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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 2, 2013·Madison Square Garden, New York

Carolina Hurricanes 1, New York Rangers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 61% of the time.

NYR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Richards, saved by Peters
  3. P1 1:01Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 1:40Shot by Murphy, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 3:08Shot by Hagelin, saved by Peters
  6. P1 3:32Shot by Sekera, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 3:46Shot by Tlusty, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 4:43Shot by Bellemore, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 5:58Shot by Sekera, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 8:26Goal by Hagelin (Pouliot, Richards)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Pouliot, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin · CAR Harrison, Dwyer, Tlusty, Nash, Murphy

  11. P1 11:37Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 11:49Pyatt: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Girardi, Brassard, McDonagh, Miller · CAR Semin, Staal, Sekera, Staal, Faulk

  13. P1 12:00Gerbe: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin · CAR Semin, Staal, Gerbe, Murphy, Lindholm

  14. P1 12:29Shot by Richards, saved by Peters4v4
  15. P1 12:52Shot by Staal, saved by Peters4v4
  16. P1 13:27Shot by Stepan, saved by Peters4v4
  17. P1 15:19Shot by Sutter, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 15:24Shot by Richards, saved by Peters
  19. P1 15:38Shot by Moore, saved by Peters
  20. P1 16:05Shot by Tlusty, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 16:38Shot by Dorsett, saved by Peters
  22. P1 17:24Shot by Pyatt, saved by Peters
  23. P1 19:07Shot by Moore, saved by Peters
  24. P1 19:43Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Peters
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:22Shot by Girardi, saved by Peters
  28. P2 1:26Dwyer: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Del Zotto, Stepan, Kreider, Moore, Zuccarello · CAR Dwyer, Sekera, Tlusty, Nash, Faulk

  29. P2 2:18Shot by Stepan, saved by Peters5v4
  30. P2 2:26Shot by Richards, saved by Peters5v4
  31. P2 3:34Shot by Dorsett, saved by Peters
  32. P2 3:59Shot by Hagelin, saved by Peters
  33. P2 4:25McDonagh: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Girardi, McDonagh, Mashinter, Miller · CAR Malhotra, Hainsey, Staal, Sutter, Bellemore, Bowman

  34. P2 4:25Malhotra: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v6

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Girardi, McDonagh, Mashinter, Miller · CAR Malhotra, Hainsey, Staal, Sutter, Bellemore, Bowman

  35. P2 5:33Shot by Moore, saved by Peters4v4
  36. P2 6:10Hagelin: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NYR Hagelin, Del Zotto, Stepan, Moore · CAR Hainsey, Dwyer, Staal, Murphy

  37. P2 6:22Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist3v4
  38. P2 6:30Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  39. P2 6:32Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  40. P2 8:16Goal by Hagelin (Pyatt, McDonagh)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin, Zuccarello · CAR Ruutu, Sekera, Tlusty, Staal, Faulk

  41. P2 9:12Shot by Sutter, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 9:25Shot by Stepan, saved by Peters
  43. P2 10:19Shot by Brassard, saved by Peters
  44. P2 13:36Murphy: Clipping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Staal, Stralman, Dorsett, Brassard · CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Staal, Murphy

  45. P2 14:05Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Peters5v4
  46. P2 14:14Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Peters5v4
  47. P2 15:29Malhotra: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Pouliot, Brassard, Del Zotto, Moore, Miller · CAR Malhotra, Staal, Sekera, Faulk

  48. P2 15:38Shot by Kreider, saved by Peters5v4
  49. P2 15:53Shot by McDonagh, saved by Peters5v4
  50. P2 15:54Goal by Stepan (Kreider, Zuccarello)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · CAR Semin, Staal, Sekera, Faulk

  51. P2 16:55Shot by Stepan, saved by Peters
  52. P2 17:56Dorsett: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Dorsett, Brassard, McDonagh, Del Zotto · CAR Malhotra, Harrison, Sutter, Bowman, Murphy

  53. P2 17:56Harrison: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Dorsett, Brassard, McDonagh, Del Zotto · CAR Malhotra, Harrison, Sutter, Bowman, Murphy

  54. P2 17:56Dorsett: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Dorsett, Brassard, McDonagh, Del Zotto · CAR Malhotra, Harrison, Sutter, Bowman, Murphy

  55. P2 19:23Goal by Sekera (Tlusty, Faulk)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Staal, Stralman, Hagelin · CAR Ruutu, Sekera, Tlusty, Staal, Faulk

  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:42Shot by Richards, saved by Peters
  59. P3 1:13Shot by Hagelin, saved by Peters
  60. P3 1:23Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 1:53Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Peters
  62. P3 2:49Shot by Dorsett, saved by Peters
  63. P3 2:56Shot by Dorsett, saved by Peters
  64. P3 3:00Shot by Brassard, saved by Peters
  65. P3 3:17Shot by Sutter, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 3:23Shot by Bellemore, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 4:52Shot by Kreider, saved by Peters
  68. P3 7:48Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  69. P3 8:01Shot by Sekera, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 8:03Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  71. P3 8:12Shot by Semin, saved by Lundqvist
  72. P3 8:31Shot by Semin, saved by Lundqvist
  73. P3 8:45Shot by Sekera, saved by Lundqvist
  74. P3 9:09Goal by Stepan (Zuccarello, Kreider)+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · CAR Ruutu, Sekera, Gerbe, Faulk, Lindholm

  75. P3 10:13Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  76. P3 11:09Shot by Murphy, saved by Lundqvist
  77. P3 12:56Shot by Boyle, saved by Peters
  78. P3 14:37Goal by Stepan (Zuccarello, Kreider)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Stralman, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · CAR Ruutu, Sekera, Gerbe, Faulk, Lindholm

  79. P3 15:37Shot by Bowman, saved by Lundqvist
  80. P3 16:12Shot by Murphy, saved by Lundqvist
  81. P3 17:04Shot by Boyle, saved by Peters
  82. P3 17:50Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lundqvist
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final