Tue, Apr 2, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Florida Panthers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.
60%
10%
9%
21%
TBL winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29:53 | 0.00 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:00 | 0.02 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 23:58 | 0.00 | 37.3% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.13 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.06 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:15 | 0.15 | 39.6% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:01 | 0.07 | 40.1% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.03 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:04 | 0.27 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:10 | 0.10 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.02 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.04 | 36.9% | +41.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:54 | 0.08 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.07 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 11:33 | 0.21 | 52.3% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:57 | 0.15 | 88.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:21 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:46 | 0.00 | 75.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 39 | 2 | .951 | 2.40 | +0.4 | 65:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 27:31 | 0.17 | 70.7% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:07 | 0.07 | 47.0% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:53 | 0.30 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:28 | 0.23 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:24 | 0.04 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:20 | 0.38 | 83.3% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 22:16 | 0.22 | 89.1% | +47.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:50 | 0.14 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:23 | 0.25 | 88.3% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:30 | 0.21 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:53 | 0.14 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:04 | 0.00 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:55 | 0.03 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:39 | 0.10 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:00 | 0.03 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:19 | 0.03 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:22 | 0.07 | 38.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 1.40 | −0.6 | 65:00 |