsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Bozak · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Stamkos, Gudas, Conacher

  55. P3 7:27Shot by Liles, saved by Lindback
  56. P3 7:44Goal by Gudas (Labrie, Crombeen)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, MacArthur, Grabovski, Frattin, Gardiner · TBL Crombeen, Thompson, Aulie, Labrie, Gudas

  57. P3 7:52Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer
  58. P3 8:05Shot by Pyatt, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 9:40Shot by Conacher, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 10:53Shot by Kadri, saved by Garon
  61. P3 10:53Purcell: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lupul, Kulemin, Gardiner, Kadri · TBL Carle, Pyatt, Purcell, Tyrell, Gudas

  62. P3 12:28Shot by Gardiner, saved by Garon5v4
  63. P3 12:54Shot by Grabovski, saved by Garon
  64. P3 13:38Shot by Fraser, saved by Garon
  65. P3 13:52Shot by Fraser, saved by Garon
  66. P3 15:34Shot by Carle, saved by Reimer
  67. P3 16:08Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer
  68. P3 17:02Goal by Conacher (Johnson, St. Louis)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Gunnarsson, Frattin · TBL St. Louis, Aulie, Johnson, Gudas, Conacher

  69. P3 19:27Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer5v6
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final