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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 28, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Dallas Stars 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Dallas Stars

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 73% of the time.

BUF winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:48Shot by Girgensons, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 2:55Shot by Roussel, saved by Miller
  4. P1 2:59Goal by Fiddler (MacDermid, Roussel)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Stafford, Myers, Grigorenko, Zadorov · DAL Fiddler, Goligoski, Benn, Roussel, MacDermid

  5. P1 3:26Goal by Moulson (Ennis, Hodgson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, Hodgson, Ennis, Pysyk · DAL Whitney, Robidas, Chiasson, Eakin, Dillon

  6. P1 4:08Shot by Gonchar, saved by Miller
  7. P1 5:58Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehtonen
  8. P1 8:05Shot by Roussel, saved by Miller
  9. P1 9:39Shot by Benn, saved by Miller
  10. P1 11:22Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Miller
  11. P1 12:30Shot by Cole, saved by Miller
  12. P1 12:50Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lehtonen
  13. P1 13:31Shot by Whitney, saved by Miller
  14. P1 13:48Ott: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ott, Leino, Foligno, Ristolainen · DAL Gonchar, Horcoff, Daley, Peverley, Nichushkin

  15. P1 13:48Ott: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ott, Leino, Foligno, Ristolainen · DAL Gonchar, Horcoff, Daley, Peverley, Nichushkin

  16. P1 14:10Shot by Chiasson, saved by Miller4v5
  17. P1 15:44Shot by Benn, saved by Miller4v5
  18. P1 16:40Goal by Goligoski (Nichushkin, Benn)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Stafford, Foligno, Ristolainen · DAL Cole, Goligoski, Peverley, Benn, Nichushkin

  19. P1 17:17Shot by Myers, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P1 17:23Shot by Moulson, saved by Lehtonen
  21. P1 17:52Goal by Seguin (Cole)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, Hodgson, Myers, Ennis · DAL Gonchar, Cole, Daley, Benn, Seguin

  22. P1 18:34Shot by Larsson, saved by Lehtonen
  23. P1 18:46Shot by Eakin, saved by Miller
  24. P1 19:52Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lehtonen
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:21Shot by Ott, saved by Lehtonen
  28. P2 1:22Pysyk: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Leino, Foligno, Pysyk · DAL Robidas, Cole, Benn, Dillon, Seguin

  29. P2 1:28Shot by Benn, saved by Miller4v5
  30. P2 1:42Shot by Benn, saved by Miller4v5
  31. P2 1:50Shot by Gonchar, saved by Miller4v5
  32. P2 2:30Shot by Seguin, saved by Miller4v5
  33. P2 2:46Shot by Chiasson, saved by Miller4v5
  34. P2 2:58Shot by Cole, saved by Miller4v5
  35. P2 3:21Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Miller4v5
  36. P2 4:06Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lehtonen
  37. P2 7:22Shot by Seguin, saved by Miller
  38. P2 7:38Shot by Ott, saved by Lehtonen
  39. P2 8:11Shot by Whitney, saved by Miller
  40. P2 9:27Shot by Daley, saved by Miller
  41. P2 10:55Goal by Benn (Seguin, Cole)+9 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Leino, Foligno, Pysyk, Grigorenko · DAL Gonchar, Cole, Daley, Benn, Seguin

  42. P2 11:36Eakin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ott, Leino, Foligno, Ristolainen · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Roussel, Eakin, Dillon

  43. P2 12:54Goal by Ott (Grigorenko, Myers)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Myers, Foligno, Grigorenko, Ristolainen · DAL Horcoff, Fiddler, Daley, Benn

  44. P2 15:34Shot by Tallinder, saved by Lehtonen
  45. P2 16:17Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehtonen
  46. P2 17:17Goal by Moulson (Ehrhoff, Ennis)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, Hodgson, Myers, Ennis · DAL Gonchar, Cole, Daley, Benn, Seguin

  47. P2 19:07Shot by Pysyk, saved by Lehtonen
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:07Shot by Chiasson, saved by Miller
  51. P3 1:24Dillon: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ott, Leino, Foligno, Pysyk · DAL Robidas, Cole, Benn, Dillon, Seguin

  52. P3 1:24Foligno: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ott, Leino, Foligno, Pysyk · DAL Robidas, Cole, Benn, Dillon, Seguin

  53. P3 1:24Dillon: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ott, Leino, Foligno, Pysyk · DAL Robidas, Cole, Benn, Dillon, Seguin

  54. P3 1:40Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  55. P3 2:00Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  56. P3 2:38Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  57. P3 3:32Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Miller
  58. P3 6:03Shot by Goligoski, saved by Miller
  59. P3 8:05Fiddler: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Leino, Foligno, Pysyk · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Goligoski, Roussel, MacDermid

  60. P3 8:05Roussel: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Leino, Foligno, Pysyk · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Goligoski, Roussel, MacDermid

  61. P3 8:05Pysyk: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Leino, Foligno, Pysyk · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Goligoski, Roussel, MacDermid

  62. P3 8:29Shot by Moulson, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  63. P3 8:38Shot by Peverley, saved by Miller5v4
  64. P3 10:39Shot by Cole, saved by Miller
  65. P3 12:16Shot by Pysyk, saved by Lehtonen
  66. P3 14:47Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehtonen
  67. P3 19:17Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lehtonen6v5
  68. P3 19:57Shot by Ott, saved by Lehtonen6v5
  69. P3 19:59Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lehtonen6v5
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final