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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 23, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Boston Bruins 5, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 78% of the time.

BUF winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Iginla–Krejci–LucicEriksson–Bergeron–SmithThornton–Campbell–PailleKelly–Soderberg–MarchandBergeron–Marchand–SmithChara–BoychukSeidenberg–HamiltonMcQuaid–KrugBoychuk–KrugChara–HamiltonSeidenberg–BoychukHamilton–Krug
Ott–Ennis–Foligno3:060.02–0.122:040.01–0.151:550.23–0.001:220.00–0.021:580.02–0.003:370.21–0.322:420.04–0.001:180.00–0.02
Larsson–Flynn–Girgensons1:560.00–0.002:540.19–0.050:540.01–0.002:560.02–0.041:100.03–0.003:500.14–0.003:580.08–0.090:300.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Vanek–Stafford–Hodgson2:330.06–0.423:130.00–0.040:340.00–0.005:420.08–0.470:370.00–0.000:400.00–0.10
Porter–Scott–Grigorenko3:080.00–0.021:280.00–0.002:120.00–0.00
Stafford–Porter–Grigorenko2:160.00–0.052:010.00–0.02
Hodgson–Girgensons–Grigorenko0:510.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Ott–Stafford–Grigorenko
Ennis–Larsson–Girgensons0:450.01–0.000:510.01–0.00
Weber–Zadorov3:040.02–0.071:390.05–0.021:570.00–0.005:110.07–0.043:000.02–0.023:350.02–0.074:070.12–0.041:160.00–0.101:050.00–0.00
Tallinder–Myers1:490.02–0.213:400.14–0.172:470.01–0.050:390.00–0.000:340.00–0.003:470.02–0.164:250.16–0.311:020.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:430.00–0.020:350.00–0.00
Ehrhoff–Pysyk4:090.23–0.331:450.00–0.002:040.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:310.00–0.022:390.02–0.332:150.00–0.003:020.00–0.001:100.00–0.020:330.00–0.000:540.20–0.00
Ehrhoff–Myers0:570.00–0.000:470.04–0.000:490.00–0.00
Tallinder–Weber0:330.00–0.000:380.19–0.12
Tallinder–Pysyk0:340.03–0.00
Ehrhoff–Weber0:410.00–0.02
Weber–Pysyk0:460.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOtt FEnnis FFoligno FHodgson FStafford FVanek FLarsson FGirgensons FFlynn FScott FGrigorenko FPorter FTallinder DMyers DPysyk DEhrhoff DWeber DZadorov DMiller GSmith FEriksson FBergeron FIginla FLucic FKrejci FKelly FMarchand FSoderberg FCampbell FPaille FThornton FChara DSeidenberg DHamilton DBoychuk DMcQuaid DKrug DJohnson G
BUFBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zdeno CharaBOS2522:460:551:3453
Mike WeberBUF2222:141:011:3841
Christian EhrhoffBUF2521:570:531:5045
Johnny BoychukBOS2721:570:491:2836
Dougie HamiltonBOS2521:400:521:4820
Torey KrugBOS2419:530:501:3821
Dennis SeidenbergBOS2519:440:471:3231
Tyler MyersBUF2519:290:471:4631
Mark PysykBUF2318:300:481:4636
Steve OttBUF2217:590:491:1714
Cody HodgsonBUF2017:450:531:2932
Nikita ZadorovBUF1917:440:561:4440
Henrik TallinderBUF2517:400:421:3020
Jarome IginlaBOS2117:170:491:3351
Drew StaffordBUF2017:140:521:2433
Patrice BergeronBOS2316:590:441:2044
Tyler EnnisBUF1816:530:561:4441
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1816:240:551:3811
David KrejciBOS2016:230:491:4251
Marcus FolignoBUF1815:330:521:4431
Reilly SmithBOS2015:290:461:3342
Chris KellyBOS2115:170:441:3303
Brian FlynnBUF2015:020:451:2703
Milan LucicBOS1915:010:471:1950
Brad MarchandBOS1814:550:501:2402
Thomas VanekBUF1914:490:471:2132
Johan LarssonBUF1614:140:531:1811
Gregory CampbellBOS1614:050:531:1912
Loui ErikssonBOS1713:180:471:0331
Adam McQuaidBOS1713:000:461:1221
Carl SoderbergBOS1812:320:421:4421
Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF1211:591:001:4910
Daniel PailleBOS1411:460:501:1810
Shawn ThorntonBOS119:150:501:1910
Kevin PorterBUF128:190:421:2401
John ScottBUF75:150:451:0300