Tue, Oct 8, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Colorado Avalanche 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.
58%
9%
9%
23%
TOR winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik JohnsonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:13 | 0.09 | 28.1% | 0.0 |
 Jan HejdaD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:11 | 0.02 | 40.3% | 0.0 |
 Andre BenoitD · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:18 | 0.01 | 36.1% | 0.0 |
 Steve DownieRW · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.12 | 24.6% | +25.6 |
 Matt DucheneC · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:39 | 0.18 | 49.4% | +25.6 |
 Gabriel LandeskogLW · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:07 | 0.25 | 68.7% | 0.0 |
 Ryan O'ReillyC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:52 | 0.15 | 40.0% | 0.0 |
 Cory SarichD · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:13 | 0.03 | 60.0% | +25.6 |
 Paul StastnyC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.08 | 64.9% | 0.0 |
 Alex TanguayLW · #40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:37 | 0.17 | 65.2% | 0.0 |
 Nate GueninD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.03 | 64.9% | 0.0 |
 Tyson BarrieD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:21 | 0.09 | 84.1% | 0.0 |
 PA ParenteauRW · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:41 | 0.31 | 58.8% | +24.4 |
 Jamie McGinnLW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 28.4% | +24.4 |
 John MitchellC · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:51 | 0.21 | 48.3% | 0.0 |
 Nathan MacKinnonC · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.12 | 28.0% | +24.4 |
 Cody McLeodLW · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:36 | 0.00 | 77.0% | 0.0 |
 Patrick BordeleauLW · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:32 | 0.03 | 77.0% | 0.0 |
 Semyon Varlamov#1 | W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.80 | +1.8 | 59:57 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:02 | 0.04 | 71.2% | 0.0 |
 Cody FransonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 24:00 | 0.04 | 58.2% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:35 | 0.31 | 36.4% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:13 | 0.17 | 44.0% | 0.0 |
 Phil KesselRW · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20:59 | 0.48 | 53.0% | 0.0 |
 Mason RaymondLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.04 | 50.6% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:03 | 0.10 | 51.0% | 0.0 |
 Dave BollandC · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:21 | 0.01 | 49.4% | 0.0 |
 Joffrey LupulLW · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:38 | 1.24 | 62.4% | +24.6 |
 Paul RangerD · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:14 | 0.00 | 56.6% | 0.0 |
 Carl GunnarssonD · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:42 | 0.03 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:15 | 0.05 | 30.5% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.08 | 79.2% | 0.0 |
 Carter AshtonRW · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:28 | 0.13 | 90.0% | +24.6 |
 Colton OrrRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:13 | 0.07 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
 Trevor SmithC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:16 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Troy BodieRW · #40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:03 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Jamie DevaneLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:51 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Jonathan Bernier#45 | L | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 1.89 | −0.1 | 59:24 |