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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 8, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Colorado Avalanche 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Away

Colorado Avalanche

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

TOR winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:47Shot by Rielly, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 1:07Shot by Kessel, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 2:53Shot by Benoit, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 3:42Shot by Lupul, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 4:05Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 4:42Shot by Landeskog, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 5:05Shot by Kadri, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 6:09Shot by Downie, saved by Bernier
  10. P1 7:12Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 7:18Shot by Kessel, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 7:26Stastny: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Bozak, Kadri · COL Sarich, Tanguay, Benoit, Stastny, Landeskog

  13. P1 10:28Shot by Parenteau, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 10:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 11:22Gardiner: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Lupul, Bolland, Raymond, Gardiner · COL Tanguay, Guenin, Stastny, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog

  16. P1 12:41Shot by Barrie, saved by Bernier4v5
  17. P1 13:30Shot by Johnson, saved by Bernier
  18. P1 13:52Shot by Guenin, saved by Bernier
  19. P1 13:58Shot by Guenin, saved by Bernier
  20. P1 14:22Shot by Kessel, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 15:18Shot by Gardiner, saved by Varlamov
  22. P1 15:46Shot by Kessel, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 17:27Shot by Bolland, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 17:33Shot by Lupul, saved by Varlamov
  25. P1 19:39Shot by Tanguay, saved by Bernier
  26. P1 19:53Gunnarsson: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Bolland, Raymond, Gunnarsson · COL Sarich, Parenteau, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene

  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:24Shot by Parenteau, saved by Bernier4v5
  30. P2 1:37Shot by Barrie, saved by Bernier4v5
  31. P2 2:56Shot by Kessel, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 4:17Shot by Landeskog, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 5:33Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 6:58Shot by Tanguay, saved by Bernier
  35. P2 7:04Shot by Landeskog, saved by Bernier
  36. P2 8:15Shot by Mitchell, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 8:30Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 8:40Shot by Raymond, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 9:40Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bernier
  40. P2 10:06Shot by Tanguay, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 10:21Shot by Hejda, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 13:10Shot by Ashton, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 13:12Goal by Lupul (Ashton)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Franson, Ashton, Kadri · COL Benoit, Downie, Johnson, McGinn, MacKinnon

  44. P2 13:11Shot by Lupul, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 13:46Shot by Stastny, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 15:28Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bernier
  47. P2 15:32Bodie: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Bodie, Franson, Smith, Devane, Rielly · COL Guenin, Mitchell, Bordeleau, McLeod, Barrie

  48. P2 15:32McLeod: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Bodie, Franson, Smith, Devane, Rielly · COL Guenin, Mitchell, Bordeleau, McLeod, Barrie

  49. P2 16:00Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier
  50. P2 16:25Shot by Downie, saved by Bernier
  51. P2 16:39Goal by Sarich (Downie, Duchene)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Bolland, Raymond, Gunnarsson · COL Sarich, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene

  52. P2 17:15Shot by Gardiner, saved by Varlamov
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:04Shot by Landeskog, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 2:30Goal by Parenteau (McGinn, MacKinnon)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Orr, Ranger, Gardiner, Kadri, Devane · COL Sarich, Parenteau, Benoit, McGinn, MacKinnon

  57. P3 3:26Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier
  58. P3 3:44Shot by Johnson, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 4:23Shot by Barrie, saved by Bernier
  60. P3 8:13Shot by Franson, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 8:18Shot by Lupul, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 8:58Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 9:45Shot by Rielly, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 10:08Sarich: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly · COL Sarich, Tanguay, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog

  65. P3 10:18Shot by Bozak, saved by Varlamov5v4
  66. P3 10:55Shot by Kessel, saved by Varlamov5v4
  67. P3 11:45Shot by Franson, saved by Varlamov5v4
  68. P3 12:01Shot by Kessel, saved by Varlamov5v4
  69. P3 12:05Shot by Bozak, saved by Varlamov5v4
  70. P3 12:25Gunnarsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Bolland, Raymond, Gunnarsson, Rielly · COL Benoit, Downie, Johnson, O'Reilly, Duchene

  71. P3 13:59Shot by Johnson, saved by Bernier4v5
  72. P3 18:17Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 18:50Shot by Mitchell, saved by Bernier
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final