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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 2, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Florida Panthers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:42Shot by Pouliot, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 0:56Shot by Brewer, saved by Markstrom
  4. P1 3:06Shot by St. Louis, saved by Markstrom
  5. P1 4:08Shot by Pouliot, saved by Markstrom
  6. P1 5:52Shot by Upshall, saved by Garon
  7. P1 6:54Shot by Gudas, saved by Markstrom
  8. P1 7:22Shot by Pyatt, saved by Markstrom
  9. P1 7:27Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Garon
  10. P1 7:47Shot by Kulikov, saved by Garon
  11. P1 7:53Shot by Santorelli, saved by Garon
  12. P1 8:11Shot by Palat, saved by Markstrom
  13. P1 8:20Shot by Kopecky, saved by Garon
  14. P1 8:23Pyatt: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Pouliot, Pyatt, Purcell, Hedman · FLA Kuba, Kopecky, Goc, Fleischmann, Gudbranson

  15. P1 8:36Goal by Kopecky (Brennan, Fleischmann)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Angelidis, Killorn, Hedman · FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Goc, Fleischmann, Brennan

  16. P1 9:12Shot by St. Louis, saved by Markstrom
  17. P1 10:37Shot by Salo, saved by Markstrom
  18. P1 12:31Parros: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Crombeen, Angelidis, Purcell, Aulie, Gudas · FLA Kuba, Parros, Smithson, Howden, Gudbranson

  19. P1 14:06Shot by Johnson, saved by Markstrom5v4
  20. P1 14:07Upshall: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Carle, Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Conacher · FLA Kuba, Upshall, Matthias, Gudbranson

  21. P1 14:58Shot by Purcell, saved by Markstrom5v4
  22. P1 15:01Shot by Stamkos, saved by Markstrom5v4
  23. P1 16:24Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Garon
  24. P1 16:37Shot by Stamkos, saved by Markstrom
  25. P1 18:24Shot by Stamkos, saved by Markstrom
  26. P1 19:06Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Garon
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:10Shot by Matthias, saved by Garon
  30. P2 1:29Shot by Mueller, saved by Garon
  31. P2 2:07Shot by Strachan, saved by Garon
  32. P2 3:54Shot by Sustr, saved by Markstrom
  33. P2 3:58Shot by Brewer, saved by Markstrom
  34. P2 4:32Shot by Mueller, saved by Garon
  35. P2 5:50Shot by Purcell, saved by Markstrom
  36. P2 6:44Gudas: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Crombeen, Angelidis, Gudas, Conacher, Sustr · FLA Kuba, Parros, Smithson, Howden, Gudbranson

  37. P2 6:44Parros: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Crombeen, Angelidis, Gudas, Conacher, Sustr · FLA Kuba, Parros, Smithson, Howden, Gudbranson

  38. P2 7:13Shot by Pouliot, saved by Markstrom
  39. P2 7:36Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Garon
  40. P2 8:22Shot by Upshall, saved by Garon
  41. P2 8:39Shot by Rallo, saved by Garon
  42. P2 9:05Shot by Palat, saved by Markstrom
  43. P2 11:12Shot by Goc, saved by Garon
  44. P2 12:36Shot by Killorn, saved by Markstrom
  45. P2 12:55Shot by St. Louis, saved by Markstrom
  46. P2 13:10Shot by Aulie, saved by Markstrom
  47. P2 14:56Pyatt: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Carle, Pouliot, Pyatt, Purcell · FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Goc, Fleischmann, Strachan

  48. P2 15:07Shot by Mueller, saved by Garon4v5
  49. P2 16:41Goal by Rallo (Brennan, Kuba)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Aulie, Stamkos, Hedman · FLA Kuba, Upshall, Santorelli, Rallo, Brennan

  50. P2 16:55Shot by Pyatt, saved by Markstrom
  51. P2 18:00Huberdeau: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Carle, Killorn, Stamkos · FLA Kuba, Mueller, Matthias, Gudbranson, Huberdeau

  52. P2 18:23Shot by Purcell, saved by Markstrom5v4
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:18Shot by Killorn, saved by Markstrom
  56. P3 1:40Shot by Aulie, saved by Markstrom
  57. P3 5:21Shot by Purcell, saved by Markstrom
  58. P3 5:38Goal by Pyatt (Purcell, Carle)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Pyatt, Purcell, Aulie, Palat, Sustr · FLA Kuba, Upshall, Santorelli, Rallo, Gudbranson

  59. P3 6:03Shot by Upshall, saved by Garon
  60. P3 6:39Shot by Kopecky, saved by Garon
  61. P3 7:39Shot by Hedman, saved by Markstrom
  62. P3 8:32Shot by Hedman, saved by Markstrom
  63. P3 10:32Goal by Killorn (Hedman, Purcell)+30 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Pyatt, Purcell, Killorn, Hedman · FLA Kuba, Mueller, Matthias, Gudbranson, Huberdeau

  64. P3 12:24Shot by Rallo, saved by Garon
  65. P3 12:25Shot by Rallo, saved by Garon
  66. P3 14:06Shot by Brewer, saved by Markstrom
  67. P3 14:34Shot by Killorn, saved by Markstrom
  68. P3 15:25Shot by Carle, saved by Markstrom
  69. P3 15:31Shot by Brewer, saved by Markstrom
  70. P3 16:46Shot by Gudas, saved by Markstrom
  71. P3 18:15Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Garon
  72. P3 19:50Shot by Purcell, saved by Markstrom
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. OT 0:00Period start
  75. OT 1:00Shot by St. Louis, saved by Markstrom4v4
  76. OT 1:27Shot by Brewer, saved by Markstrom4v4
  77. OT 2:51Shot by Carle, saved by Markstrom4v4
  78. OT 4:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Markstrom4v4
  79. OT 4:40Shot by Brennan, saved by Garon4v4
  80. OT 4:57Shot by Smithson, saved by Garon4v4
  81. OT 4:59Stamkos: Interference (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Carle, Stamkos, Johnson · FLA Campbell, Smithson, Matthias, Brennan

  82. OT 5:00Period end
  83. SO Period start
  84. SO Shot by Purcell, saved by Markstromother
  85. SO Goal by Mueller, unassistedother
  86. SO Shot by Hedman, saved by Markstromother
  87. SO Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Garonother
  88. SO Shot by Stamkos, saved by Markstromother
  89. SO Period end
  90. SO Final