Wed, Mar 27, 2013·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Colorado Avalanche 3, Calgary Flames 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 70% of the time.
61%
10%
8%
22%
CGY winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:44 | 0.09 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24:41 | 0.29 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:21 | 0.11 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:28 | 0.00 | 65.4% | +20.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:19 | 0.27 | 38.3% | +20.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:09 | 0.44 | 68.4% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:41 | 0.09 | 49.9% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.03 | 15.5% | +12.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:17 | 0.20 | 51.4% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.01 | 7.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.06 | 22.9% | +8.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.02 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.02 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:21 | 0.04 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.00 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:41 | 0.00 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:54 | 0.02 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:39 | 0.05 | 47.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.77 | −1.2 | 58:31 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:56 | 0.13 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:35 | 0.03 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:20 | 0.09 | 45.5% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:09 | 0.21 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:26 | 0.16 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:26 | 0.03 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 20:28 | 0.43 | 47.6% | +25.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:26 | 0.13 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:14 | 0.00 | 36.4% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.04 | 58.1% | +12.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:45 | 0.87 | 87.5% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:35 | 0.35 | 66.3% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.04 | 86.2% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:20 | 0.00 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 8:43 | 0.05 | 73.7% | +12.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 6:38 | 0.23 | 64.7% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:38 | 0.00 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1:24 | 0.00 | 57.4% | +12.6 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 1.73 | −1.3 | 60:00 |