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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 27, 2013·Verizon Center, Washington

Ottawa Senators 6, Washington Capitals 4

Away

Ottawa Senators

6

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 84% of the time.

WSH winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:56Shot by Ryan, saved by Holtby
  3. P1 1:50Shot by MacArthur, saved by Holtby
  4. P1 1:55Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Holtby
  5. P1 3:05Shot by Condra, saved by Holtby
  6. P1 3:40Shot by Phillips, saved by Holtby
  7. P1 3:49Shot by Greening, saved by Holtby
  8. P1 4:34Shot by Backstrom, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 6:10Shot by Carlson, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 6:16Shot by Carlson, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 6:22Shot by Johansson, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 8:44Shot by Schmidt, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 9:10Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 9:18Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 9:33Neil: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Alzner, Carlson, Johansson · OTT Neil, MacArthur, Turris, Wiercioch, Cowen

  16. P1 11:38Shot by Green, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 12:10Goal by Fehr (Latta)+21 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Fehr, Green, Latta, Schmidt · OTT Phillips, Corvo, Ryan, Greening, Smith

  18. P1 12:34Shot by Greening, saved by Holtby
  19. P1 12:35Green: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Green, Grabovski, Brouwer, Urbom, Volpatti · OTT Methot, Ryan, Greening, Karlsson, Zibanejad

  20. P1 12:48Shot by Laich, saved by Anderson4v5
  21. P1 13:22Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Holtby4v5
  22. P1 13:28Goal by Ryan (Wiercioch, MacArthur)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Laich, Brouwer, Alzner, Carlson · OTT Corvo, MacArthur, Ryan, Turris, Wiercioch

  23. P1 13:38Smith: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Strachan, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Johansson, Schmidt · OTT Phillips, Corvo, Neil, Smith, Conacher

  24. P1 14:06Goal by Johansson (Brouwer, Ovechkin)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Brouwer, Backstrom, Carlson, Johansson · OTT Phillips, MacArthur, Methot, Turris

  25. P1 14:37Shot by Laich, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 14:53Goal by Laich (Ward, Chimera)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Ward, Laich, Alzner, Carlson · OTT Spezza, Michalek, Methot, Karlsson, Zibanejad

  27. P1 15:53Shot by Alzner, saved by Anderson
  28. P1 15:52Shot by Alzner, saved by Anderson
  29. P1 17:07Neil: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Strachan, Ovechkin, Grabovski, Johansson, Schmidt · OTT Neil, Methot, Smith, Karlsson, Conacher

  30. P1 17:07Strachan: Instigator (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Strachan, Ovechkin, Grabovski, Johansson, Schmidt · OTT Neil, Methot, Smith, Karlsson, Conacher

  31. P1 17:07Neil: Interference (2 min)4v4

    On ice: WSH Strachan, Ovechkin, Grabovski, Johansson, Schmidt · OTT Neil, Methot, Smith, Karlsson, Conacher

  32. P1 17:07Strachan: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: WSH Strachan, Ovechkin, Grabovski, Johansson, Schmidt · OTT Neil, Methot, Smith, Karlsson, Conacher

  33. P1 17:07Strachan: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: WSH Strachan, Ovechkin, Grabovski, Johansson, Schmidt · OTT Neil, Methot, Smith, Karlsson, Conacher

  34. P1 17:31Shot by Fehr, saved by Anderson
  35. P1 17:41Shot by Chimera, saved by Anderson
  36. P1 18:06Green: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Ward, Laich, Green, Schmidt · OTT Phillips, Corvo, Spezza, Condra, Smith, Conacher

  37. P1 18:06Conacher: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Ward, Laich, Green, Schmidt · OTT Phillips, Corvo, Spezza, Condra, Smith, Conacher

  38. P1 18:23Shot by Spezza, saved by Holtby4v4
  39. P1 19:00Shot by Carlson, saved by Anderson4v4
  40. P1 19:23Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Holtby4v4
  41. P1 0:00Period end
  42. P2 0:00Period start
  43. P2 2:21Volpatti: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Green, Latta, Urbom, Volpatti, Wilson · OTT Greening, Condra, Wiercioch, Grant, Cowen

  44. P2 2:21Greening: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Green, Latta, Urbom, Volpatti, Wilson · OTT Greening, Condra, Wiercioch, Grant, Cowen

  45. P2 2:38Shot by Conacher, saved by Holtby
  46. P2 3:35Shot by Turris, saved by Holtby
  47. P2 4:01Shot by Karlsson, saved by Holtby
  48. P2 4:19Shot by Brouwer, saved by Anderson
  49. P2 5:17Shot by Backstrom, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 5:34Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 5:45Shot by Grant, saved by Holtby
  52. P2 6:05Shot by Condra, saved by Holtby
  53. P2 6:17Fehr: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Fehr, Ovechkin, Green, Latta, Schmidt · OTT Phillips, Corvo, Neil, Condra, Turris, Grant

