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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 24, 2013·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Ottawa Senators 1, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.

CAR winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Neil–Smith–ConacherMacArthur–Ryan–TurrisGreening–Condra–GrantSpezza–Michalek–ZibanejadMichalek–Ryan–TurrisSpezza–MacArthur–ZibanejadMethot–KarlssonWiercioch–CowenPhillips–WierciochPhillips–KarlssonMethot–WierciochKarlsson–CowenPhillips–CowenKarlsson–WierciochPhillips–BorowieckiMethot–Cowen
Dwyer–Tlusty–Staal1:280.03–0.006:330.19–0.121:290.21–0.053:100.15–0.010:350.05–0.001:530.03–0.080:340.07–0.001:130.08–0.080:540.03–0.000:460.00–0.00
Ruutu–Staal–Gerbe1:320.01–0.030:440.06–0.020:570.06–0.004:280.25–0.061:370.23–0.243:160.24–0.011:290.02–0.031:540.02–0.281:240.04–0.040:380.07–0.001:110.11–0.02
Dvorak–Skinner–Lindholm3:140.13–0.060:380.00–0.022:060.00–0.263:000.00–0.262:060.13–0.010:530.00–0.000:310.00–0.04
Malhotra–Westgarth–Bowman1:430.22–0.035:180.05–0.210:340.00–0.502:080.01–0.631:350.00–0.000:560.21–0.031:530.05–0.08
Dvorak–Malhotra–Bowman0:350.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Staal–Gerbe–Bowman0:430.02–0.150:450.02–0.15
Dvorak–Malhotra–Lindholm1:010.02–0.020:400.02–0.02
Hainsey–Bellemore4:050.04–0.045:570.19–0.152:000.04–0.012:340.02–0.080:360.05–0.106:400.27–0.101:110.01–0.032:040.00–0.051:120.02–0.002:040.05–0.121:250.02–0.001:270.08–0.021:060.21–0.10
Sekera–Faulk2:590.13–0.032:460.10–0.151:320.00–0.034:450.29–0.060:350.13–0.001:350.02–0.245:450.24–0.172:590.19–0.041:490.02–0.251:510.09–0.040:480.07–0.000:550.07–0.020:310.00–0.00
Harrison–Murphy4:010.32–0.080:330.00–0.006:120.02–0.441:040.00–0.493:320.03–0.883:100.04–0.001:070.21–0.051:180.00–0.011:100.02–0.080:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FTlusty FDwyer FWestgarth FBowman FMalhotra FStaal FGerbe FRuutu FDvorak FLindholm FSkinner FHainsey DBellemore DMurphy DHarrison DSekera DFaulk DWard GRyan FTurris FMacArthur FSmith FNeil FConacher FMichalek FSpezza FZibanejad FCondra FGrant FGreening FMethot DKarlsson DPhillips DBorowiecki DCowen DWiercioch DLehner G
CAROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3331:190:571:5563
Justin FaulkCAR3324:120:441:1366
Marc MethotOTT3024:060:481:3263
Andrej SekeraCAR3323:080:421:3666
Patrick WierciochOTT3023:080:461:3536
Ron HainseyCAR3422:280:401:1066
Brett BellemoreCAR3420:450:371:3546
Jared CowenOTT2719:210:431:4208
Chris PhillipsOTT2719:200:431:2527
Eric StaalCAR2619:110:441:2056
Nathan GerbeCAR2617:520:411:0461
Jason SpezzaOTT2416:330:411:2386
Clarke MacArthurOTT2316:260:431:0775
Kyle TurrisOTT2216:240:451:1535
Zack SmithOTT2516:040:391:1344
Milan MichalekOTT2315:520:411:3465
Jordan StaalCAR2515:440:381:0352
Bobby RyanOTT2215:390:431:1654
Manny MalhotraCAR2615:270:361:2229
Ryan MurphyCAR2315:220:401:3543
Elias LindholmCAR2415:120:381:1065
Mika ZibanejadOTT2115:020:431:2783
Tuomo RuutuCAR2314:570:391:4584
Jiri TlustyCAR2214:440:401:0632
Cory ConacherOTT2414:360:371:1054
Jay HarrisonCAR2014:110:431:3724
Patrick DwyerCAR2313:390:360:5541
Radek DvorakCAR2013:330:411:4544
Jeff SkinnerCAR2613:320:311:0562
Chris NeilOTT2313:130:341:0753
Drayson BowmanCAR2012:120:371:1821
Derek GrantOTT2112:060:350:5734
Erik CondraOTT1912:030:381:1733
Colin GreeningOTT1911:430:370:5332
Kevin WestgarthCAR189:510:330:5732
Mark BorowieckiOTT42:030:310:3910