Sat, Oct 19, 2013·Prudential Center, Newark
New York Rangers 0, New Jersey Devils 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 06 | 06 | 010 | 022 |
| NJD | 29 | 27 | 03 | 419 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:22NJDAndrei LoktionovGWGAssists: Anton Volchenkov · Snap, 0.30 xG0–1
- P1 12:37NJDAdam HenriqueAssists: Rostislav Olesz, Jaromir Jagr · Slap, 0.03 xG0–2
- P2 6:00NJDMichael RyderPPAssists: Jaromir Jagr, Marek Zidlicky · Slap, 0.05 xG0–3
- P2 14:32NJDDainius ZubrusAssists: Bryce Salvador, Marek Zidlicky · Backhand, 0.17 xG0–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:11NYRBenoit Pouliot: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:56NJDMarek Zidlicky: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:42NYRDominic Moore: Delaying game face off violation2 min · PPG
- P2 11:47NYRJustin Falk: Elbowing2 min
- P2 19:56NJDMark Fayne: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 18:45NYRMats Zuccarello: Hooking2 min
- P3 19:21NJDAndrei Loktionov: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Brassard won the faceoff against Gionta
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestPyatt – Boyle – Dorsett4:58
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Stepan – Zuccarello – Miller6:51
xG 0.09–0.04 (70%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Boyle – Pouliot – Dorsett5:20
xG 0.10–0.06 (60%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Moore – Powe – Fast3:33
xG 0.06–0.05 (52%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStaal – Moore2:51
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Staal – Stralman15:00
xG 0.15–0.07 (69%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Stralman – McDonagh3:11
xG 0.10–0.26 (27%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZubrus – Loktionov – Josefson8:55
xG 0.46–0.12 (80%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Jagr – Olesz – Henrique10:40
xG 0.27–0.00 (99%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Zubrus – Ryder – Zajac2:01
xG 0.26–0.02 (94%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
- Bernier – Gionta – Carter7:20
xG 0.03–0.02 (57%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSalvador – Zidlicky13:45
xG 0.50–0.09 (84%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Fayne – Greene14:22
xG 0.32–0.26 (55%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Volchenkov – Harrold10:39
xG 0.09–0.14 (39%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).