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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 8, 2013·Honda Center, Anaheim

Buffalo Sabres 2, Anaheim Ducks 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 87% of the time.

ANA winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Myers, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:24Shot by Perry, saved by Miller
  4. P1 1:52Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Miller
  5. P1 1:57Zadorov: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Selanne, Allen, Perreault, Sbisa, Smith-Pelly · BUF Moulson, Hodgson, Ennis, Pysyk, Zadorov

  6. P1 2:02Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Miller5v4
  7. P1 2:08Shot by Fowler, saved by Miller5v4
  8. P1 2:11Goal by Getzlaf (Fowler, Penner)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Penner, Bonino, Fowler · BUF Tallinder, Ott, Stafford, Myers

  9. P1 2:42Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 4:21Shot by Ennis, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 4:43Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 6:40Shot by Tropp, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 6:57Shot by Perry, saved by Miller
  14. P1 7:00Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Miller
  15. P1 7:10Shot by Perry, saved by Miller
  16. P1 7:43Shot by Cogliano, saved by Miller
  17. P1 7:48Shot by Winnik, saved by Miller
  18. P1 7:56Shot by Cogliano, saved by Miller
  19. P1 8:54Shot by Stafford, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 9:22McCormick: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Beauchemin, Bonino, Palmieri, Smith-Pelly, Lindholm · BUF McCormick, Stafford, Pysyk, Grigorenko, Zadorov

  21. P1 9:53Goal by Fowler (Penner, Getzlaf)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Penner, Perreault, Fowler · BUF Tallinder, Ott, Myers, Flynn

  22. P1 13:26Goal by Grigorenko (McCormick, Stafford)+13 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Allen, Beauchemin, Bonino, Palmieri, Etem · BUF McCormick, Stafford, McBain, Grigorenko, Ristolainen

  23. P1 14:22Shot by Rakell, saved by Miller
  24. P1 16:24Shot by Penner, saved by Miller
  25. P1 16:29Goal by Getzlaf, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Allen, Getzlaf, Perry, Penner, Sbisa · BUF Tallinder, Ott, Tropp, Myers, Foligno

  26. P1 16:48Shot by Cogliano, saved by Miller
  27. P1 17:40Shot by Etem, saved by Miller
  28. P1 17:58Shot by Lindholm, saved by Miller
  29. P1 18:17Shot by Etem, saved by Miller
  30. P1 18:18Shot by Bonino, saved by Miller
  31. P1 18:44Shot by Selanne, saved by Miller
  32. P1 19:40Goal by Getzlaf (Perry, Penner)+7 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Beauchemin, Getzlaf, Perry, Penner, Fowler · BUF Ott, Tropp, Foligno, Pysyk, Zadorov

  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:21Shot by Myers, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 1:42Shot by Vatanen, saved by Miller
  37. P2 3:04Shot by Palmieri, saved by Miller
  38. P2 3:36Shot by Pysyk, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 3:40Shot by Zadorov, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 4:51Shot by Perry, saved by Miller
  41. P2 4:53Goal by Penner (Perry)+3 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Allen, Beauchemin, Getzlaf, Perry, Penner · BUF McCormick, Stafford, McBain, Grigorenko, Ristolainen

  42. P2 7:25Shot by Selanne, saved by Miller
  43. P2 7:26Shot by Perreault, saved by Miller
  44. P2 8:02Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 8:04Shot by Girgensons, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 8:14Shot by Etem, saved by Miller
  47. P2 8:23Sbisa: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Allen, Getzlaf, Perry, Penner, Sbisa · BUF McCormick, Stafford, Pysyk, Grigorenko, Zadorov

  48. P2 9:49Shot by McBain, saved by Andersen4v5
  49. P2 10:45Shot by Ott, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 12:04Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Miller
  51. P2 12:45Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 13:09Goal by Grigorenko (Tropp, McCormick)+3 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Winnik, Cogliano, Vatanen, Fowler, Rakell · BUF McCormick, McBain, Tropp, Grigorenko, Ristolainen

  53. P2 13:48Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Miller
  54. P2 14:23Shot by Tallinder, saved by Andersen
  55. P2 16:18Shot by Selanne, saved by Miller
  56. P2 16:31Shot by Selanne, saved by Miller
  57. P2 18:53Goal by Cogliano (Rakell, Winnik)+2 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Winnik, Cogliano, Vatanen, Fowler, Rakell · BUF McBain, Tropp, Larsson, Grigorenko, Ristolainen

  58. P2 19:01Shot by Ott, saved by Andersen
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:20Shot by Girgensons, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 0:52Sbisa: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Allen, Getzlaf, Perry, Penner, Sbisa · BUF McCormick, Tropp, Pysyk, Grigorenko, Zadorov

  63. P3 3:34Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Enroth
  64. P3 5:10Shot by Lindholm, saved by Enroth
  65. P3 7:02Shot by Zadorov, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 7:18Shot by Ott, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 7:21Shot by Stafford, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 8:16Shot by Selanne, saved by Enroth
  69. P3 8:17Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Enroth
  70. P3 8:33Shot by Flynn, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 8:50Shot by Selanne, saved by Enroth
  72. P3 8:53Shot by Selanne, saved by Enroth
  73. P3 10:07Shot by Penner, saved by Enroth
  74. P3 11:05Shot by Winnik, saved by Enroth
  75. P3 11:21Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 12:11Shot by McCormick, saved by Andersen
  77. P3 12:14Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 12:43Shot by Perreault, saved by Enroth
  79. P3 12:50Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Andersen
  80. P3 15:42Shot by Winnik, saved by Enroth
  81. P3 16:50Shot by Bonino, saved by Enroth
  82. P3 18:31Shot by Fowler, saved by Enroth
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final