Tue, Apr 2, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Florida Panthers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.
60%
10%
9%
21%
TBL winsFLA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Mueller–Matthias–Huberdeau | Kopecky–Goc–Fleischmann | Upshall–Santorelli–Rallo | Parros–Smithson–Howden | Smithson–Upshall–Santorelli | Campbell–Strachan | Kuba–Gudbranson | Brennan–Kulikov | Kuba–Kulikov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Killorn–Stamkos | 3:510.24–0.09 | 2:560.02–0.04 | 1:050.02–0.02 | 5:050.18–0.12 | 2:500.13–0.02 | 0:400.00–0.02 | |||
| Pouliot–Pyatt–Purcell | 2:020.16–0.04 | 4:360.08–0.08 | 0:360.01–0.00 | 4:120.26–0.04 | 1:000.00–0.08 | 2:340.08–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||
| Johnson–Conacher–Palat | 1:020.00–0.25 | 3:360.02–0.22 | 1:080.00–0.03 | 0:580.00–0.10 | 3:520.01–0.26 | 2:260.09–0.14 | |||
| Pyatt–Purcell–Killorn | 3:150.38–0.00 | 0:540.02–0.00 | 0:450.03–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 3:180.12–0.00 | 1:420.25–0.00 | 0:410.03–0.00 | 0:490.11–0.00 | |
| St. Louis–Pouliot–Stamkos | 2:310.12–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.12 | 2:090.00–0.03 | 1:380.11–0.12 | 0:360.03–0.00 | ||||
| Crombeen–Angelidis–Johnson | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:040.03–0.00 | |||||||
| Crombeen–Angelidis–Conacher | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:510.01–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||
| St. Louis–Stamkos–Conacher | 0:500.03–0.02 | 0:570.03–0.02 | |||||||
| St. Louis–Crombeen–Angelidis | |||||||||
| Brewer–Carle | 7:430.28–0.36 | 2:500.02–0.01 | 2:410.06–0.09 | 6:320.23–0.27 | 5:400.03–0.21 | 2:570.06–0.07 | 1:470.14–0.00 | ||
| Salo–Hedman | 3:140.34–0.00 | 8:070.28–0.22 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 8:070.32–0.14 | 3:550.32–0.08 | 2:310.06–0.00 | |
| Aulie–Gudas | 1:460.12–0.04 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 1:340.02–0.02 | 0:590.00–0.01 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 3:030.11–0.06 | 1:090.04–0.01 | 2:490.00–0.00 | |
| Hedman–Sustr | 0:340.00–0.04 | 1:210.00–0.03 | 1:440.01–0.07 | ||||||
| Aulie–Sustr | 0:340.09–0.09 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:430.20–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.09 | |||||
| Hedman–Gudas | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:240.03–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.02 | |||||
| Carle–Sustr | 0:400.04–0.00 | 1:030.08–0.00 | |||||||
| Salo–Aulie | 0:300.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 33 | 29:53 | 0:54 | 2:00 | 4 | 4 | |
| 33 | 27:31 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 5 | 6 | |
| 30 | 26:00 | 0:52 | 2:00 | 3 | 3 | |
| 30 | 25:07 | 0:50 | 2:11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 32 | 23:58 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 0 | 7 | |
| 27 | 23:53 | 0:53 | 1:30 | 5 | 3 | |
| 27 | 23:28 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 5 | 4 | |
| 31 | 23:24 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 5 | 4 | |
| 30 | 23:20 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 4 | 5 | |
| 32 | 22:16 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 6 | 3 | |
| 30 | 21:55 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 2 | 5 | |
| 32 | 20:59 | 0:39 | 1:21 | 5 | 9 | |
| 29 | 20:15 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 5 | 7 | |
| 29 | 20:01 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 5 | 6 | |
| 26 | 19:50 | 0:46 | 1:50 | 5 | 3 | |
| 29 | 19:25 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 0 | 7 | |
| 28 | 19:23 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 4 | 5 | |
| 27 | 19:04 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 2 | 5 | |
| 26 | 18:30 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 5 | 3 | |
| 27 | 18:10 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 2 | 4 | |
| 23 | 16:53 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 6 | 4 | |
| 20 | 16:11 | 0:49 | 1:12 | 3 | 4 | |
| 19 | 14:33 | 0:46 | 1:45 | 6 | 3 | |
| 18 | 14:04 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 6 | 1 | |
| 23 | 13:54 | 0:36 | 1:15 | 3 | 2 | |
| 21 | 13:05 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 2 | 2 | |
| 17 | 11:55 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 2 | 4 | |
| 18 | 11:39 | 0:39 | 1:18 | 4 | 4 | |
| 18 | 11:33 | 0:39 | 1:22 | 2 | 1 | |
| 19 | 11:00 | 0:35 | 1:10 | 5 | 4 | |
| 22 | 10:57 | 0:30 | 0:55 | 5 | 7 | |
| 16 | 10:07 | 0:38 | 1:07 | 1 | 3 | |
| 12 | 8:19 | 0:42 | 1:03 | 2 | 1 | |
| 15 | 7:22 | 0:29 | 1:16 | 1 | 4 | |
| 13 | 7:21 | 0:34 | 1:01 | 3 | 2 | |
| 12 | 6:46 | 0:34 | 1:13 | 3 | 2 |