Mon, Oct 28, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Dallas Stars 4, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 73% of the time.
18%
9%
9%
65%
BUF winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:19 | 0.08 | 75.2% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:20 | 0.11 | 77.6% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:17 | 0.28 | 38.5% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:49 | 0.00 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:07 | 0.00 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:50 | 0.20 | 36.3% | +24.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:27 | 0.52 | 36.4% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:32 | 0.02 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.02 | 87.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.07 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.78 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:50 | 0.36 | 77.8% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:36 | 0.16 | 84.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.01 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.10 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:06 | 0.24 | 61.7% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:06 | 0.04 | 61.7% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:37 | 0.00 | 61.5% | +13.5 |
| W | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 1.73 | −1.3 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:48 | 0.16 | 55.9% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:27 | 0.03 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.03 | 34.0% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:21 | 0.20 | 44.6% | +13.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:48 | 0.52 | 42.3% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 19:15 | 0.01 | 42.3% | +29.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:45 | 0.42 | 71.2% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:52 | 0.01 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:47 | 0.05 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.00 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:39 | 0.09 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.12 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.00 | 12.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.03 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.01 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 9:17 | 0.03 | 9.7% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:52 | 0.00 | 11.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:13 | 0.01 | 11.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 2.49 | −1.5 | 58:31 |