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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 27, 2013·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Colorado Avalanche 3, Calgary Flames 4

Away

Colorado Avalanche

3

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 70% of the time.

CGY winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Sarich, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 2:35Bordeleau: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Begin, McGrattan, Jackman, Butler · COL Bordeleau, Hunwick, Johnson, Palushaj, Olver

  4. P1 2:35McGrattan: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Begin, McGrattan, Jackman, Butler · COL Bordeleau, Hunwick, Johnson, Palushaj, Olver

  5. P1 2:42Shot by Palushaj, saved by MacDonald
  6. P1 4:59Shot by Brodie, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 5:50Shot by Duchene, saved by MacDonald
  8. P1 6:57Shot by Stempniak, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 7:07Kobasew: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Tanguay, Stajan, Stempniak, Butler · COL Kobasew, O'Byrne, Mitchell, O'Brien, McLeod

  10. P1 7:14Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Varlamov5v4
  11. P1 8:09Shot by Hudler, saved by Varlamov5v4
  12. P1 8:10Goal by Hudler (Cervenka, Backlund)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Bouwmeester, Hudler, Backlund, Cervenka · COL Zanon, O'Byrne, McLeod, McGinn

  13. P1 9:18Shot by Glencross, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 9:45Comeau: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Cammalleri, Glencross, Comeau, Butler · COL Bordeleau, Hunwick, Johnson, Palushaj, Olver

  15. P1 12:01Goal by Begin (Jackman, Sarich)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Begin, Jackman, Comeau, Butler · COL O'Byrne, Bordeleau, Hunwick, Palushaj, Olver

  16. P1 13:03Bouwmeester: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Bouwmeester, Hudler, Backlund, Brodie, Cervenka · COL Kobasew, Hunwick, McLeod, Johnson, Duchene

  17. P1 14:16Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Varlamov4v5
  18. P1 15:53Shot by Backlund, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 16:29Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 17:03O'Brien: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Begin, Bouwmeester, Stajan, Stempniak, Brodie · COL Parenteau, O'Byrne, O'Brien, McGinn, Duchene

  21. P1 17:48Shot by Backlund, saved by Varlamov5v4
  22. P1 18:57Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Varlamov5v4
  23. P1 19:11Shot by Wideman, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 3:24Shot by Hunwick, saved by MacDonald
  27. P2 3:59Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 4:29Shot by McGinn, saved by MacDonald
  29. P2 4:29Goal by McGinn (Parenteau, Barrie)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Begin, Cammalleri, Wideman, Giordano, Comeau · COL Parenteau, O'Byrne, O'Brien, McGinn, Duchene

  30. P2 4:40Shot by Comeau, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 4:41Goal by Cammalleri (Comeau)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Begin, Cammalleri, Bouwmeester, Comeau, Brodie · COL Parenteau, O'Byrne, O'Brien, McGinn, Duchene

  32. P2 4:59Shot by Hejduk, saved by MacDonald
  33. P2 5:15Shot by Landeskog, saved by MacDonald
  34. P2 5:33Shot by Sarich, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 5:39Shot by Begin, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 6:04Shot by Zanon, saved by MacDonald
  37. P2 6:18Shot by Bordeleau, saved by MacDonald
  38. P2 7:41Shot by Hudler, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 8:32Shot by Palushaj, saved by MacDonald
  40. P2 8:54Shot by Duchene, saved by MacDonald
  41. P2 9:07Shot by O'Reilly, saved by MacDonald
  42. P2 9:14Goal by Landeskog (Zanon, O'Reilly)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Hudler, Giordano, Backlund, Cervenka · COL Zanon, O'Byrne, Palushaj, O'Reilly, Landeskog

  43. P2 9:17McLeod: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Begin, McGrattan, Jackman, Butler · COL Kobasew, Mitchell, Hunwick, McLeod, Johnson

  44. P2 9:17Jackman: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Begin, McGrattan, Jackman, Butler · COL Kobasew, Mitchell, Hunwick, McLeod, Johnson

  45. P2 10:25Shot by Glencross, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 10:33Shot by Stajan, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 12:41Goal by Cammalleri (Wideman, Tanguay)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Tanguay, Cammalleri, Wideman, Giordano, Comeau · COL O'Brien, Palushaj, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog

  48. P2 13:25Comeau: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Tanguay, Cammalleri, Wideman, Giordano, Comeau · COL Hejduk, Zanon, Kobasew, O'Byrne, Mitchell

  49. P2 14:58Shot by Hunwick, saved by MacDonald4v5
  50. P2 15:35Shot by Stajan, saved by Varlamov
  51. P2 16:37Zanon: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Hudler, Giordano, Backlund, Cervenka · COL Zanon, Kobasew, Hunwick, Palushaj, Olver

  52. P2 17:54Shot by Stempniak, saved by Varlamov5v4
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:13Shot by Kobasew, saved by MacDonald
  56. P3 0:32Shot by Duchene, saved by MacDonald
  57. P3 3:09Shot by McGinn, saved by MacDonald
  58. P3 3:19Shot by McGinn, saved by MacDonald
  59. P3 3:29Shot by Zanon, saved by MacDonald
  60. P3 5:51Shot by Backlund, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 8:54Shot by Johnson, saved by MacDonald
  62. P3 8:59Shot by Zanon, saved by MacDonald
  63. P3 9:07Shot by Duchene, saved by MacDonald
  64. P3 9:47Shot by O'Byrne, saved by MacDonald
  65. P3 9:59Shot by Stempniak, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 11:27Stajan: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Bouwmeester, Stajan, Stempniak, Glencross, Brodie · COL Zanon, Parenteau, Johnson, McGinn, O'Reilly, Duchene

  67. P3 12:06Tanguay: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Tanguay, Bouwmeester, Stempniak, Butler · COL Parenteau, McGinn, O'Reilly, Duchene, Landeskog

  68. P3 12:34Goal by O'Reilly (Hejduk, Parenteau)3v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Begin, Bouwmeester, Giordano · COL Hejduk, Parenteau, O'Reilly, Duchene, Landeskog

  69. P3 13:56Shot by Barrie, saved by MacDonald4v5
  70. P3 18:51Shot by Landeskog, saved by MacDonald5v6
  71. P3 18:58Shot by O'Reilly, saved by MacDonald5v6
  72. P3 19:04Shot by Landeskog, saved by MacDonald5v6
  73. P3 19:33Shot by Duchene, saved by MacDonald5v6
  74. P3 19:55Shot by Duchene, saved by MacDonald5v6
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final