Fri, Oct 4, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 1, Buffalo Sabres 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 78% of the time.
16%
72%
BUF winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Spezza–Michalek–Ryan | MacArthur–Turris–Conacher | Greening–Condra–Pageau | Neil–Smith–Da Costa | Methot–Karlsson | Wiercioch–Cowen | Phillips–Gryba | Phillips–Karlsson | Karlsson–Wiercioch | Gryba–Cowen | Phillips–Wiercioch | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanek–Stafford–Hodgson | 5:390.22–0.50 | 3:260.00–0.24 | 2:170.32–0.01 | 7:230.22–0.27 | 3:070.32–0.22 | 0:590.00–0.27 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||
| Porter–Flynn–Girgensons | 3:270.32–0.28 | 2:410.34–0.08 | 1:170.02–0.03 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 3:020.29–0.18 | 4:110.36–0.21 | 0:390.02–0.00 | ||||
| Ott–Ennis–Grigorenko | 2:170.16–0.19 | 1:210.00–0.02 | 1:050.00–0.01 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:560.05–0.15 | 1:480.11–0.07 | |||||
| Kaleta–Scott–Larsson | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.02 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.02 | 1:170.00–0.00 | |||||
| Ott–Ennis–Larsson | 2:340.16–0.04 | 2:090.07–0.04 | |||||||||
| Flynn–Girgensons–Grigorenko | 1:010.15–0.11 | 0:340.05–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.06 | 0:510.05–0.00 | |||||||
| Vanek–Hodgson–Ennis | 0:320.00–0.11 | 1:070.00–0.16 | |||||||||
| Ott–Porter–Ennis | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.04 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Ott–Kaleta–Ennis | 1:410.00–0.22 | 1:250.00–0.22 | |||||||||
| Ott–Porter–Flynn | 0:350.00–0.02 | 0:580.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Ehrhoff–Pysyk | 3:220.18–0.31 | 2:390.19–0.08 | 2:240.05–0.05 | 2:470.00–0.01 | 3:440.03–0.29 | 3:110.19–0.10 | 3:090.05–0.01 | 0:390.19–0.05 | |||
| Weber–Ristolainen | 2:410.19–0.28 | 2:400.00–0.21 | 2:020.00–0.00 | 1:090.08–0.01 | 2:400.19–0.01 | 2:090.00–0.21 | 2:570.08–0.01 | 0:460.00–0.27 | |||
| Tallinder–Myers | 1:580.02–0.02 | 2:480.18–0.01 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:510.02–0.11 | 3:170.02–0.02 | 2:290.18–0.05 | 1:140.02–0.00 | ||||
| Ehrhoff–Ristolainen | 0:330.02–0.00 | 1:280.16–0.29 | 1:090.00–0.01 | 1:190.19–0.02 | 1:590.00–0.03 | 1:130.08–0.08 | 1:570.30–0.21 | ||||
| Weber–Myers | 0:450.00–0.01 | 1:210.04–0.20 | 1:140.01–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.12 | 1:510.04–0.11 | |||||
| Ehrhoff–Myers | 1:440.00–0.00 | 0:320.09–0.00 | 1:580.00–0.05 | ||||||||
| Weber–Pysyk | 1:190.13–0.20 | 0:350.05–0.00 | 1:200.06–0.20 | ||||||||
| Tallinder–Weber | 0:470.29–0.17 | 0:390.00–0.03 | 0:560.29–0.17 | 0:400.00–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Christian EhrhoffBUF | 30 | 27:10 | 0:54 | 2:02 | 7 | 4 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 27 | 25:59 | 0:58 | 2:10 | 10 | 4 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 27 | 22:17 | 0:50 | 1:45 | 7 | 7 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 27 | 21:16 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 4 | 7 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 25 | 20:39 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 6 | 3 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 26 | 20:37 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 4 | 6 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 25 | 20:24 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 3 | 7 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 25 | 20:16 | 0:49 | 1:39 | 4 | 5 |
 Steve OttBUF | 26 | 20:11 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 4 | 7 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 26 | 19:44 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 3 | 3 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 24 | 19:35 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 3 | 5 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 21 | 18:40 | 0:53 | 2:02 | 5 | 5 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 24 | 18:36 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 6 | 4 |
 Patrick WierciochOTT | 20 | 17:44 | 0:53 | 1:24 | 3 | 4 |
 Eric GrybaOTT | 24 | 17:04 | 0:43 | 2:02 | 3 | 5 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 22 | 17:02 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 4 | 5 |
 Clarke MacArthurOTT | 22 | 16:50 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 4 | 5 |
 Jared CowenOTT | 23 | 16:33 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 2 | 5 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 25 | 16:27 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 10 | 3 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 25 | 16:27 | 0:39 | 1:23 | 9 | 3 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 26 | 15:51 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 9 | 3 |
 Kevin PorterBUF | 21 | 14:36 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 5 | 3 |
 Brian FlynnBUF | 22 | 13:59 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 5 | 3 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 19 | 13:45 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 1 | 6 |
 Cory ConacherOTT | 18 | 13:41 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 4 | 3 |
 Henrik TallinderBUF | 19 | 13:33 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 1 | 7 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 18 | 13:21 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 1 | 6 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 19 | 13:01 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 1 | 6 |
 Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF | 17 | 12:52 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 4 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 20 | 12:16 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 3 | 4 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 19 | 12:14 | 0:39 | 1:18 | 5 | 2 |
 Stephane Da CostaOTT | 18 | 12:07 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 16 | 11:21 | 0:43 | 1:46 | 5 | 2 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 13 | 9:20 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 2 | 5 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 9 | 6:55 | 0:46 | 1:10 | 1 | 4 |
 John ScottBUF | 8 | 4:56 | 0:37 | 0:58 | 2 | 3 |