Thu, Mar 21, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.
39%
10%
9%
42%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 26:36 | 0.06 | 43.0% | +20.9 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 24:16 | 0.06 | 57.7% | +17.3 |
 Cody FransonD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 21:30 | 0.13 | 37.4% | +33.9 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 8 | 21:27 | 0.73 | 42.3% | +70.1 |
 Carl GunnarssonD · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:16 | 0.08 | 59.3% | 0.0 |
 Jay McClementC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:03 | 0.25 | 65.3% | 0.0 |
 Clarke MacArthurLW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.02 | 43.0% | +18.9 |
 Phil KesselRW · #81 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:27 | 0.37 | 49.9% | +54.8 |
 John-Michael LilesD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.07 | 69.9% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 19:03 | 0.45 | 52.6% | +20.9 |
 Mark FraserD · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:47 | 0.00 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:37 | 0.25 | 50.8% | 0.0 |
 Nikolay KuleminLW · #41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.00 | 37.3% | +18.9 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiC · #84 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:03 | 0.17 | 67.2% | +17.3 |
 Matt FrattinRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:04 | 0.15 | 62.5% | 0.0 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:42 | 0.00 | 68.8% | 0.0 |
 Frazer McLarenLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:49 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Colton OrrRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#34 | O | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 2.67 | −1.3 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Christian EhrhoffD · #10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 27:01 | 0.22 | 57.4% | +40.4 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24:12 | 0.43 | 24.9% | +37.9 |
 Jason PominvilleRW · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 24:06 | 0.17 | 51.6% | +21.3 |
 Cody HodgsonC · #19 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 23:16 | 0.51 | 54.8% | +59.2 |
 Steve OttC · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:00 | 0.26 | 59.1% | +14.9 |
 Jordan LeopoldD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:54 | 0.05 | 16.3% | 0.0 |
 Tyler MyersD · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:24 | 0.08 | 62.3% | 0.0 |
 Ville LeinoLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.11 | 19.8% | 0.0 |
 Robyn RegehrD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.00 | 57.7% | 0.0 |
 Mike WeberD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.04 | 54.3% | 0.0 |
 Mark PysykD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.04 | 13.1% | 0.0 |
 Drew StaffordRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.07 | 21.7% | 0.0 |
 Brian FlynnC · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.02 | 78.6% | 0.0 |
 Kevin PorterC · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.13 | 76.4% | +17.4 |
 Marcus FolignoLW · #82 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.34 | 70.1% | +17.4 |
 Jochen HechtC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:08 | 0.16 | 49.4% | 0.0 |
 Patrick KaletaRW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:53 | 0.03 | 50.8% | 0.0 |
 John ScottLW · #32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:31 | 0.00 | 81.2% | 0.0 |
 Ryan Miller#30 | W | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 2.77 | −1.2 | 64:38 |