  54. P2 6:36Goal by Phillips (Turris, Karlsson)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Laich, Brouwer, Alzner, Carlson · OTT Phillips, MacArthur, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson

  55. P2 7:36Green: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Ward, Laich, Green, Urbom · OTT Phillips, Corvo, Neil, Smith, Conacher

  56. P2 8:39Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Holtby4v5
  57. P2 8:57Shot by Ryan, saved by Holtby4v5
  58. P2 10:36Goal by Greening (Methot, Karlsson)+24 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Alzner, Carlson, Johansson · OTT Neil, Methot, Greening, Smith, Karlsson

  59. P2 11:01Shot by Turris, saved by Holtby
  60. P2 11:51Conacher: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Green, Latta, Volpatti, Wilson, Schmidt · OTT Spezza, Condra, Karlsson, Cowen, Conacher

  61. P2 11:51Volpatti: Charging (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Green, Latta, Volpatti, Wilson, Schmidt · OTT Spezza, Condra, Karlsson, Cowen, Conacher

  62. P2 12:09Shot by MacArthur, saved by Holtby4v4
  63. P2 12:51Shot by Corvo, saved by Holtby4v4
  64. P2 13:23Wilson: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v4

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Alzner, Carlson, Johansson · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson

  65. P2 13:44Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Holtby3v4
  66. P2 15:27Shot by Turris, saved by Holtby
  67. P2 15:28Shot by MacArthur, saved by Holtby
  68. P2 15:52Shot by Spezza, saved by Holtby
  69. P2 17:46Shot by Methot, saved by Holtby
  70. P2 18:09Shot by Grant, saved by Holtby
  71. P2 19:00Shot by Ryan, saved by Holtby
  72. P2 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Period start
  74. P3 0:28Shot by Johansson, saved by Anderson
  75. P3 0:30Shot by Johansson, saved by Anderson
  76. P3 0:45Shot by Johansson, saved by Anderson
  77. P3 1:39Shot by Turris, saved by Holtby
  78. P3 4:08Shot by Backstrom, saved by Anderson
  79. P3 4:18Shot by Green, saved by Anderson
  80. P3 5:34Fehr: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ward, Fehr, Grabovski, Carlson, Urbom · OTT MacArthur, Ryan, Turris, Wiercioch, Cowen

  81. P3 6:05Goal by Zibanejad (Spezza, Phillips)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Laich, Brouwer, Alzner, Carlson · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Zibanejad

  82. P3 6:55Shot by Smith, saved by Holtby
  83. P3 7:04Phillips: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Fehr, Grabovski, Brouwer, Alzner, Carlson · OTT Phillips, Corvo, MacArthur, Ryan, Turris

  84. P3 7:34Shot by Carlson, saved by Anderson5v4
  85. P3 8:54Grabovski: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Ward, Laich, Ovechkin, Green, Grabovski · OTT Spezza, Michalek, Methot, Cowen

  86. P3 9:45Shot by Spezza, saved by Holtby4v5
  87. P3 10:29Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Holtby4v5
  88. P3 11:45Shot by Greening, saved by Holtby
  89. P3 12:04Shot by Green, saved by Anderson
  90. P3 13:44Shot by Smith, saved by Holtby
  91. P3 13:51Shot by Smith, saved by Holtby
  92. P3 15:25Shot by Green, saved by Anderson
  93. P3 15:47Shot by Methot, saved by Holtby
  94. P3 16:01Shot by Carlson, saved by Anderson
  95. P3 16:30Smith: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Fehr, Grabovski, Brouwer, Alzner, Carlson · OTT Phillips, Corvo, MacArthur, Turris, Smith

  96. P3 16:33Goal by Carlson (Ward)5v4+35 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ward, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Johansson · OTT Phillips, Methot, Condra, Grant

  97. P3 17:37Goal by Smith (Neil)+41 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Fehr, Green, Grabovski, Brouwer, Schmidt · OTT Neil, Greening, Smith, Wiercioch, Cowen

  98. P3 18:12Shot by Laich, saved by Anderson6v5
  99. P3 18:41Shot by Carlson, saved by Anderson6v5
  100. P3 19:47Goal by Ryan, unassisted6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Green, Grabovski, Brouwer, Backstrom, Johansson · OTT Methot, Ryan, Greening, Turris, Karlsson

  101. P3 0:00Period end
  102. P3 0:00Final