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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 2, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Florida Panthers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Mueller–Matthias–HuberdeauKopecky–Goc–FleischmannUpshall–Santorelli–RalloParros–Smithson–HowdenSmithson–Upshall–SantorelliCampbell–StrachanKuba–GudbransonBrennan–KulikovKuba–Kulikov
St. Louis–Killorn–Stamkos3:510.24–0.092:560.02–0.041:050.02–0.025:050.18–0.122:500.13–0.020:400.00–0.02
Pouliot–Pyatt–Purcell2:020.16–0.044:360.08–0.080:360.01–0.004:120.26–0.041:000.00–0.082:340.08–0.000:320.00–0.00
Johnson–Conacher–Palat1:020.00–0.253:360.02–0.221:080.00–0.030:580.00–0.103:520.01–0.262:260.09–0.14
Pyatt–Purcell–Killorn3:150.38–0.000:540.02–0.000:450.03–0.000:360.00–0.003:180.12–0.001:420.25–0.000:410.03–0.000:490.11–0.00
St. Louis–Pouliot–Stamkos2:310.12–0.000:320.00–0.122:090.00–0.031:380.11–0.120:360.03–0.00
Crombeen–Angelidis–Johnson0:360.00–0.001:040.03–0.00
Crombeen–Angelidis–Conacher1:030.00–0.000:510.01–0.000:310.00–0.00
St. Louis–Stamkos–Conacher0:500.03–0.020:570.03–0.02
St. Louis–Crombeen–Angelidis
Brewer–Carle7:430.28–0.362:500.02–0.012:410.06–0.096:320.23–0.275:400.03–0.212:570.06–0.071:470.14–0.00
Salo–Hedman3:140.34–0.008:070.28–0.221:220.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:310.00–0.008:070.32–0.143:550.32–0.082:310.06–0.00
Aulie–Gudas1:460.12–0.040:530.01–0.001:340.02–0.020:590.00–0.011:010.00–0.003:030.11–0.061:090.04–0.012:490.00–0.00
Hedman–Sustr0:340.00–0.041:210.00–0.031:440.01–0.07
Aulie–Sustr0:340.09–0.091:020.00–0.000:430.20–0.001:260.00–0.09
Hedman–Gudas0:320.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:240.03–0.000:300.00–0.02
Carle–Sustr0:400.04–0.001:030.08–0.00
Salo–Aulie0:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndKillorn FSt. Louis FStamkos FPouliot FPyatt FPurcell FCrombeen FAngelidis FConacher FPalat FJohnson FSalo DHedman DBrewer DCarle DAulie DGudas DSustr DGaron GHuberdeau FMatthias FKopecky FFleischmann FGoc FMueller FParros FSmithson FHowden FSantorelli FUpshall FRallo FStrachan DCampbell DKuba DGudbranson DBrennan DKulikov DMarkstrom G
TBLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brian CampbellFLA3329:530:542:0044
Victor HedmanTBL3327:310:501:3656
Tyson StrachanFLA3026:000:522:0033
Matt CarleTBL3025:070:502:1163
Filip KubaFLA3223:580:451:1207
Martin St. LouisTBL2723:530:531:3053
Steven StamkosTBL2723:280:521:3054
Sami SaloTBL3123:240:451:1854
Alex KillornTBL3023:200:471:1545
Teddy PurcellTBL3222:160:421:1863
Shawn MatthiasFLA3021:550:441:2725
Marcel GocFLA3220:590:391:2159
Tomas KopeckyFLA2920:150:421:1457
Tomas FleischmannFLA2920:010:411:2156
Eric BrewerTBL2619:500:461:5053
Erik GudbransonFLA2919:250:401:0707
Tom PyattTBL2819:230:421:0745
Peter MuellerFLA2719:040:421:1225
Benoit PouliotTBL2618:300:431:1853
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2718:100:401:1624
Tyler JohnsonTBL2316:530:441:2164
Dmitry KulikovFLA2016:110:491:1234
TJ BrennanFLA1914:330:461:4563
Cory ConacherTBL1814:040:471:2161
Scottie UpshallFLA2313:540:361:1532
Mike SantorelliFLA2113:050:371:0422
Radko GudasTBL1711:550:421:1224
Ondrej PalatTBL1811:390:391:1844
Greg RalloFLA1811:330:391:2221
Keith AulieTBL1911:000:351:1054
Jerred SmithsonFLA2210:570:300:5557
B.J. CrombeenTBL1610:070:381:0713
Andrej SustrTBL128:190:421:0321
Mike AngelidisTBL157:220:291:1614
Quinton HowdenFLA137:210:341:0132
George ParrosFLA126:460:341:1332