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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 17, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Minnesota Wild 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 76% of the time.

TBL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:25Shot by Suter, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 3:15Shot by Stoner, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 3:27Shot by Killorn, saved by Harding
  5. P1 4:16Shot by Heatley, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 6:19Shot by Parise, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 6:27Shot by Koivu, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 7:27Shot by Scandella, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 7:51Shot by Malone, saved by Harding
  10. P1 8:46Shot by Johnson, saved by Harding
  11. P1 9:01Shot by Veilleux, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 11:27Shot by Koivu, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 11:33Shot by Parise, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 11:48Shot by Filppula, saved by Harding
  15. P1 11:49Shot by Panik, saved by Harding
  16. P1 12:19Pominville: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Carle, Stamkos, Gudas · MIN Heatley, Pominville, Suter, Granlund, Brodin

  17. P1 12:55Shot by Purcell, saved by Harding5v4
  18. P1 13:30Shot by Malone, saved by Harding5v4
  19. P1 13:32Shot by Malone, saved by Harding5v4
  20. P1 14:02Goal by Johnson (Filppula, Panik)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Johnson, Panik · MIN Koivu, Parise, Stoner, Spurgeon

  21. P1 15:52Shot by Parise, saved by Bishop
  22. P1 16:02Shot by Stoner, saved by Bishop
  23. P1 17:52Shot by Hedman, saved by Harding
  24. P1 19:06Scandella: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Filppula, Carle, Stamkos, Hedman · MIN Cooke, Koivu, Pominville, Stoner, Scandella

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:33Shot by Koivu, saved by Bishop
  28. P2 1:59Spurgeon: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Panik, Gudas · MIN Koivu, Parise, Stoner, Spurgeon, Niederreiter

  29. P2 2:54Shot by Killorn, saved by Harding5v4
  30. P2 3:45Shot by Purcell, saved by Harding5v4
  31. P2 5:22Connolly: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Crombeen, Thompson, Hedman, Gudas, Connolly · MIN Koivu, Pominville, Parise, Scandella, Spurgeon

  32. P2 5:33Shot by Suter, saved by Bishop4v5
  33. P2 5:56Shot by Granlund, saved by Bishop4v5
  34. P2 8:32Shot by Purcell, saved by Harding
  35. P2 9:27Shot by Scandella, saved by Bishop
  36. P2 9:31Shot by Scandella, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 9:33Shot by Koivu, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 9:32Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 9:54Shot by Pominville, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 10:15Shot by Heatley, saved by Bishop
  41. P2 10:20Shot by Granlund, saved by Bishop
  42. P2 9:34Shot by Granlund, saved by Bishop
  43. P2 10:39Stamkos: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Hedman · MIN Veilleux, Konopka, Suter, Mitchell, Brodin

  44. P2 10:47Shot by Pominville, saved by Bishop4v5
  45. P2 11:06Spurgeon: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Salo, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · MIN Koivu, Pominville, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon

  46. P2 11:41Shot by St. Louis, saved by Harding4v4
  47. P2 15:06Shot by Palat, saved by Harding
  48. P2 15:33Shot by Palat, saved by Harding
  49. P2 16:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Harding
  50. P2 16:47Shot by Fontaine, saved by Bishop
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:37Shot by Filppula, saved by Harding
  54. P3 3:45Shot by Sustr, saved by Harding
  55. P3 4:34Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Bishop
  56. P3 4:44Shot by Stamkos, saved by Harding
  57. P3 6:06Niederreiter: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Panik, Gudas · MIN Koivu, Parise, Stoner, Niederreiter, Dumba

  58. P3 7:44Shot by Killorn, saved by Harding5v4
  59. P3 7:51Shot by Panik, saved by Harding5v4
  60. P3 10:41Shot by Carle, saved by Harding
  61. P3 11:05Goal by Koivu (Niederreiter, Suter)+34 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Panik, Gudas · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Stoner, Niederreiter

  62. P3 12:10Shot by Purcell, saved by Harding
  63. P3 12:41Cooke: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Hedman, Sustr · MIN Cooke, Suter, Brodziak, Fontaine, Brodin

  64. P3 12:41Cooke: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Hedman, Sustr · MIN Cooke, Suter, Brodziak, Fontaine, Brodin

  65. P3 13:33Shot by Stamkos, saved by Harding5v4
  66. P3 13:57Killorn: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Panik, Connolly · MIN Koivu, Parise, Scandella, Spurgeon

  67. P3 14:56Goal by Stamkos (Carle, Gudas)4v4+39 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Stamkos, Gudas · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Brodin

  68. P3 16:38Shot by Hedman, saved by Harding5v4
  69. P3 18:15Shot by St. Louis, saved by Harding
  70. P3 19:15Shot by Johnson, saved by Harding
  71. P3 19:42Goal by Salo, unassisted5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Brewer, Filppula, Killorn, Panik · MIN Koivu, Pominville, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Granlund

  72. P3 0:00Crombeen: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Crombeen, Thompson, Hedman, Connolly, Sustr · MIN Veilleux, Konopka, Mitchell, Scandella, Spurgeon

  73. P3 0:00Konopka: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Crombeen, Thompson, Hedman, Connolly, Sustr · MIN Veilleux, Konopka, Mitchell, Scandella, Spurgeon

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final