Tue, Oct 1, 2013·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Montréal Canadiens 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.
31%
9%
53%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 27:01 | 0.08 | 22.1% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:27 | 0.05 | 50.4% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:13 | 0.52 | 21.5% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 21:11 | 0.27 | 19.8% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 21:00 | 1.04 | 21.0% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:38 | 0.21 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:00 | 0.00 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:35 | 0.03 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:26 | 0.43 | 59.2% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:38 | 0.26 | 46.2% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:04 | 0.41 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.04 | 38.4% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.01 | 8.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:46 | 0.19 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:37 | 0.00 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:37 | 0.18 | 56.3% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 3:40 | 0.01 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:47 | 0.00 | 5.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.11 | +0.1 | 59:48 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:41 | 0.12 | 80.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:14 | 0.05 | 80.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:00 | 0.07 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:51 | 0.24 | 64.3% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:24 | 0.02 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.19 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:51 | 0.14 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 16:20 | 0.76 | 70.3% | +42.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.27 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:57 | 0.34 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 | 0.00 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:27 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:54 | 0.24 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.06 | 64.5% | +35.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:14 | 0.34 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:07 | 0.06 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:26 | 0.17 | 59.3% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:17 | 0.04 | 68.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 34 | 4 | .895 | 3.73 | −0.3 | 59:02 |