Sat, Oct 19, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 4, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 55% of the time.
35%
10%
10%
45%
BUF winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:11 | 0.15 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:38 | 0.02 | 34.8% | +8.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:48 | 0.00 | 55.2% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19:46 | 0.43 | 74.2% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.08 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.05 | 33.2% | +8.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.00 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.04 | 30.9% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:20 | 0.00 | 54.4% | +8.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.00 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.15 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15:33 | 0.68 | 73.9% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:19 | 0.20 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.24 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.02 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:24 | 0.23 | 76.7% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:28 | 0.01 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:59 | 0.00 | 7.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.10 | +0.1 | 59:55 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:37 | 0.06 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:12 | 0.03 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:18 | 0.64 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:11 | 0.22 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.13 | 15.7% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:14 | 0.35 | 17.7% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.04 | 61.0% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:38 | 0.12 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:22 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.23 | 65.1% | +6.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.01 | 12.9% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.03 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:40 | 0.00 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.12 | 60.8% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:36 | 0.05 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 79.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:31 | 0.07 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:03 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 2.32 | −1.7 | 57:26 |