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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 19, 2013·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Edmonton Oilers 3, Ottawa Senators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 74% of the time.

OTT winsEDM wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against EDM's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Smyth–Hemsky–GordonEberle–Nugent-Hopkins–YakupovBrown–Gazdic–ActonPerron–Hall–ArcobelloSmyth–Perron–ArcobelloHemsky–Perron–ArcobelloEberle–Hall–Nugent-HopkinsHemsky–Perron–Nugent-HopkinsSmyth–Gordon–EberlePerron–Eberle–ArcobelloSchultz–BelovFerence–PetryFerence–GrebeshkovSmid–PetryPetry–BelovFerence–SchultzSmid–SchultzPetry–SchultzFerence–Belov
Spezza–Michalek–Conacher2:420.26–0.000:410.02–0.000:400.05–0.001:190.08–0.001:400.09–0.000:340.00–0.002:050.24–0.000:400.00–0.00
MacArthur–Ryan–Turris0:370.00–0.000:420.14–0.000:500.00–0.000:300.12–0.000:370.00–0.000:510.00–0.001:380.15–0.001:120.06–0.00
Neil–Greening–Smith0:420.00–0.000:560.48–0.000:430.08–0.002:100.49–0.000:470.00–0.000:350.04–0.00
Kassian–Condra–Grant1:200.01–0.010:440.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:410.00–0.001:270.01–0.01
Ryan–Greening–Turris1:350.01–0.030:540.00–0.00
Neil–MacArthur–Smith0:300.00–0.011:140.00–0.000:420.48–0.01
Spezza–Ryan–Conacher0:470.00–0.001:050.05–0.00
Spezza–Michalek–Greening0:480.02–0.000:400.00–0.000:490.02–0.000:400.00–0.00
Spezza–Michalek–Condra0:390.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:470.02–0.00
Ryan–Greening–Smith0:360.01–0.00
MacArthur–Turris–Conacher0:350.00–0.070:380.00–0.07
Neil–Smith–Conacher0:410.00–0.00
Karlsson–Cowen2:310.08–0.010:440.00–0.032:070.23–0.000:590.14–0.000:400.00–0.000:580.00–0.001:290.00–0.032:460.11–0.002:160.16–0.012:310.12–0.000:320.03–0.000:340.04–0.00
Methot–Wiercioch0:590.00–0.000:450.48–0.100:460.04–0.000:350.02–0.000:350.00–0.070:350.00–0.001:400.48–0.000:570.01–0.100:360.00–0.000:360.00–0.001:220.00–0.230:470.05–0.00
Phillips–Gryba1:030.18–0.001:060.01–0.001:270.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:450.01–0.001:240.00–0.001:430.01–0.001:080.18–0.000:310.00–0.00
Phillips–Karlsson1:070.02–0.000:320.00–0.011:080.02–0.000:340.00–0.020:320.00–0.000:410.00–0.01
Methot–Karlsson0:490.00–0.080:350.07–0.00
Karlsson–Wiercioch0:550.00–0.00
Gryba–Cowen0:410.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Methot–Cowen0:450.00–0.080:450.00–0.08
Phillips–Wiercioch0:330.01–0.000:410.01–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMichalek FSpezza FConacher FRyan FTurris FMacArthur FGreening FSmith FNeil FCondra FKassian FGrant FCowen DKarlsson DPhillips DGryba DMethot DWiercioch DLehner GBrown FGazdic FActon FArcobello FPerron FHall FEberle FYakupov FNugent-Hopkins FGordon FHemsky FSmyth FFerence DGrebeshkov DPetry DSchultz DBelov DSmid DDubnyk G
OTTEDMFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT2830:371:063:0943
Jeff PetryEDM3025:010:501:4136
Justin SchultzEDM2523:430:572:0062
Andrew FerenceEDM2723:370:522:1133
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM3022:220:451:29111
Chris PhillipsOTT2722:210:501:3946
Jared CowenOTT2721:380:481:3408
Jordan EberleEDM3121:340:421:2582
David PerronEDM2820:290:441:5340
Milan MichalekOTT2620:090:471:4843
Kyle TurrisOTT2419:570:501:4255
Jason SpezzaOTT2719:530:441:3742
Anton BelovEDM2318:500:491:2572
Patrick WierciochOTT2017:580:542:3530
Boyd GordonEDM3117:440:341:22610
Clarke MacArthurOTT2217:380:481:4256
Mark ArcobelloEDM2316:420:441:2532
Bobby RyanOTT1816:350:551:2753
Ales HemskyEDM2216:110:441:2252
Zack SmithOTT2115:310:441:1706
Ryan SmythEDM2015:280:461:2232
Colin GreeningOTT1914:440:471:2522
Eric GrybaOTT2014:160:431:1716
Ladislav SmidEDM2414:140:361:1835
Cory ConacherOTT1713:350:481:4223
Marc MethotOTT1813:290:451:2701
Nail YakupovEDM1813:050:441:2260
Taylor HallEDM1611:450:441:3850
Will ActonEDM1710:320:371:2815
Chris NeilOTT1410:070:431:2811
Erik CondraOTT159:050:361:0123
Denis GrebeshkovEDM106:550:421:3420
Derek GrantOTT115:570:320:5523
Luke GazdicEDM74:590:431:1410
Mike BrownEDM74:490:411:1010
Matt KassianOTT53:090:380:5020