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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 16, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:58Shot by Gardiner, saved by Enroth
  3. P1 4:04Shot by Myers, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 4:56Shot by McBain, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 5:06Shot by Clarkson, saved by Enroth
  6. P1 5:24Shot by Lupul, saved by Enroth
  7. P1 5:28Shot by Smith, saved by Enroth
  8. P1 5:30Shot by Ranger, saved by Enroth
  9. P1 5:45Goal by van Riemsdyk (Franson, Gardiner)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Holland · BUF Ehrhoff, Foligno, Pysyk, Flynn, Girgensons

  10. P1 6:16Shot by Lupul, saved by Enroth
  11. P1 7:28Shot by Raymond, saved by Enroth
  12. P1 8:24Shot by Hodgson, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 8:48Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 13:27Ehrhoff: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Lupul, Clarkson, Smith, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner · BUF Ehrhoff, Foligno, Pysyk, Flynn, Girgensons

  15. P1 13:35Goal by van Riemsdyk (Franson, Phaneuf)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk · BUF Tallinder, Ott, Stafford, Myers

  16. P1 14:04Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Enroth
  17. P1 15:37Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 18:09Shot by Ott, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:57Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Enroth
  22. P2 1:12Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Enroth
  23. P2 1:30Shot by Ott, saved by Reimer
  24. P2 3:26Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Enroth
  25. P2 4:12Ott: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Clarkson, Smith, Gunnarsson · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Leino, Ennis, Ristolainen

  26. P2 4:12Clarkson: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Clarkson, Smith, Gunnarsson · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Leino, Ennis, Ristolainen

  27. P2 4:25Shot by Flynn, saved by Reimer
  28. P2 5:11McClement: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Raymond, Kulemin, Gardiner · BUF Tallinder, Moulson, Stafford, Hodgson, Myers

  29. P2 5:45Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer4v5
  30. P2 6:19Shot by Myers, saved by Reimer4v5
  31. P2 8:23Shot by Pysyk, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 8:43Holland: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Franson, Kulemin, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Holland · BUF Ehrhoff, Foligno, Pysyk, Flynn, Girgensons

  33. P2 10:29Shot by Stafford, saved by Reimer4v5
  34. P2 11:05Shot by Holland, saved by Enroth
  35. P2 11:30Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Reimer
  36. P2 11:49Goal by Kulemin (Raymond, Ranger)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McClement, Ranger, Raymond, Kulemin, Gardiner · BUF Tallinder, Ott, Leino, Myers, Ennis

  37. P2 12:58Shot by Foligno, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 16:06Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer
  39. P2 16:27Shot by Girgensons, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 18:15Gunnarsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Raymond, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Leino, Ennis, Pysyk

  41. P2 18:15Ott: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Raymond, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Leino, Ennis, Pysyk

  42. P2 18:59Shot by Franson, saved by Enroth4v4
  43. P2 19:24Shot by Myers, saved by Reimer4v4
  44. P2 19:39Shot by Ranger, saved by Enroth4v4
  45. P2 19:57Shot by Tallinder, saved by Reimer4v4
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:56Shot by Moulson, saved by Reimer
  49. P3 1:32Shot by Raymond, saved by Enroth
  50. P3 2:15Goal by McBain (Girgensons, Foligno)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Gardiner, Holland · BUF McBain, Foligno, Flynn, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  51. P3 3:03Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Reimer
  52. P3 3:39Shot by Myers, saved by Reimer
  53. P3 5:34Orr: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Phaneuf, Franson, McLaren · BUF Tallinder, McCormick, Scott, Tropp, Myers

  54. P3 5:34Orr: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Phaneuf, Franson, McLaren · BUF Tallinder, McCormick, Scott, Tropp, Myers

  55. P3 5:34McLaren: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Phaneuf, Franson, McLaren · BUF Tallinder, McCormick, Scott, Tropp, Myers

  56. P3 5:34McLaren: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Phaneuf, Franson, McLaren · BUF Tallinder, McCormick, Scott, Tropp, Myers

  57. P3 5:34McLaren: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Phaneuf, Franson, McLaren · BUF Tallinder, McCormick, Scott, Tropp, Myers

  58. P3 5:34McCormick: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Phaneuf, Franson, McLaren · BUF Tallinder, McCormick, Scott, Tropp, Myers

  59. P3 5:34Scott: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Phaneuf, Franson, McLaren · BUF Tallinder, McCormick, Scott, Tropp, Myers

  60. P3 5:34Scott: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Phaneuf, Franson, McLaren · BUF Tallinder, McCormick, Scott, Tropp, Myers

  61. P3 5:34Scott: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Phaneuf, Franson, McLaren · BUF Tallinder, McCormick, Scott, Tropp, Myers

  62. P3 5:34Phaneuf: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Phaneuf, Franson, McLaren · BUF Tallinder, McCormick, Scott, Tropp, Myers

  63. P3 6:00Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Reimer4v5
  64. P3 6:11Goal by Ennis (Moulson, Hodgson)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McClement, Ranger, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, McBain, Hodgson, Ennis

  65. P3 7:04Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer
  66. P3 7:34Shot by Girgensons, saved by Reimer
  67. P3 8:41Shot by Holland, saved by Enroth
  68. P3 8:30Shot by Leino, saved by Reimer
  69. P3 9:35Shot by Flynn, saved by Reimer
  70. P3 9:49Shot by Foligno, saved by Reimer
  71. P3 15:00Shot by Hodgson, saved by Reimer
  72. P3 16:18Shot by Ott, saved by Reimer
  73. P3 16:30Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer
  74. P3 16:49Shot by Moulson, saved by Reimer
  75. P3 17:14Leino: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Lupul, Clarkson, Franson, Smith · BUF Ott, McBain, Leino, Ennis, Ristolainen

  76. P3 17:50Shot by Pysyk, saved by Reimer5v4
  77. P3 18:03Shot by Kessel, saved by Enroth5v4
  78. P3 18:23Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Enroth5v4
  79. P3 18:56Goal by Raymond (Smith, Clarkson)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Clarkson, Raymond, Smith, Gunnarsson, Gardiner · BUF Ehrhoff, McCormick, Hodgson, Myers

  80. P3 19:08Shot by Stafford, saved by Reimer5v6
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final