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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 19, 2013·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Edmonton Oilers 3, Ottawa Senators 1

Away

Edmonton Oilers

3

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 74% of the time.

OTT winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Karlsson, saved by Dubnyk
  3. P1 1:43Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk
  4. P1 1:45Shot by Neil, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 2:15Goal by Eberle (Nugent-Hopkins)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Neil, Spezza, Methot, Greening, Wiercioch · EDM Ference, Grebeshkov, Eberle, Nugent-Hopkins, Yakupov

  6. P1 2:51Shot by Smyth, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 3:19MacArthur: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, MacArthur, Ryan, Gryba, Turris · EDM Smid, Petry, Perron, Hall, Arcobello

  8. P1 4:16Shot by Gryba, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  9. P1 7:13Shot by Schultz, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 7:44Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk
  11. P1 7:51Shot by Gryba, saved by Dubnyk
  12. P1 8:52Shot by Ryan, saved by Dubnyk
  13. P1 9:16Shot by Neil, saved by Dubnyk
  14. P1 9:32Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk
  15. P1 10:27Shot by Yakupov, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 10:29Goal by Nugent-Hopkins (Yakupov, Eberle)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Methot, Condra · EDM Ference, Grebeshkov, Eberle, Nugent-Hopkins, Yakupov

  17. P1 10:51Shot by MacArthur, saved by Dubnyk
  18. P1 11:57Conacher: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Gryba, Conacher · EDM Smyth, Hemsky, Gordon, Schultz, Belov

  19. P1 12:11Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Lehner4v5
  20. P1 13:56Shot by Hall, saved by Lehner4v5
  21. P1 14:23Shot by Turris, saved by Dubnyk
  22. P1 15:31Smid: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Neil, Spezza, Methot, Greening, Smith, Wiercioch · EDM Grebeshkov, Smid, Gazdic, Perron, Acton

  23. P1 16:06Shot by Spezza, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  24. P1 16:30Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  25. P1 16:40Shot by Ryan, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  26. P1 19:21Smyth: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Gryba, Conacher · EDM Smyth, Ference, Grebeshkov, Perron, Arcobello

  27. P1 19:44Shot by Phillips, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:50Shot by Karlsson, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  31. P2 0:59Shot by Phillips, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  32. P2 3:16Shot by Smyth, saved by Lehner
  33. P2 3:27Spezza: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Gryba, Conacher · EDM Ference, Brown, Gazdic, Schultz, Acton

  34. P2 4:01Shot by Turris, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  35. P2 4:29Shot by Grant, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  36. P2 5:37Shot by Hemsky, saved by Lehner
  37. P2 6:07Shot by Perron, saved by Lehner
  38. P2 6:08Karlsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Methot, Ryan, Karlsson, Conacher · EDM Smid, Petry, Perron, Hall, Nugent-Hopkins

  39. P2 7:17Shot by Yakupov, saved by Lehner4v5
  40. P2 9:33Shot by Karlsson, saved by Dubnyk
  41. P2 10:22Shot by Phillips, saved by Dubnyk
  42. P2 11:04Hall: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Michalek, MacArthur, Gryba, Turris · EDM Ference, Grebeshkov, Perron, Hall, Arcobello

  43. P2 11:57Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  44. P2 12:13Shot by Phillips, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  45. P2 13:18Shot by Hall, saved by Lehner
  46. P2 13:59Shot by Smyth, saved by Lehner
  47. P2 15:24Grebeshkov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Kassian, Condra, Karlsson, Grant · EDM Ference, Grebeshkov, Eberle, Nugent-Hopkins, Yakupov

  48. P2 16:52Shot by Eberle, saved by Lehner5v4
  49. P2 17:39Shot by Phillips, saved by Dubnyk
  50. P2 18:54Shot by Smyth, saved by Lehner
  51. P2 19:20Shot by Greening, saved by Dubnyk
  52. P2 19:50Yakupov: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson · EDM Eberle, Schultz, Nugent-Hopkins, Yakupov, Belov

  53. P2 19:50Greening: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson · EDM Eberle, Schultz, Nugent-Hopkins, Yakupov, Belov

  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 2:17Shot by Methot, saved by Dubnyk
  57. P3 3:33Shot by Conacher, saved by Dubnyk
  58. P3 3:40Michalek: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Cowen, Conacher · EDM Smyth, Ference, Petry, Perron, Arcobello

  59. P3 3:40Cowen: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Cowen, Conacher · EDM Smyth, Ference, Petry, Perron, Arcobello

  60. P3 4:41Shot by Schultz, saved by Lehner3v5
  61. P3 5:27Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk3v5
  62. P3 6:03Smid: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Michalek, Methot, Karlsson, Conacher · EDM Hemsky, Smid, Petry, Perron, Nugent-Hopkins

  63. P3 7:26Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  64. P3 9:34Shot by Neil, saved by Dubnyk
  65. P3 11:00Shot by Conacher, saved by Dubnyk
  66. P3 11:05Shot by Conacher, saved by Dubnyk
  67. P3 11:18Shot by Karlsson, saved by Dubnyk
  68. P3 12:15Shot by Perron, saved by Lehner
  69. P3 13:43Shot by Arcobello, saved by Lehner
  70. P3 14:12Goal by Neil (MacArthur, Wiercioch)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Neil, MacArthur, Smith, Wiercioch, Cowen · EDM Hemsky, Smid, Perron, Schultz, Arcobello

  71. P3 14:11Shot by MacArthur, saved by Dubnyk
  72. P3 15:24Shot by Eberle, saved by Lehner
  73. P3 17:23Shot by Ryan, saved by Dubnyk
  74. P3 17:39Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Lehner
  75. P3 19:25Goal by Nugent-Hopkins, unassisted6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Michalek, Condra, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Conacher · EDM Smyth, Ference, Petry, Eberle, Nugent-Hopkins

  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final