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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 17, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Minnesota Wild 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 76% of the time.

TBL winsMIN wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Koivu–Parise–NiederreiterHeatley–Pominville–GranlundCooke–Brodziak–FontaineVeilleux–Konopka–MitchellKoivu–Pominville–PariseSuter–BrodinScandella–SpurgeonStoner–DumbaSuter–Spurgeon
St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos1:210.05–0.173:550.19–0.221:420.02–0.020:310.00–0.004:530.26–0.222:120.03–0.020:450.00–0.00
Purcell–Johnson–Palat1:000.04–0.023:110.25–0.003:230.00–0.011:010.01–0.023:420.05–0.033:410.18–0.001:120.08–0.02
Filppula–Killorn–Panik6:350.28–0.630:460.00–0.003:350.04–0.011:130.22–0.532:090.00–0.04
Crombeen–Thompson–Connolly0:490.00–0.110:590.00–0.002:430.01–0.000:380.00–0.001:120.00–0.001:590.01–0.002:290.00–0.11
St. Louis–Malone–Filppula0:470.00–0.020:540.00–0.02
Carle–Gudas5:520.34–0.722:240.07–0.001:030.02–0.000:470.00–0.004:120.02–0.041:130.22–0.532:540.15–0.11
Salo–Hedman1:500.09–0.015:190.31–0.341:550.00–0.015:510.17–0.293:470.26–0.07
Brewer–Sustr1:500.00–0.131:000.00–0.002:490.00–0.023:210.02–0.003:140.04–0.004:270.01–0.112:360.02–0.04
Hedman–Gudas1:000.13–0.000:570.00–0.001:050.13–0.020:340.02–0.000:580.00–0.00
Hedman–Sustr0:560.00–0.050:470.00–0.001:020.00–0.051:070.00–0.00
Salo–Brewer0:560.02–0.020:590.02–0.020:380.00–0.00
Salo–Carle0:530.02–0.20
Carle–Sustr0:360.14–0.000:470.14–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FPurcell FPalat FPanik FKillorn FFilppula FMalone FSt. Louis FStamkos FConnolly FCrombeen FThompson FSalo DHedman DGudas DCarle DBrewer DSustr DBishop GFontaine FBrodziak FCooke FKoivu FParise FNiederreiter FHeatley FPominville FGranlund FMitchell FVeilleux FKonopka FScandella DSpurgeon DSuter DBrodin DStoner DDumba DHarding G
TBLMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan SuterMIN3029:501:002:0827
Jonas BrodinMIN3026:330:531:5617
Sami SaloTBL2923:560:501:5164
Victor HedmanTBL2421:310:543:0333
Martin St. LouisTBL2621:290:501:4343
Steven StamkosTBL2420:460:521:4343
Matt CarleTBL2520:340:492:1711
Jared SpurgeonMIN2719:530:441:4334
Ryan MaloneTBL2418:390:471:4341
Mikko KoivuMIN2618:060:421:1511
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2218:050:491:4123
Teddy PurcellTBL2217:570:491:1471
Tyler JohnsonTBL2117:340:501:2635
Zach PariseMIN2517:300:421:1511
Jason PominvilleMIN2316:510:441:2454
Kyle BrodziakMIN2116:320:471:1106
Radko GudasTBL2516:300:401:2622
Mikael GranlundMIN2015:580:481:3174
Marco ScandellaMIN2315:340:411:0624
Ondrej PalatTBL2015:060:451:2034
Clayton StonerMIN1814:490:491:5112
Dany HeatleyMIN1914:230:451:2543
Matt CookeMIN1914:180:451:1105
Eric BrewerTBL1714:150:501:4152
Mathew DumbaMIN1614:130:532:0431
Andrej SustrTBL1614:110:531:5222
Alex KillornTBL2114:080:401:4122
Richard PanikTBL1813:270:451:4112
Nino NiederreiterMIN1912:390:401:1510
Torrey MitchellMIN1811:030:371:0404
Brett ConnollyTBL149:380:411:1321
Nate ThompsonTBL169:340:361:1324
Stephane VeilleuxMIN159:300:381:1002
Zenon KonopkaMIN169:250:351:0904
Justin FontaineMIN129:130:461:0302
B.J. CrombeenTBL127:130:361:1321