Wed, Mar 20, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.
38%
12%
11%
39%
TOR winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos | Crombeen–Thompson–Labrie | Pyatt–Killorn–Conacher | Tyrell–Johnson–Palat | St. Louis–Stamkos–Conacher | Killorn–Johnson–Palat | St. Louis–Stamkos–Palat | Pyatt–Tyrell–Conacher | Johnson–Conacher–Palat | Pyatt–Johnson–Conacher | Salo–Hedman | Brewer–Carle | Aulie–Gudas | Carle–Gudas | Hedman–Gudas | Salo–Brewer | Brewer–Aulie | Brewer–Hedman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kessel–van Riemsdyk–Bozak | 1:090.06–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.21 | 0:410.03–0.00 | 0:310.12–0.00 | 1:170.22–0.00 | 0:530.15–0.00 | 1:030.02–0.02 | 0:590.00–0.02 | 1:480.00–0.00 | 3:170.31–0.01 | 1:120.08–0.00 | 3:230.06–0.23 | 1:490.22–0.04 | |||||
| Lupul–Kulemin–Kadri | 6:040.24–0.10 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:460.22–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.02 | 3:170.27–0.05 | 4:050.23–0.04 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:270.10–0.05 | 0:350.04–0.00 | |||||||||
| MacArthur–Grabovski–Frattin | 1:420.07–0.01 | 0:490.02–0.01 | 0:570.01–0.01 | 0:460.00–0.04 | 3:140.10–0.01 | 0:480.03–0.00 | 1:350.03–0.08 | 1:440.00–0.07 | 0:580.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Orr–McClement–Komarov | 1:220.01–0.02 | 1:190.01–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.09 | 1:230.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||
| McClement–Komarov–Kulemin | 0:390.01–0.00 | 0:480.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| McClement–Lupul–Kadri | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| McClement–Komarov–Frattin | ||||||||||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Gunnarsson | 7:280.22–0.10 | 1:030.22–0.05 | 1:150.12–0.07 | 0:340.00–0.12 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 4:260.24–0.05 | 4:140.30–0.06 | 2:490.00–0.12 | 2:160.02–0.05 | 0:420.04–0.00 | ||||||||
| Liles–Gardiner | 1:280.03–0.01 | 2:420.07–0.01 | 1:320.00–0.21 | 0:420.22–0.00 | 0:400.03–0.00 | 4:060.09–0.00 | 3:180.07–0.11 | 1:470.03–0.02 | 2:080.13–0.21 | 1:100.11–0.00 | 0:570.22–0.00 | |||||||
| Franson–Fraser | 1:210.00–0.02 | 1:440.02–0.01 | 2:030.05–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:310.15–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.02 | 2:050.02–0.01 | 2:180.15–0.00 | 1:430.08–0.00 | 1:570.00–0.61 | 1:040.01–0.01 | 1:460.00–0.06 | 1:040.01–0.00 | |||||
| Phaneuf–Gardiner | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Matt CarleTBL | 28 | 25:31 | 0:55 | 1:56 | 7 | 1 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 27 | 24:29 | 0:54 | 1:51 | 8 | 0 |
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 29 | 23:26 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 2 | 4 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 26 | 22:44 | 0:52 | 1:51 | 6 | 0 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 21:35 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 1 | 3 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 25 | 20:20 | 0:49 | 1:51 | 7 | 0 |
 Sami SaloTBL | 30 | 19:59 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 3 | 4 |
 Cody FransonTOR | 28 | 19:49 | 0:42 | 1:36 | 5 | 2 |
 Mark FraserTOR | 25 | 19:29 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 2 | 3 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 25 | 19:20 | 0:46 | 2:14 | 1 | 5 |
 Carl GunnarssonTOR | 26 | 19:14 | 0:44 | 1:48 | 0 | 5 |
 John-Michael LilesTOR | 26 | 18:47 | 0:43 | 1:49 | 1 | 5 |
 Radko GudasTBL | 23 | 18:46 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 2 | 0 |
 Cory ConacherTBL | 19 | 17:56 | 0:57 | 1:55 | 3 | 1 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 24 | 17:36 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 1 | 3 |
 Nikolay KuleminTOR | 29 | 17:06 | 0:35 | 1:14 | 0 | 1 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 24 | 17:06 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 5 | 7 |
 Jay McClementTOR | 23 | 16:45 | 0:44 | 1:49 | 3 | 8 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 21 | 16:40 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 5 | 3 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 19 | 16:28 | 0:52 | 1:37 | 2 | 0 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 23 | 15:54 | 0:41 | 1:34 | 1 | 3 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 20 | 15:39 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 5 | 4 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 22 | 15:26 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 6 | 1 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 18 | 15:10 | 0:51 | 1:47 | 3 | 0 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 18 | 15:03 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 4 | 0 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 19 | 14:07 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 3 | 1 |
 Matt FrattinTOR | 19 | 13:35 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 1 | 1 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiTOR | 19 | 13:12 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 2 | 0 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 20 | 12:53 | 0:39 | 1:35 | 1 | 4 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 18 | 12:34 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 3 | 3 |
 Clarke MacArthurTOR | 16 | 10:30 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 1 | 0 |
 B.J. CrombeenTBL | 15 | 9:50 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 15 | 9:31 | 0:38 | 1:20 | 2 | 0 |
 Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL | 13 | 9:14 | 0:43 | 1:38 | 0 | 1 |
 Dana TyrellTBL | 12 | 7:49 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 2 | 0 |
 Colton OrrTOR | 10 | 5:18 | 0:32 | 1:06 | 2 | 1 |