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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 21, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 5 (SO)

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Shootout

Home

Buffalo Sabres

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:03Shot by Weber, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 1:21Shot by Leopold, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 2:09Orr: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Scott, Myers · TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren

  5. P1 2:09Orr: Instigator (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Scott, Myers · TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren

  6. P1 2:09Orr: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Scott, Myers · TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren

  7. P1 2:09Scott: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Scott, Myers · TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren

  8. P1 2:09McLaren: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Scott, Myers · TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren

  9. P1 2:09Kaleta: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Scott, Myers · TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren

  10. P1 2:09Orr: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Scott, Myers · TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren

  11. P1 2:09Orr: Game misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Scott, Myers · TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren

  12. P1 3:10Shot by Leopold, saved by Reimer5v4
  13. P1 4:53Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Reimer5v4
  14. P1 5:15Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer5v4
  15. P1 6:11Shot by Hecht, saved by Reimer
  16. P1 6:54Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller5v4
  17. P1 8:32Ott: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Ott, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Weber, Hodgson · TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, Gunnarsson, Frattin

  18. P1 8:48Goal by Bozak (Kessel, Phaneuf)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Porter, Weber, Flynn · TOR Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak

  19. P1 10:04Goal by Kadri (Kulemin, MacArthur)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Stafford, Leino, Ennis, Pysyk · TOR MacArthur, Fraser, Kulemin, Gardiner, Kadri

  20. P1 10:52Shot by Stafford, saved by Reimer
  21. P1 11:06Shot by Myers, saved by Reimer
  22. P1 14:37Shot by Myers, saved by Reimer
  23. P1 15:25Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  24. P1 15:37Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  25. P1 16:53Shot by Kaleta, saved by Reimer
  26. P1 16:54Fraser: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Scott, Pysyk · TOR Franson, Fraser, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak

  27. P1 18:54Goal by Ennis (Ott, Hodgson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Hodgson, Ennis · TOR Liles, McClement, Franson, Kulemin

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:43Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Reimer
  31. P2 1:47Shot by Pysyk, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 2:37Shot by Frattin, saved by Miller
  33. P2 4:06Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  34. P2 5:34Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  35. P2 5:39Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  36. P2 6:42Ott: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Kaleta, Weber, Flynn · TOR Liles, Grabovski, McLaren, Frattin, Gardiner

  37. P2 7:43Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller4v5
  38. P2 7:49Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller4v5
  39. P2 8:52Goal by Grabovski (Gardiner, Kadri)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Ott, Stafford, Weber, Leino · TOR Liles, MacArthur, Grabovski, Gardiner, Kadri

  40. P2 10:14Shot by Ott, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 10:19Shot by Hodgson, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 11:37Shot by Porter, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 11:39Goal by Foligno (Porter, Ehrhoff)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Porter, Weber, Foligno, Flynn · TOR MacArthur, Franson, Fraser, Kulemin, Kadri

  44. P2 11:48Kessel: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Kaleta, Scott, Pysyk · TOR Liles, McClement, Grabovski, Frattin, Gardiner

  45. P2 11:48Scott: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Kaleta, Scott, Pysyk · TOR Liles, McClement, Grabovski, Frattin, Gardiner

  46. P2 12:24Goal by Pominville (Hodgson)4v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Hodgson, Myers · TOR Phaneuf, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  47. P2 12:56Shot by Leino, saved by Reimer4v4
  48. P2 13:30Myers: Interference (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Myers, Ennis, Flynn · TOR Phaneuf, Frattin, Gardiner, Kadri

  49. P2 13:44Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller3v4
  50. P2 14:35Shot by Franson, saved by Miller4v5
  51. P2 14:39Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller4v5
  52. P2 16:01Shot by McClement, saved by Miller
  53. P2 19:39MacArthur: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ott, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Hodgson, Myers · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Kadri

  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:22Goal by Ehrhoff (Hodgson, Ennis)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Hodgson, Ennis · TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gunnarsson

  57. P3 0:31Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  58. P3 0:46Shot by Ott, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 0:50Shot by Hodgson, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 2:04Shot by Flynn, saved by Reimer
  61. P3 4:44Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 4:57Ennis: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Weber, Leino, Ennis · TOR MacArthur, Franson, Fraser, Kulemin, Kadri

  63. P3 6:33Goal by Kadri (Franson, Kessel)4v5+34 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Hodgson, Myers · TOR Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri

  64. P3 7:11Shot by Frattin, saved by Miller
  65. P3 8:03Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  66. P3 8:35Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller
  67. P3 8:57Shot by McClement, saved by Miller
  68. P3 11:07Shot by Kaleta, saved by Reimer
  69. P3 11:15Shot by Hecht, saved by Reimer
  70. P3 11:23Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  71. P3 11:29Shot by McClement, saved by Miller
  72. P3 12:57Shot by Leino, saved by Reimer
  73. P3 13:50Shot by Hodgson, saved by Reimer
  74. P3 15:41Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  75. P3 15:44Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  76. P3 15:56Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  77. P3 16:08Shot by Stafford, saved by Reimer
  78. P3 16:41Shot by Ott, saved by Reimer
  79. P3 17:27Shot by Frattin, saved by Miller
  80. P3 17:53Shot by Hecht, saved by Reimer
  81. P3 17:58Shot by Weber, saved by Reimer
  82. P3 18:43Kulemin: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Stafford, Leino, Ennis, Pysyk · TOR Liles, MacArthur, Kulemin, Gardiner, Kadri

  83. P3 19:00Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer5v4
  84. P3 19:10Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller5v4
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. OT 0:00Period start
  87. OT 0:24Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer4v3
  88. OT 1:15Shot by Hodgson, saved by Reimer4v4
  89. OT 2:18Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller4v4
  90. OT 3:07Shot by Franson, saved by Miller4v4
  91. OT 3:14Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller4v4
  92. OT 3:29Shot by Gardiner, saved by Miller4v4
  93. OT 4:48Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller4v4
  94. OT 4:59Shot by Leopold, saved by Reimer4v4
  95. OT 5:00Period end
  96. SO Period start
  97. SO Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimerother
  98. SO Shot by Kadri, saved by Millerother
  99. SO Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimerother
  100. SO Goal by Bozak, unassistedother
  101. SO Goal by Stafford, unassistedother
  102. SO Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Millerother
  103. SO Shot by Hodgson, saved by Reimerother
  104. SO Shot by Kessel, saved by Millerother
  105. SO Shot by Leino, saved by Reimerother
  106. SO Goal by Ott, unassistedother
  107. SO Shot by MacArthur, saved by Millerother
  108. SO Period end
  109. SO Final