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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 27, 2013·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 74% of the time.

PIT winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:09Shot by Neal, saved by Peters
  3. P1 2:13Shot by Sutter, saved by Peters
  4. P1 3:13Shot by Dupuis, saved by Peters
  5. P1 5:48Shot by Glass, saved by Peters
  6. P1 8:24Shot by Skinner, saved by Fleury
  7. P1 8:49Shot by Bergeron, saved by Fleury
  8. P1 9:32Staal: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Iginla, Dupuis, Eaton, Martin, Jokinen · CAR Gleason, LaRose, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  9. P1 10:03Shot by Kunitz, saved by Peters5v4
  10. P1 10:10Shot by Iginla, saved by Peters5v4
  11. P1 10:36Shot by Neal, saved by Peters5v4
  12. P1 10:49Goal by Malkin (Neal, Fleury)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Morrow, Martin, Malkin, Neal, Letang · CAR Blanchard, McBain, Sanguinetti, Wallace

  13. P1 11:04Martin: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cooke, Dupuis, Martin, Sutter, Despres · CAR LaRose, Staal, Tlusty, McBain, Sanguinetti

  14. P1 12:25Shot by Staal, saved by Fleury4v5
  15. P1 13:25Shot by Kunitz, saved by Peters
  16. P1 13:35Shot by Neal, saved by Peters
  17. P1 15:22Shot by Staal, saved by Fleury
  18. P1 15:39Shot by Kennedy, saved by Peters
  19. P1 15:57Murray: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Murray, Glass, Kennedy, Niskanen, Sutter · CAR Gleason, Dwyer, Wallace, Faulk, Skinner

  20. P1 19:19Shot by LaRose, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:10Shot by Kunitz, saved by Peters
  24. P2 0:35Shot by Kunitz, saved by Peters
  25. P2 1:04Iginla: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Iginla, Eaton, Malkin, Neal, Letang · CAR Staal, Tlusty, McBain, Sanguinetti, Staal

  26. P2 2:08Ruutu: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Dupuis, Eaton, Murray, Sutter · CAR Ruutu, Bergeron, Staal, McBain, Skinner

  27. P2 4:09Shot by Malkin, saved by Peters
  28. P2 4:10Goal by Neal (Letang, Kunitz)+10 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Martin, Kunitz, Malkin, Neal, Letang · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Dwyer, Staal, McBain

  29. P2 6:01Shot by Gleason, saved by Fleury
  30. P2 6:09Shot by Ruutu, saved by Fleury
  31. P2 6:26Shot by Ruutu, saved by Fleury
  32. P2 6:43Shot by Malkin, saved by Peters
  33. P2 6:46Shot by Neal, saved by Peters
  34. P2 9:17Shot by Morrow, saved by Peters
  35. P2 10:21Shot by Tlusty, saved by Fleury
  36. P2 10:27Shot by Tlusty, saved by Fleury
  37. P2 11:14Shot by McBain, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 11:43Shot by Murray, saved by Peters
  39. P2 12:01Shot by Neal, saved by Peters
  40. P2 12:28Shot by Staal, saved by Fleury
  41. P2 12:30Goal by Westgarth (Tlusty, Staal)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Adams, Martin, Glass, Kennedy, Letang · CAR Staal, Tlusty, Sanguinetti, Westgarth, Faulk

  42. P2 14:41Shot by Sutter, saved by Peters
  43. P2 15:39Shot by Letang, saved by Peters
  44. P2 16:00Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Fleury
  45. P2 16:08Shot by Jokinen, saved by Peters
  46. P2 16:10Goal by Jokinen (Dupuis, Iginla)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Iginla, Dupuis, Eaton, Jokinen, Letang · CAR LaRose, Staal, Tlusty, McBain, Sanguinetti

  47. P2 16:30Shot by Faulk, saved by Fleury
  48. P2 16:41Shot by Kunitz, saved by Peters
  49. P2 17:10Shot by Dwyer, saved by Fleury
  50. P2 17:14Goal by Ruutu (Staal, Dwyer)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Iginla, Dupuis, Jokinen, Niskanen, Despres · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Dwyer, Staal, Sanguinetti

  51. P2 17:47Shot by Skinner, saved by Fleury
  52. P2 17:51Goal by Westgarth (McBain, Staal)+27 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cooke, Morrow, Murray, Martin, Sutter · CAR Bergeron, Staal, Tlusty, McBain, Westgarth

  53. P2 19:43Shot by LaRose, saved by Fleury
  54. P2 19:59Shot by Tlusty, saved by Fleury
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:45Staal: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Iginla, Dupuis, Martin, Malkin, Letang · CAR Ruutu, Staal, McBain, Sanguinetti, Staal

  58. P3 1:36Goal by Neal (Malkin, Martin)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Iginla, Martin, Kunitz, Malkin, Neal · CAR Gleason, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  59. P3 2:06Shot by Skinner, saved by Fleury
  60. P3 3:20Shot by Staal, saved by Fleury
  61. P3 3:25Shot by Westgarth, saved by Fleury
  62. P3 4:14Goal by Neal (Malkin, Kunitz)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Murray, Kunitz, Malkin, Niskanen, Neal · CAR Bergeron, Blanchard, Staal, Faulk, Skinner

  63. P3 4:48Shot by Dwyer, saved by Fleury
  64. P3 5:24Goal by Morrow (Sutter, Cooke)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cooke, Morrow, Martin, Letang, Sutter · CAR Bergeron, LaRose, Staal, Tlusty, McBain

  65. P3 7:15Shot by Staal, saved by Fleury
  66. P3 7:37Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Fleury
  67. P3 7:46Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Fleury
  68. P3 9:24Shot by Sutter, saved by Peters
  69. P3 10:12Shot by Letang, saved by Peters
  70. P3 10:56Morrow: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Adams, Morrow, Eaton, Kennedy, Letang · CAR Bergeron, Staal, Tlusty, McBain, Westgarth

  71. P3 13:48Shot by Iginla, saved by Peters
  72. P3 14:06Shot by Westgarth, saved by Fleury
  73. P3 14:35Shot by Letang, saved by Peters
  74. P3 15:43Goal by Cooke (Morrow, Martin)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cooke, Morrow, Martin, Sutter, Despres · CAR Ruutu, Bergeron, Staal, Staal, Faulk

  75. P3 16:39Shot by Niskanen, saved by Peters
  76. P3 17:34Shot by Gleason, saved by Fleury
  77. P3 19:11Goal by Jokinen (Iginla, Letang)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Iginla, Dupuis, Martin, Jokinen, Letang · CAR Gleason, Staal, Tlusty, Wallace, Faulk

  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final