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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 23, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Boston Bruins 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 86% of the time.

TOR winsBOS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:41Shot by Marchand, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 2:59Shot by Thornton, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 4:12Shot by Bozak, saved by Khudobin
  5. P1 4:58Goal by Kadri (MacArthur, Liles)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, MacArthur, Frattin, Gardiner, Kadri · BOS Seidenberg, Bergeron, Marchand, Bartkowski, Seguin

  6. P1 5:00Orr: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren · BOS Thornton, Ference, Johnson, Campbell, Paille

  7. P1 5:00Thornton: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren · BOS Thornton, Ference, Johnson, Campbell, Paille

  8. P1 5:22Shot by Franson, saved by Khudobin
  9. P1 7:52Shot by Frattin, saved by Khudobin
  10. P1 9:51Johnson: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR MacArthur, Franson, Fraser, Kessel, Bozak, Kadri · BOS Johnson, Seidenberg, Horton, Krejci, Lucic

  11. P1 14:36Shot by Thornton, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 15:36Shot by Krejci, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 16:21Shot by Peverley, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 18:16Shot by Paille, saved by Reimer
  15. P1 18:59Shot by Krejci, saved by Reimer
  16. P1 19:32Shot by Krejci, saved by Reimer
  17. P1 19:34Shot by Horton, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 19:33Shot by Horton, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P1 14:38Shot by Campbell, saved by Reimer
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:17Shot by Campbell, saved by Reimer
  23. P2 2:52Goal by Grabovski (Hamilton, Frattin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Grabovski, Franson, Fraser, Hamilton, Frattin · BOS Seidenberg, Horton, Krejci, Lucic, Bartkowski

  24. P2 4:03Shot by Thornton, saved by Reimer
  25. P2 4:22Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Reimer
  26. P2 7:02Shot by Frattin, saved by Khudobin
  27. P2 8:54Shot by Marchand, saved by Reimer
  28. P2 9:14Shot by Bergeron, saved by Reimer
  29. P2 12:53Shot by Bergeron, saved by Reimer
  30. P2 13:24Shot by Horton, saved by Reimer
  31. P2 14:18Shot by Chara, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 17:02Shot by Fraser, saved by Khudobin
  33. P2 17:05Bartkowski: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Fraser, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak · BOS Pandolfo, Seidenberg, Peverley, Bartkowski, Spooner

  34. P2 19:16Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Khudobin
  35. P2 19:36Shot by Krejci, saved by Reimer
  36. P2 19:37Shot by Kulemin, saved by Khudobin
  37. P2 0:00Period end
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 0:08Shot by Seguin, saved by Reimer
  40. P3 0:44Shot by Johnson, saved by Reimer
  41. P3 1:05Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Khudobin
  42. P3 1:34Goal by McLaren (Orr, McClement)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Orr, McClement, Phaneuf, McLaren, Gardiner · BOS Chara, Thornton, Seidenberg, Campbell, Paille

  43. P3 2:19Shot by Seguin, saved by Reimer
  44. P3 2:30Goal by Seidenberg (Marchand)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Bozak · BOS Johnson, Seidenberg, Bergeron, Marchand, Seguin

  45. P3 2:42Shot by Bartkowski, saved by Reimer
  46. P3 3:14Shot by Hamilton, saved by Reimer
  47. P3 3:35Shot by Frattin, saved by Rask
  48. P3 7:04Gunnarsson: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Gardiner, Bozak · BOS Chara, Horton, Krejci, Peverley, Lucic, Hamilton

  49. P3 10:08Shot by Kadri, saved by Rask
  50. P3 10:20Shot by Peverley, saved by Reimer
  51. P3 14:05Shot by Chara, saved by Reimer
  52. P3 18:25Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Reimer5v6
  53. P3 18:30Shot by Peverley, saved by Reimer5v6
  54. P3 18:44Goal by Ference (Krejci, Peverley)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR MacArthur, Franson, Fraser, Kulemin, Kadri · BOS Ference, Seidenberg, Horton, Krejci, Peverley, Lucic

  55. P3 19:48Shot by Marchand, saved by Reimer5v6
  56. P3 19:59Shot by Seguin, saved by Reimer5v6
  57. P3 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Final