Sat, Nov 16, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.
47%
10%
11%
31%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:55 | 0.07 | 24.4% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:03 | 0.09 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:05 | 0.06 | 33.9% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:36 | 0.24 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:01 | 0.18 | 23.2% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:20 | 0.14 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.03 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.04 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 17:44 | 0.27 | 38.9% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.16 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.09 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.30 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:25 | 0.07 | 54.8% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 0.03 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:37 | 0.06 | 72.9% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:53 | 0.00 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:53 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:38 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 2.23 | −1.8 | 59:12 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 26:14 | 0.02 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:16 | 0.07 | 70.3% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:19 | 0.09 | 45.4% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:24 | 0.02 | 35.9% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:00 | 0.35 | 79.5% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.19 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.24 | 70.3% | +4.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:31 | 0.00 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:00 | 0.16 | 72.1% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.24 | 69.4% | +4.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16:25 | 0.20 | 40.0% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.19 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 14:00 | 0.33 | 76.7% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:43 | 0.13 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:24 | 0.00 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:16 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:09 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:54 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 1.83 | −0.2 | 59:35 |